Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 20, 2018

Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Progressive Corporation)
PGR latest price $64.4005 (0.94%) ($63.9481 - $64.5161) on Mon. Aug. 20, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $64.4005(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PGR advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PGR advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PGR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(58%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    VYM(54%)    SDY(52%)
Factors Impacting PGR price   PGR will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-15%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    DIA(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.49(3.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.25(5.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.74(7.8%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $37.7b

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.

$. PGR price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2018	58.79	59.74	61.25	62.49			64.4(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	-10000	31	211	4.51	72%	0.09	64.9	0.98%	0	2.3	90	1.1
2	Aug_17_2018	58.74	59.38	60.71	61.54			63.8(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	63	-10000	25	177	5.71	67%	0.1	63.3	0.98%	0	2.5	90	0.9
3	Aug_16_2018	58.68	59.05	60.23	60.8			62.62(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	49	-10000	16	148	4.53	65%	0.07	65.7	0.99%	0	2.4	83	0.2
4	Aug_15_2018	58.64	58.77	59.88	60.32			61.67(2.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	45	-10000	14	138	3.43	63%	0.07	71.4	0.98%	0	2.3	77	-1.4
5	Aug_14_2018	58.6	58.58	59.53	59.9			59.96(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	3	132	5.67	58%	0.02	76.9	0.91%	0	1.3	74	0.4

6	Aug_13_2018	58.59	58.44	59.32	59.81			59.65(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	4	134	2.58	58%	0.03	72	0.92%	0	1.1	74	-1
7	Aug_10_2018	58.57	58.27	59.1	59.71			60.11(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	6	130	2.45	58%	0.03	63.2	0.92%	0	1.6	76	0.6
8	Aug_9_2018	58.55	58.08	58.85	59.54			60.2(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	6	123	2.17	58%	0.02	59	0.92%	0	1.9	73	1.8
9	Aug_8_2018	58.54	57.89	58.61	59.37			59.6(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	10	123	2.09	56%	-0.02	59.7	0.92%	0	1.7	72	2.3
10	Aug_7_2018	58.55	57.75	58.38	59.11			59.51(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	13	101	3.75	56%	0	56.4	0.93%	0	1.9	60	2.3

11	Aug_6_2018	58.55	57.64	58.14	58.76			59.13(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	14	80	2.32	56%	0	51.7	0.94%	0	1.8	65	1.9
12	Aug_3_2018	58.55	57.54	57.96	58.37			59.25(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	12	67	3.86	56%	0	44.9	0.95%	0	2.2	71	1.1
13	Aug_2_2018	58.55	57.42	57.78	58.05			59.38(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	24	-10000	11	62	4.26	50%	0	35.8	0.95%	0	2.8	72	0.8
14	Aug_1_2018	58.55	57.29	57.56	57.75			58.26(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	7	50	3.37	46%	0.02	34.4	0.97%	0	1.8	65	0.7
15	Jul_31_2018	58.54	57.22	57.53	57.55			57.77(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	4	49	4.23	46%	0	22.6	0.97%	0	1.1	56	0.6

16	Jul_30_2018	58.54	57.21	57.47	57.43			57.2(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-1	39	2.18	43%	-0.02	12.2	0.97%	0	-0	48	0.3
17	Jul_27_2018	58.55	57.19	57.39	57.47			57.63(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	0	31	2.04	43%	0.02	0	0.97%	0	0.9	52	0.6
18	Jul_26_2018	58.54	57.17	57.26	57.46			57.87(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	4	26	3.26	43%	0.02	-15	0.97%	0	1.5	57	1.1
19	Jul_25_2018	58.53	57.17	57.12	57.34			57.3(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-6	11	3.37	40%	0.02	-49.4	0.97%	0	0.4	55	1.2
20	Jul_24_2018	58.52	57.11	57.09	57.34			57.17(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	6	-10000	0	24	3.13	40%	0.02	-58	0.97%	0	0.1	51	1.2

21	Jul_23_2018	58.51	57.15	57.11	57.51			57.35(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	8	26	3.03	40%	0.03	-66.7	0.98%	0	0.4	48	0.9
22	Jul_20_2018	58.49	57.2	57.1	57.29			57.59(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	10	17	3.17	40%	0.03	-80.2	0.98%	0	0.7	55	1.1
23	Jul_19_2018	58.47	57.24	57.04	57.02			57.29(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	6	-3	5.58	40%	0.03	-86.3	0.97%	0	0.1	49	1.2
24	Jul_18_2018	58.45	57.33	56.99	56.86			58.13(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	-10000	9	-9	8.77	40%	0.02	-86.8	0.96%	0	1	63	1.4
25	Jul_17_2018	58.44	57.39	56.88	56.63			57.18(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	-2	-31	6.39	41%		-81.1	0.96%	0	-0.2	46	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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