Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Progressive Corporation)
PGR latest price $37.7522 (1.62%) ($37.1112 - $37.8276) on Wed. May. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $37.7522(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PGR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PGR advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PGR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(57%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    VYM(53%)    SDY(52%)
Factors Impacting PGR price   PGR will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    XHB(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.53(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.47(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.26(1.32%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $22.1b

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.

$. PGR price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2017	35.75	37.26	37.47	37.53			37.75(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	1	63	3.25	71%	0.2	39.8	0.72%	0	1.6	60	0
2	May_2_2017	35.68	37.26	37.36	37.51			37.15(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-8	49	2.62	69%	0.14	32.1	0.69%	0	-0.2	49	0
3	May_1_2017	35.63	37.22	37.33	37.61			37.49(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	1	55	1.84	73%	0.17	38.3	0.68%	0	0.9	52	0
4	Apr_28_2017	35.57	37.19	37.31	37.6			37.44(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	20	-10000	6	62	1.57	67%	0.17	33.3	0.69%	0	0.9	57	0
5	Apr_27_2017	35.51	37.18	37.27	37.53			37.8(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	10	57	1.99	71%	0.2	26.9	0.69%	0	2.1	63	0

6	Apr_26_2017	35.44	37.14	37.19	37.4			37.69(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	16	44	1.66	71%	0.2	9	0.69%	0	2.2	62	0
7	Apr_25_2017	35.37	37.13	37.14	37.19			37.63(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	15	-10000	13	21	1.96	75%	0.2	-16.9	0.69%	0	2.1	61	0
8	Apr_24_2017	35.3	37.11	37.1	37.02			37.43(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	2	-10000	2	1	1.65	75%	0.2	-57.9	0.79%	0	1.5	58	0
9	Apr_21_2017	35.23	37.09	37.06	36.99			37.12(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	1	-1	3.25	74%	0.17	-81.5	0.78%	0	0.1	55	0
10	Apr_20_2017	35.17	37.1	37.05	36.98			37.15(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	2	-7	3	74%	0.17	-94.4	0.79%	0	0.2	48	0

11	Apr_19_2017	35.11	37.12	37.03	36.95			36.64(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-8	-16	3.92	72%	0.17	-96.6	0.77%	0	-2.2	40	0
12	Apr_18_2017	35.05	37.17	37.07	37.07			36.77(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-8	-13	7.09	74%	0.17	-74.2	0.77%	0	-1.7	33	0
13	Apr_17_2017	34.99	37.23	37.1	37.19			37.29(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	3	1	2.71	80%	0.2	-45.7	0.75%	0	0.2	51	0
14	Apr_13_2017	34.92	37.26	37.07	37.14			37.04(0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	-10000	1	-12	2.71	80%	0.17	-32.6	0.76%	0	-0.7	45	0
15	Apr_12_2017	34.86	37.29	37.08	37.13			37.03(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	-10000	1	-15	2.46	80%	0.2	-23.9	0.76%	0	-0.8	43	0

16	Apr_11_2017	34.79	37.33	37.09	37.12			37.24(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	3	-22	2.51	80%	0.2	-13.6	0.76%	0	-0.3	42	0
17	Apr_10_2017	34.72	37.34	37.12	37.08			37.34(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	5	-31	2.02	81%	0.2	-12.8	0.76%	0	0	39	0
18	Apr_7_2017	34.65	37.35	37.1	37.01			37.04(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	1	-53	3.38	81%	0.2	-14	0.78%	0	-1	27	0
19	Apr_6_2017	34.58	37.36	37.13	36.99			37(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	-10000	-3	-70	5.28	81%	0.2	-19.8	0.79%	0	-1.1	25	0
20	Apr_5_2017	34.51	37.37	37.16	37.04			37(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-1	-74	2.32	81%	0.17	-20.9	0.79%	0	-1.2	35	0

21	Apr_4_2017	34.45	37.37	37.21	37.06			37.01(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-8	-81	2.88	82%	0.2	-25.6	0.79%	0	-1.2	33	0
22	Apr_3_2017	34.38	37.38	37.28	37.17			37.03(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-63	3.75	82%	0.17	-15.7	0.8%	0	-1.1	43	0
23	Mar_31_2017	34.32	37.39	37.36	37.21			36.93(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-5	-52	3.41	82%	0.2	-5	0.8%	0	-1.5	44	0
24	Mar_30_2017	34.25	37.43	37.47	37.28			37.21(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-32	2.37	82%	0.23	12	0.79%	0	-0.8	51	0
25	Mar_29_2017	34.17	37.44	37.52	37.29			37.12(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-5	-20	2.76	82%		24	0.79%	0	-1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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