Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Progressive Corporation)
PGR latest price $37.7333 (-0.32%) ($37.7004 - $38.0067) on Thu. Mar. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $37.7333(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PGR advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PGR advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PGR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(57%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    VYM(53%)    SDY(52%)
Factors Impacting PGR price   PGR will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    PAVE(-12%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.55(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.38(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.12(1.65%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $22.089b

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.

$. PGR price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2017	33.38	37.12	37.38	37.55			37.73(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	9	55	2.15	86%	0.24	118.6	0.76%	0	1.5	66	0
2	Mar_15_2017	33.3	37.04	37.34	37.42			37.86(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	11	52	2.56	87%	0.27	119.3	0.76%	0	1.9	68	0
3	Mar_14_2017	33.21	36.92	37.3	37.26			37.48(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	6	51	2.14	88%	0.24	93.8	0.76%	0	1	67	0
4	Mar_13_2017	33.13	36.82	37.25	37.18			37.4(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	3	43	2.79	88%	0.24	83.7	0.8%	0	1	64	0
5	Mar_10_2017	33.05	36.73	37.18	37.13			37.27(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-3	42	3.52	88%	0.24	80.8	0.8%	0	0.8	68	0

6	Mar_9_2017	32.97	36.63	37.14	37.18			37.09(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-4	56	2.7	88%	0.24	77.2	0.8%	0	0.6	65	0
7	Mar_8_2017	32.89	36.53	37.11	37.24			37.05(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-7	76	2.48	88%	0.24	73.1	0.8%	0	0.6	68	0
8	Mar_7_2017	32.81	36.42	37.08	37.35			37.06(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	2	118	2.22	88%	0.21	73.7	0.8%	0	0.7	77	0
9	Mar_6_2017	32.74	36.32	37.04	37.32			37.15(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	6	142	2.08	88%	0.21	71.4	0.81%	0	0.9	75	0
10	Mar_3_2017	32.67	36.21	36.97	37.23			37.54(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	10	155	1.86	93%	0.25	67.3	0.79%	0	1.5	80	0

11	Mar_2_2017	32.59	36.08	36.85	37.08			37.4(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	-10000	8	162	2.35	93%	0.25	63.6	0.8%	0	1.5	82	0
12	Mar_1_2017	32.51	35.95	36.73	36.97			37.58(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	-10000	14	181	4.11	93%	0.28	61.6	0.8%	0	1.9	87	0
13	Feb_28_2017	32.42	35.8	36.5	36.77			36.93(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	3	170	4.2	93%	0.28	63.3	0.78%	0	1.4	83	0
14	Feb_27_2017	32.33	35.69	36.36	36.73			36.67(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	5	180	1.66	93%	0.22	69.6	0.78%	0	1.2	82	0
15	Feb_24_2017	32.26	35.61	36.25	36.66			36.81(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	6	188	1.98	93%	0.28	79.2	0.78%	0	1.6	81	0

16	Feb_23_2017	32.17	35.52	36.09	36.58			36.85(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	9	188	3.47	93%	0.25	91.6	0.78%	0	1.8	82	0
17	Feb_22_2017	32.09	35.42	35.89	36.45			36.61(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	-10000	18	181	2.13	93%	0.28	106	0.78%	0	1.8	82	0
18	Feb_21_2017	32	35.29	35.72	36.19			36.7(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	53	-10000	18	158	2.32	93%	0.34	96.8	0.78%	0	2.1	85	0
19	Feb_17_2017	31.89	35.14	35.53	35.94			36.36(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	12	133	1.98	93%	0.22	84.9	0.77%	0	1.7	82	0
20	Feb_16_2017	31.82	35.01	35.39	35.77			36.39(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	-10000	18	113	2.45	83%	0.25	81	0.78%	0	2	67	0

21	Feb_15_2017	31.74	34.87	35.24	35.52			36.19(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	18	74	4.09	83%	0.22	75.7	0.85%	0	2	64	0
22	Feb_14_2017	31.67	34.74	35.1	35.25			35.3(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	5	40	2.32	81%	0.22	64.7	0.8%	0	0.8	57	0
23	Feb_13_2017	31.6	34.65	35.03	35.18			35.44(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	8	47	2.52	81%	0.19	64.2	0.79%	0	1.2	76	0
24	Feb_10_2017	31.54	34.55	34.96	35.07			35.5(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	19	-10000	7	54	2.58	84%	0.22	60.3	0.79%	0	1.4	78	0
25	Feb_9_2017	31.47	34.45	34.92	34.97			35.18(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	3	63	2.15	83%		59.9	0.86%	0	1.1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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