Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PKW: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 8, 2007

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $24.9700 (1.5%) ($24.6100 - $25.0400) on Wed. Aug. 8, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $24.9700(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    IWM(59%)    VWO(58%)    XLY(58%)    EEM(57%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.03(-27.79%)
Resistance Level   $25.65
5 Day Moving Average   $24.67(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.81(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.65(-2.65%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 3.55% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2007	26.08	25.65	24.81	24.67			24.97(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-49	-10000	4	-206	0.14	34%	0.04	-52.1	0.94%	0	-0.7	28	0
2	Aug_7_2007	26.07	25.72	24.91	24.62			24.6(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-10000	-3	-237	0.15	31%	0	-55.7	0.92%	0	-1.2	26	0
3	Aug_6_2007	26.07	25.81	25.06	24.66			24.55(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-10000	-10	-249	0.08	31%	0	-57.5	0.92%	0	-1.4	25	0
4	Aug_3_2007	26.07	25.92	25.25	24.78			24.25(-2.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-69	-10000	-11	-244	0.08	28%	0	-54.3	0.91%	0	-2	19	0
5	Aug_2_2007	26.07	26.05	25.47	24.91			24.99(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-69	-10000	-6	-259	0.07	34%	0	-54.9	0.83%	0	-1.4	22	0

6	Aug_1_2007	26.07	26.13	25.65	24.97			24.73(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-85	-10000	-26	-261	0.06	31%	0.04	-53.4	0.83%	0	-1.9	19	0
7	Jul_31_2007	26.06	26.23	25.84	25.24			24.77(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-75	-10000	-27	-219	0.07	31%	0	-46	0.84%	0	-2.2	29	0
8	Jul_30_2007	26.06	26.32	26.04	25.53			25.16(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-62	-10000	-26	-171	0.11	32%	0	-37.1	0.82%	0	-2.1	35	0
9	Jul_27_2007	26.06	26.38	26.2	25.8			24.91(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-55	-10000	-29	-132	0.06	29%	0.04	-28.5	0.82%	0	-3	26	0
10	Jul_26_2007	26.05	26.47	26.41	26.11			25.3(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-43	-10000	-29	-85	0.09	31%	0	-20.5	0.8%	0	-3.3	30	0

11	Jul_25_2007	26.05	26.47	26.57	26.41			26.04(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-13	-31	0.06	35%	0.08	0	0.71%	0	-2.2	41	0
12	Jul_24_2007	26.03	26.47	26.61	26.53			26.25(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-11	-15	0.11	36%	0.08	-1.2	0.71%	0	-1.3	44	0
13	Jul_23_2007	26.01	26.47	26.62	26.63			26.52(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-4	0	0.28	38%	0.08	-1.2	0.7%	0	-0	52	0
14	Jul_20_2007	25.99	26.53	26.64	26.67			26.43(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-10	19	0.05	41%	0.08	-4.8	0.7%	0	-0.5	57	0
15	Jul_19_2007	25.97	26.54	26.67	26.76			26.81(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	1	51	0.01	44%	0.04	6	0.69%	0	1.2	62	0

16	Jul_18_2007	25.96	26.54	26.65	26.75			26.64(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	4	59	0.02	44%	0.08	8.4	0.69%	0	0.5	59	0
17	Jul_17_2007	25.94	26.53	26.64	26.71			26.73(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	10	70	0.01	44%	0.04	16.1	0.69%	0	0.9	67	0
18	Jul_16_2007	25.93	26.53	26.62	26.62			26.74(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	1	60	0.01	48%	0.04	12.6	0.69%	0	0.9	64	0
19	Jul_13_2007	25.92	26.54	26.57	26.61			26.87(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	3	56	0.01	48%	0.04	17.8	0.7%	0	1.4	60	0
20	Jul_12_2007	25.91	26.52	26.52	26.58			26.78(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	4	43	0.04	50%	0.04	25.3	0.7%	0	1.1	51	0

21	Jul_11_2007	25.9	26.51	26.47	26.54			26.42(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-3	27	0.01	46%	0.04	19.3	0.69%	0	-0.4	45	0
22	Jul_10_2007	25.89	26.5	26.47	26.57			26.29(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.01	46%	0	9.2	0.69%	0	-0.9	35	0
23	Jul_9_2007	25.89	26.51	26.44	26.61			26.7(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	10	3	0.01	50%	0.04	3.6	0.66%	0	0.9	45	0
24	Jul_6_2007	25.88	26.49	26.4	26.52			26.69(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	8	-30	0.01	50%	0.04	-19.3	0.66%	0	0.9	45	0
25	Jul_5_2007	25.87	26.47	26.39	26.45			26.59(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	6	-43	0.01	50%		-41.4	0.67%	0	0.5	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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