Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Progressive Corporation)
PGR latest price $41.6170 (-0.85%) ($41.4614 - $42.1731) on Thu. Jun. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $41.6170(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   PGR advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PGR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(57%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    VYM(54%)    SDY(52%)
Factors Impacting PGR price   PGR will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-8%)    XHB(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.9(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.92(-0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.5(0.28%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $24.363b

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.

$. PGR price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2017	38.33	41.5	41.92	41.9			41.62(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	1	39	2.08	67%	0.18	71.7	0.73%	0	0.2	63	0
2	Jun_28_2017	38.26	41.44	41.98	41.89			41.98(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	1	67	2.3	71%	0.18	71.3	0.74%	0	0.7	74	0
3	Jun_27_2017	38.19	41.34	41.97	41.88			42.07(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	3	92	2.59	71%	0.21	71.4	0.74%	0	0.9	76	0
4	Jun_26_2017	38.11	41.23	41.88	41.84			42(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	24	-10000	-1	98	2.36	71%	0.18	75.4	0.75%	0	1	76	0
5	Jun_23_2017	38.04	41.13	41.8	41.86			41.84(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	-6	112	14.86	71%	0.18	81	0.75%	0	0.9	72	0

6	Jun_22_2017	37.97	41.03	41.72	41.95			41.56(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	27	-10000	-8	130	2.47	71%	0.18	86.5	0.75%	0	0.6	69	0
7	Jun_21_2017	37.9	40.93	41.64	42.07			41.92(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	40	-10000	1	158	2.75	73%	0.19	88.8	0.74%	0	1.1	80	0
8	Jun_20_2017	37.83	40.79	41.5	42.06			41.86(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	-10000	10	170	1.92	73%	0.19	92.5	0.75%	0	1.2	83	0
9	Jun_19_2017	37.76	40.66	41.37	41.91			42.14(-0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	52	-10000	12	173	4.93	73%	0.19	93.1	0.74%	0	1.6	90	0
10	Jun_16_2017	37.69	40.49	41.21	41.72			42.26(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	-10000	17	171	3.08	73%	0.21	92.3	0.74%	0	1.9	90	0

11	Jun_15_2017	37.61	40.33	41.04	41.46			42.17(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	56	-10000	21	160	2.36	74%	0.19	97.7	0.75%	0	2.1	90	0
12	Jun_14_2017	37.54	40.16	40.84	41.14			41.86(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	49	-10000	18	142	3.25	74%	0.21	97.1	0.75%	0	2	91	0
13	Jun_13_2017	37.46	39.96	40.65	40.87			41.11(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	39	-10000	8	132	2.69	72%	0.21	84.1	0.72%	0	1.3	90	0
14	Jun_12_2017	37.38	39.8	40.53	40.75			41.17(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	-10000	8	132	2.73	72%	0.19	74.8	0.72%	0	1.5	92	0
15	Jun_9_2017	37.31	39.63	40.39	40.63			40.99(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	6	143	2.43	72%	0.21	65.7	0.72%	0	1.4	93	0

16	Jun_8_2017	37.23	39.48	40.28	40.55			40.59(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	3	152	3.61	71%	0.19	62.9	0.71%	0	1.1	75	0
17	Jun_7_2017	37.16	39.36	40.16	40.5			40.49(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	-10000	7	162	2.04	71%	0.19	63.9	0.71%	0	1.2	78	0
18	Jun_6_2017	37.09	39.24	40.04	40.4			40.5(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	10	182	2.49	68%	0.11	66.4	0.71%	0	1.3	84	0
19	Jun_5_2017	37.05	39.12	39.9	40.26			40.59(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	10	189	1.91	68%	0.19	68.8	0.73%	0	1.6	84	0
20	Jun_2_2017	36.98	39.01	39.72	40.12			40.61(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	-10000	11	198	2.52	68%	0.19	74.1	0.73%	0	1.8	85	0

21	Jun_1_2017	36.91	38.87	39.57	39.96			40.31(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	-10000	12	209	2.36	69%	0.19	77.3	0.73%	0	1.8	78	0
22	May_31_2017	36.84	38.74	39.42	39.79			40(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	-10000	12	202	4.75	66%	0.19	76.1	0.74%	0	1.6	71	0
23	May_30_2017	36.77	38.6	39.21	39.62			39.8(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	9	184	1.5	66%	0.27	66.8	0.73%	0	1.5	71	0
24	May_26_2017	36.67	38.48	39.03	39.49			39.87(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	-10000	16	163	2.43	68%	0.19	64	0.76%	0	1.8	67	0
25	May_25_2017	36.6	38.36	38.81	39.26			39.84(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	9	124	1.91	68%		63.8	0.76%	0	2.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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