Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 13, 2007

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $26.8700 (0.34%) ($26.7600 - $26.8700) on Fri. Jul. 13, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $26.8700(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    IWM(59%)    VWO(58%)    XLY(58%)    EEM(57%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.61(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.57(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.54(1.24%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2007	25.92	26.54	26.57	26.61			26.87(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	3	56	0.01	48%	0.04	17.8	0.7%	0	1.4	60	0
2	Jul_12_2007	25.91	26.52	26.52	26.58			26.78(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	4	43	0.04	50%	0.04	25.3	0.7%	0	1.1	51	0
3	Jul_11_2007	25.9	26.51	26.47	26.54			26.42(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-3	27	0.01	46%	0.04	19.3	0.69%	0	-0.4	45	0
4	Jul_10_2007	25.89	26.5	26.47	26.57			26.29(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.01	46%	0	9.2	0.69%	0	-0.9	35	0
5	Jul_9_2007	25.89	26.51	26.44	26.61			26.7(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	10	3	0.01	50%	0.04	3.6	0.66%	0	0.9	45	0

6	Jul_6_2007	25.88	26.49	26.4	26.52			26.69(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	8	-30	0.01	50%	0.04	-19.3	0.66%	0	0.9	45	0
7	Jul_5_2007	25.87	26.49	26.4	26.45			26.59(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	6	-43	0.01	50%	0.04	-41.4	0.67%	0	0.5	47	0
8	Jul_3_2007	25.86	26.47	26.39	26.4			26.6(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	11	-48	0.01	52%	0.04	-49.5	0.67%	0	0.5	53	0
9	Jul_2_2007	25.85	26.48	26.41	26.3			26.47(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	7	-48	0.04	54%	0.04	-51	0.67%	0	-0	58	0
10	Jun_29_2007	25.84	26.5	26.44	26.24			26.23(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-3	-55	0.01	52%	0.04	-47.2	0.66%	0	-1	47	0

11	Jun_28_2007	25.83	26.54	26.5	26.27			26.35(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	-7	-40	0.02	49%	0.04	-35.8	0.66%	0	-0.7	49	0
12	Jun_27_2007	25.82	26.56	26.53	26.33			26.35(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-6	-12	0.01	49%	0	-26.7	0.67%	0	-0.7	57	0
13	Jun_26_2007	25.82	26.58	26.54	26.38			26.09(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-18	-11	0.02	47%	0.04	-20	0.67%	0	-1.7	41	0
14	Jun_25_2007	25.81	26.61	26.56	26.54			26.17(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-15	-1	0.03	47%	0	-5.1	0.67%	0	-1.7	38	0
15	Jun_22_2007	25.81	26.63	26.6	26.67			26.38(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-9	9	0.01	49%	0.04	7.8	0.66%	0	-1	39	0

16	Jun_21_2007	25.8	26.63	26.61	26.67			26.65(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	0	14	0.01	55%	0.04	15.6	0.64%	0	0	43	0
17	Jun_20_2007	25.79	26.63	26.61	26.75			26.61(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-9	0.01	55%	0.08	18.9	0.67%	0	-0.1	44	0
18	Jun_19_2007	25.77	26.64	26.56	26.73			26.89(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	-10000	16	-15	0.01	60%	0.04	23.3	0.66%	0	1	51	0
19	Jun_18_2007	25.76	26.63	26.55	26.59			26.8(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	8	-36	0.01	60%	0.08	11.6	0.67%	0	0.7	53	0
20	Jun_15_2007	25.74	26.62	26.56	26.52			26.81(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-10000	9	-36	0.01	60%	0.08	5.8	0.67%	0	0.8	55	0

21	Jun_14_2007	25.72	26.6	26.57	26.44			26.66(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	13	-32	0.01	60%	0.04	-2.3	0.67%	0	0.3	57	0
22	Jun_13_2007	25.71	26.59	26.58	26.33			26.48(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-10000	-3	-52	0.02	54%	0.04	-20.9	0.67%	0	-0.5	47	0
23	Jun_12_2007	25.7	26.58	26.62	26.36			26.19(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-15	-47	0.01	52%	0.04	-21.1	0.71%	0	-1.6	41	0
24	Jun_11_2007	25.69	26.58	26.66	26.5			26.44(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	-10000	-12	-24	0.01	54%	0.04	-12	0.69%	0	-0.7	46	0
25	Jun_8_2007	25.68	26.6	26.68	26.61			26.44(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-11	-5	0.01	54%		0	0.69%	0	-0.7	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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