Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 18, 2007

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $26.6000 (0.45%) ($26.4600 - $26.6200) on Fri. May. 18, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $26.6000(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    IWM(59%)    VWO(58%)    XLY(58%)    EEM(57%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.46(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.52(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.42(0.68%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 0.72% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2007	25.47	26.42		26.46			26.6(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	3	15	0.02	49%	0.08	70.8	0.81%	0	0.9	66	0
2	May_17_2007	25.45	26.4	26.52	26.43			26.48(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	1	15	0.02	49%	0.04	69.9	0.82%	0	0.4	53	0
3	May_16_2007	25.44	26.37	26.52	26.42			26.47(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-10000	-6	11	0.03	49%	0.08	68.1	0.82%	0	0.4	52	0
4	May_15_2007	25.42	26.34	26.51	26.48			26.33(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-5	24	0.02	49%	0.04	79.8	0.82%	0	-0	51	0
5	May_14_2007	25.41	26.32	26.5	26.53			26.44(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-5	33	0.05	50%	0.04	87.7	0.82%	0	0.4	59	0

6	May_11_2007	25.4	26.29	26.47	26.58			26.45(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-3	43	0.04	51%	0.08	87.7	0.82%	0	0.5	61	0
7	May_10_2007	25.38	26.25	26.47	26.58			26.42(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	0	56	0.07	51%	0.08	85	0.83%	0	0.5	61	0
8	May_9_2007	25.36	26.2	26.46	26.61			26.76(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	6	76	0.04	52%	0.04	79.9	0.81%	0	1.4	77	0
9	May_8_2007	25.35	26.13	26.42	26.55			26.59(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	8	79	0.04	52%	0.04	78.5	0.82%	0	1.2	69	0
10	May_7_2007	25.34	26.08	26.38	26.46			26.7(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	11	76	0.02	53%	0.08	77.1	0.82%	0	1.6	73	0

11	May_4_2007	25.32	26.01	26.31	26.34			26.58(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	4	63	0.03	53%	0.04	81.5	0.81%	0	1.5	72	0
12	May_3_2007	25.31	25.95	26.26	26.34			26.41(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	0	72	0.03	53%	0.08	87	0.81%	0	1.2	76	0
13	May_2_2007	25.29	25.9	26.2	26.3			26.45(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	-10000	2	79	0.02	53%	0.04	93.9	0.82%	0	1.4	76	0
14	May_1_2007	25.28	25.83	26.15	26.28			26.18(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.3	24	-10000	1	94	0.05	51%	0.04	93.4	0.81%	0	0.9	77	0
15	Apr_30_2007	25.27	25.77	26.12	26.28			26.1(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-10000	0	107	0.01	51%	0.04	85.9	0.8%	0	0.8	69	0

16	Apr_27_2007	25.26	25.71	26.1	26.27			26.37(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	6	124	0.02	53%	0.04	73.8	0.79%	0	1.4	79	0
17	Apr_26_2007	25.25	25.63	26.01	26.21			26.39(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	12	124	0.02	53%	0.04	66.3	0.79%	0	1.6	81	0
18	Apr_25_2007	25.24	25.54	25.93	26.09			26.35(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	35	-10000	9	111	0.03	51%	0.08	55.9	0.79%	0	1.7	81	0
19	Apr_24_2007	25.22	25.47	25.82	26			26.15(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	5	101	0.02	52%	0.04	55.8	0.8%	0	1.5	81	0
20	Apr_23_2007	25.21	25.42	25.75	25.95			26.1(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	5	108	0.02	53%	0.04	61.5	0.8%	0	1.6	84	0

21	Apr_20_2007	25.2	25.36	25.69	25.9			26.08(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	12	124	0.01	53%	0.04	72.2	0.8%	0	1.8	86	0
22	Apr_19_2007	25.19	25.31	25.61	25.78			25.78(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	5	121	0.03	51%	0.04	77.4	0.8%	0	1.3	82	0
23	Apr_18_2007	25.18	25.28	25.56	25.73			25.91(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	12	135	0.02	50%	0.04	89.1	0.79%	0	1.8	88	0
24	Apr_17_2007	25.17	25.22	25.49	25.61			25.87(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	8	120	0.03	50%	0.04	88.1	0.8%	0	1.9	74	0
25	Apr_16_2007	25.16	25.15	25.39	25.53			25.84(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	8	104	0.02	50%		85.8	0.8%	0	2.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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