Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Progressive Corporation)
PGR latest price $31.0130 (-0.53%) ($31.0130 - $31.3370) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $31.0130(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PGR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PGR advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PGR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(57%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    VYM(53%)    SDY(51%)
Factors Impacting PGR price   PGR will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.81(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.5(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.07(3.14%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $18.155b

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.

$. PGR price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2016	30.75	30.07	30.5	30.81			31.01(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	2	112	2.32	56%	0.03	25.8	1.08%	0	1.5	66	0
2	Jul_8_2016	30.74	30.03	30.33	30.77			31.18(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	2	108	3.13	56%	0.07	23.6	1.08%	0	1.9	68	0
3	Jul_7_2016	30.72	29.98	30.21	30.73			30.67(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	5	119	3.53	54%	0.03	22.4	1.06%	0	1.3	63	0
4	Jul_6_2016	30.71	29.96	30.11	30.64			30.64(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	14	120	2.2	54%	0.03	13.3	1.06%	0	1.3	64	0
5	Jul_5_2016	30.7	29.93	30.01	30.42			30.57(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	19	100	1.97	51%	0.07	-3.5	1.07%	0	1.3	59	0

6	Jul_1_2016	30.68	29.91	29.9	30.12			30.76(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	18	61	2.36	51%	0.1	-25.1	1.07%	0	1.7	57	0
7	Jun_30_2016	30.65	29.88	29.76	29.83			31(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	13	-10000	12	15	3.54	51%	0.07	-44.3	1.07%	0	2.2	55	0
8	Jun_29_2016	30.63	29.86	29.6	29.64			30.2(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	-10000	7	-22	3.57	47%	0.07	-56.7	1.01%	0	0.7	45	0
9	Jun_28_2016	30.61	29.89	29.51	29.53			29.59(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-58	2.43	43%	0.03	-60.9	0.98%	0	-0.6	38	0
10	Jun_27_2016	30.6	29.94	29.52	29.54			29.02(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-6	-69	4.11	38%	0.03	-57.1	0.95%	0	-1.7	35	0

11	Jun_24_2016	30.59	30.03	29.62	29.63			29.32(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-2	-66	5.67	40%	0.03	-52.9	0.95%	0	-1.4	35	0
12	Jun_23_2016	30.58	30.11	29.7	29.66			30.07(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	8	-67	1.9	45%	0.07	-48.2	0.91%	0	-0.1	41	0
13	Jun_22_2016	30.56	30.14	29.73	29.55			29.64(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	4	-90	1.82	41%	0.03	-45.1	0.89%	0	-1	28	0
14	Jun_21_2016	30.55	30.21	29.79	29.5			29.65(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-1	-111	2.01	41%	0.07	-42.3	0.89%	0	-1.1	25	0
15	Jun_20_2016	30.53	30.25	29.84	29.51			29.48(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10000	-7	-127	2.49	41%	0.03	-43	0.9%	0	-1.5	24	0

16	Jun_17_2016	30.52	30.31	29.92	29.6			29.44(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-12	-129	2.6	44%	0.07	-43.2	0.9%	0	-1.8	25	0
17	Jun_16_2016	30.5	30.35	30.02	29.76			29.56(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10000	-13	-119	2.02	50%	0.07	-47.3	0.91%	0	-1.8	26	0
18	Jun_15_2016	30.48	30.38	30.14	29.93			29.38(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-35	-10000	-14	-97	3.33	50%	0.1	-47.8	0.96%	0	-2.4	20	0
19	Jun_14_2016	30.45	30.43	30.29	30.13			29.7(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-23	-10000	-5	-75	2.88	52%	0.1	-51.3	0.95%	0	-2.1	21	0
20	Jun_13_2016	30.42	30.48	30.41	30.21			29.92(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-5	-62	2.67	52%	0.1	-55.1	0.95%	0	-1.9	40	0

21	Jun_10_2016	30.39	30.52	30.49	30.29			30.23(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-49	3.29	54%	0.13	-46.7	0.95%	0	-1	45	0
22	Jun_9_2016	30.35	30.56	30.55	30.33			30.41(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-33	2.16	54%	0.13	-31.6	0.95%	0	-0.5	58	0
23	Jun_8_2016	30.31	30.58	30.59	30.39			30.37(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-7	-14	2.21	54%	0.13	-22.1	0.95%	0	-0.7	61	0
24	Jun_7_2016	30.27	30.61	30.65	30.49			30.11(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-10	9	2.81	54%	-0.03	-5.9	0.95%	0	-1.6	47	0
25	Jun_6_2016	30.28	30.64	30.7	30.64			30.33(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-10000	-6	27	1.64	54%		8.4	0.95%	0	-1.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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