Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $26.0800 (1.16%) ($25.9200 - $26.0800) on Fri. Apr. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $26.0800(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    IWM(59%)    VWO(58%)    XLY(58%)    EEM(57%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.9(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.69(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.36(2.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2007	25.2	25.36	25.69	25.9			26.08(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	12	124	0.01	53%	0.04	72.2	0.8%	0	1.8	86	0
2	Apr_19_2007	25.19	25.31	25.61	25.78			25.78(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	5	121	0.03	51%	0.04	77.4	0.8%	0	1.3	82	0
3	Apr_18_2007	25.18	25.28	25.56	25.73			25.91(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	12	135	0.02	50%	0.04	89.1	0.79%	0	1.8	88	0
4	Apr_17_2007	25.17	25.22	25.49	25.61			25.87(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	8	120	0.03	50%	0.04	88.1	0.8%	0	1.9	74	0
5	Apr_16_2007	25.16	25.15	25.39	25.53			25.84(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	8	104	0.02	50%	0	85.8	0.8%	0	2.2	68	0

6	Apr_13_2007	25.16	25.08	25.28	25.45			25.5(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	84	0.02	47%	0.04	75	0.78%	0	1.3	61	0
7	Apr_12_2007	25.15	25.03	25.21	25.42			25.53(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	70	0.02	47%	0	68.9	0.79%	0	1.5	62	0
8	Apr_11_2007	25.15	24.97	25.13	25.37			25.31(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	3	53	0.02	46%	0.04	61.8	0.78%	0	1	55	0
9	Apr_10_2007	25.14	24.92	25.09	25.34			25.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	-10000	11	57	0.02	46%	0	52.8	0.78%	0	1.5	72	0
10	Apr_9_2007	25.14	24.88	25.05	25.23			25.45(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	14	56	0.04	48%	0.04	54	0.78%	0	1.7	74	0

11	Apr_5_2007	25.13	24.84	25.01	25.09			25.35(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	22	-10000	12	52	0.02	47%	0	48.8	0.78%	0	1.6	77	0
12	Apr_4_2007	25.13	24.8	24.98	24.97			25.29(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	11	49	0.03	48%	0	39.3	0.78%	0	1.7	70	0
13	Apr_3_2007	25.13	24.76	24.96	24.86			25.15(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	4	49	0.02	47%	0	22.9	0.78%	0	1.4	70	0
14	Apr_2_2007	25.13	24.73	24.92	24.82			24.93(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	-3	54	0.01	45%	0	16.5	0.78%	0	0.7	69	0
15	Mar_30_2007	25.13	24.7	24.89	24.85			24.73(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-8	56	0.01	43%	-0.04	-3.7	0.78%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Mar_29_2007	25.14	24.7	24.86	24.93			24.75(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-7	62	0.03	43%	0	-16.5	0.78%	0	0.2	53	0
17	Mar_28_2007	25.14	24.69	24.84	25			24.72(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-8	71	0.03	43%	-0.04	-28.4	0.78%	0	0.1	52	0
18	Mar_27_2007	25.15	24.7	24.81	25.08			24.97(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	5	90	0.16	47%	0	-35.8	0.77%	0	1	61	0
19	Mar_26_2007	25.15	24.69	24.74	25.03			25.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	9	76	0.02	48%	0	-47.1	0.77%	0	1.2	62	0
20	Mar_23_2007	25.15	24.71	24.7	24.94			25.11(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	17	77	0.03	48%	-0.04	-48.1	0.78%	0	1	69	0

21	Mar_22_2007	25.16	24.73	24.65	24.78			25.1(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	13	53	0.02	47%	0	-51.1	0.78%	0	0.8	60	0
22	Mar_21_2007	25.16	24.77	24.6	24.66			25.13(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	16	30	0.06	46%	0	-51.9	0.78%	0	0.7	54	0
23	Mar_20_2007	25.16	24.8	24.54	24.51			24.73(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	-10000	10	-11	0.03	42%	0	-54	0.76%	0	-0.1	44	0
24	Mar_19_2007	25.16	24.85	24.52	24.42			24.61(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-2	-39	0.03	42%	-0.04	-55	0.76%	0	-0.4	47	0
25	Mar_16_2007	25.17	24.9	24.48	24.44			24.34(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-6	-78	0.02	39%		-49.8	0.75%	0	-0.9	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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