Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 2, 2008

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $23.1000 (-0.04%) ($23.0300 - $23.4800) on Fri. May. 2, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $23.1000(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(59%)    IWM(57%)    VWO(57%)    XLY(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-4%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.9(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.76(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.43(2.99%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2008	22.61	22.43	22.76	22.9			23.1(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	4	76	0.01	57%	-0.09	49	1.36%	0	1.6	80	0
2	May_1_2008	22.63	22.39	22.72	22.84			23.11(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	5	89	0.01	59%	-0.09	58.7	1.37%	0	1.8	77	0
3	Apr_30_2008	22.65	22.34	22.64	22.76			22.62(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	1	86	0.02	58%	-0.09	65.1	1.36%	0	0.8	61	0
4	Apr_29_2008	22.67	22.32	22.6	22.74			22.83(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	6	94	0.01	58%	-0.09	70.8	1.36%	0	1.4	68	0
5	Apr_28_2008	22.69	22.29	22.5	22.64			22.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	21	-10000	2	76	0.01	60%	-0.13	62.9	1.36%	0	1.4	60	0

6	Apr_25_2008	22.72	22.22	22.39	22.61			22.82(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	2	63	0	58%	-0.09	51.7	1.37%	0	1.5	59	0
7	Apr_24_2008	22.74	22.15	22.27	22.58			22.73(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	52	0.01	59%	-0.09	49.4	1.39%	0	1.5	58	0
8	Apr_23_2008	22.76	22.1	22.21	22.5			22.48(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	3	41	0.01	61%	-0.09	50.3	1.4%	0	1.1	55	0
9	Apr_22_2008	22.78	22.07	22.15	22.45			22.36(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	8	31	0.02	59%	-0.13	49.7	1.42%	0	0.8	51	0
10	Apr_21_2008	22.81	22.05	22.12	22.33			22.65(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	13	18	0.01	59%	-0.09	53.9	1.42%	0	1.8	56	0

11	Apr_18_2008	22.83	22.02	22.07	22.12			22.68(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	12	-10000	13	9	0.03	59%	-0.09	50.3	1.43%	0	2.1	70	0
12	Apr_17_2008	22.85	21.97	22.02	21.92			22.34(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	3	-2	0.01	54%	-0.09	35.6	1.42%	0	1.3	69	0
13	Apr_16_2008	22.87	21.92	22.02	21.87			22.23(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	4	2	0.01	54%	-0.09	24.8	1.47%	0	1	60	0
14	Apr_15_2008	22.89	21.9	22	21.8			21.73(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.01	50%	-0.09	18.2	1.44%	0	-0.6	48	0
15	Apr_14_2008	22.91	21.87	22	21.89			21.62(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-8	10	0.01	50%	-0.13	21.2	1.46%	0	-0.8	43	0

16	Apr_11_2008	22.94	21.87	22.06	22.01			21.7(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	14	0.02	49%	-0.04	25.6	1.47%	0	-0.5	45	0
17	Apr_10_2008	22.95	21.86	22.04	22.12			22.09(0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	0.01	51%	-0.09	33.1	1.46%	0	0.7	58	0
18	Apr_9_2008	22.97	21.86	21.99	22.14			21.88(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-5	30	0.01	51%	-0.09	26.9	1.45%	0	0.1	62	0
19	Apr_8_2008	22.99	21.84	22	22.22			22.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-2	42	0.01	49%	-0.09	27.5	1.45%	0	0.9	56	0
20	Apr_7_2008	23.01	21.8	21.99	22.25			22.23(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	9	65	0.01	49%	-0.13	18	1.47%	0	1.2	65	0

21	Apr_4_2008	23.04	21.77	21.97	22.1			22.23(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	11	65	0.01	47%	-0.09	-1.9	1.47%	0	1.4	63	0
22	Apr_3_2008	23.06	21.77	21.91	21.93			22.2(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	6	44	0.01	47%	-0.13	-32	1.5%	0	1.4	55	0
23	Apr_2_2008	23.09	21.77	21.83	21.83			22.29(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	5	28	0.01	45%	-0.13	-51.3	1.5%	0	1.6	57	0
24	Apr_1_2008	23.12	21.75	21.77	21.75			22.28(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	2	19	0.01	45%	-0.09	-68.6	1.52%	0	1.6	54	0
25	Mar_31_2008	23.14	21.74	21.66	21.71			21.52(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-6	9	0.01	41%		-82.1	1.45%	0	-0.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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