Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 29, 2007

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $24.4500 (2.13%) ($24.0000 - $24.4600) on Wed. Aug. 29, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $24.4500(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    IWM(59%)    VWO(58%)    XLY(58%)    EEM(57%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.4(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.25(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.3(0.62%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2007	25.93	24.3	24.25				24.45(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	0	37	0.03	39%	-0.04	-32.7	1.17%	0	0.4	54	0
2	Aug_28_2007	25.94	24.31	24.16	24.4			23.94(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	0	-10000	-3	9	0.05	36%	-0.08	-47.5	1.13%	0	-0.9	37	0
3	Aug_27_2007	25.96	24.36	24.17	24.44			24.5(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	6	5	0.05	38%	-0.04	-57.6	1.11%	0	0.3	48	0
4	Aug_24_2007	25.97	24.38	24.15	24.36			24.73(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	9	-7	0.03	37%	-0.04	-75.6	1.11%	0	0.8	51	0
5	Aug_23_2007	25.98	24.39	24.11	24.24			24.4(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	12	-20	0.04	35%	-0.04	-90.7	1.1%	0	0	52	0

6	Aug_22_2007	25.99	24.43	24.08	24.08			24.45(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	15	-56	0.04	35%	0	-93.2	1.1%	0	0	43	0
7	Aug_21_2007	25.99	24.5	24.12	23.89			24.14(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	2	-82	0.03	33%	-0.04	-91.4	1.09%	0	-0.5	43	0
8	Aug_20_2007	26	24.6	24.16	23.86			24.1(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-5	-94	0.05	33%	-0.04	-84.5	1.09%	0	-0.6	42	0
9	Aug_17_2007	26.01	24.71	24.2	23.92			24.13(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-3	-100	0.07	33%	0	-77.6	1.09%	0	-0.7	39	0
10	Aug_16_2007	26.01	24.82	24.22	23.96			23.59(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-10	-116	0.07	29%	-0.04	-72.3	1.05%	0	-1.3	36	0

11	Aug_15_2007	26.02	24.98	24.36	24.08			23.5(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10000	-23	-114	0.08	29%	-0.08	-69.1	1.05%	0	-1.6	32	0
12	Aug_14_2007	26.04	25.14	24.49	24.37			23.96(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10000	-10	-102	0.12	31%	-0.04	-61.1	1.03%	0	-1.3	29	0
13	Aug_13_2007	26.05	25.28	24.57	24.5			24.4(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-2	-118	0.07	32%	-0.04	-56.3	1%	0	-0.9	30	0
14	Aug_10_2007	26.06	25.39	24.64	24.53			24.36(0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-35	-10000	2	-144	0.09	31%	-0.04	-54	1%	0	-1.1	28	0
15	Aug_9_2007	26.07	25.52	24.7	24.51			24.17(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-10000	-13	-185	0.11	31%	-0.04	-54.5	1.01%	0	-1.4	27	0

16	Aug_8_2007	26.08	25.65	24.81	24.67			24.97(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-49	-10000	4	-206	0.14	34%	0.04	-52.1	0.94%	0	-0.7	28	0
17	Aug_7_2007	26.07	25.72	24.91	24.62			24.6(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-10000	-3	-237	0.15	31%	0	-55.7	0.92%	0	-1.2	26	0
18	Aug_6_2007	26.07	25.81	25.06	24.66			24.55(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-10000	-10	-249	0.08	31%	0	-57.5	0.92%	0	-1.4	25	0
19	Aug_3_2007	26.07	25.92	25.25	24.78			24.25(-2.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-69	-10000	-11	-244	0.08	28%	0	-54.3	0.91%	0	-2	19	0
20	Aug_2_2007	26.07	26.05	25.47	24.91			24.99(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-69	-10000	-6	-259	0.07	34%	0	-54.9	0.83%	0	-1.4	22	0

21	Aug_1_2007	26.07	26.13	25.65	24.97			24.73(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-85	-10000	-26	-261	0.06	31%	0.04	-53.4	0.83%	0	-1.9	19	0
22	Jul_31_2007	26.06	26.23	25.84	25.24			24.77(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-75	-10000	-27	-219	0.07	31%	0	-46	0.84%	0	-2.2	29	0
23	Jul_30_2007	26.06	26.32	26.04	25.53			25.16(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-62	-10000	-26	-171	0.11	32%	0	-37.1	0.82%	0	-2.1	35	0
24	Jul_27_2007	26.06	26.38	26.2	25.8			24.91(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-55	-10000	-29	-132	0.06	29%	0.04	-28.5	0.82%	0	-3	26	0
25	Jul_26_2007	26.05	26.47	26.41	26.11			25.3(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-43	-10000	-29	-85	0.09	31%		-20.5	0.8%	0	-3.3	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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