Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Progressive Corporation)
PGR latest price $27.5959 (0.1%) ($27.4161 - $27.8611) on Thu. Dec. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $27.5959(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PGR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PGR declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PGR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(55%)    IVE(54%)    VYM(54%)    SDY(52%)    SPY(52%)
Factors Impacting PGR price   PGR will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $27.94
5 Day Moving Average   $27.79(-0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.77(-0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.94(-1.23%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $16.155b

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.

$. PGR price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2015	27.99	27.94	27.77	27.79			27.6(0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-11	-10000	3	-53	3.01	48%	0	-55.9	1.09%	0	-1	41	0
2	Dec_9_2015	27.99	27.98	27.82	27.74			27.57(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-2	-63	3.53	48%	0	-80.5	1.1%	0	-1.2	41	0
3	Dec_8_2015	27.99	28.01	27.92	27.77			27.84(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-3	-46	2.84	51%	0	-105.3	1.1%	0	-0.5	54	0
4	Dec_7_2015	27.99	28.03	27.98	27.81			27.89(-0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	2	-27	2.98	51%	0	-125.4	1.13%	0	-0.4	52	0
5	Dec_4_2015	27.99	28.08	28.03	27.77			28.07(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	1	-18	4.29	51%	0.04	-131.3	1.14%	0	-0	57	0

6	Dec_3_2015	27.98	28.12	28.04	27.75			27.33(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-11	-20	4.18	47%	0	-123.5	1.1%	0	-1.8	43	0
7	Dec_2_2015	27.98	28.24	28.14	27.92			27.72(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-11	-6	3.48	52%	0.04	-98.4	1.08%	0	-1	41	0
8	Dec_1_2015	27.97	28.35	28.15	28.08			28.03(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-7	3	4.91	49%	0.07	-73.9	1.09%	0	-0.5	46	0
9	Nov_30_2015	27.95	28.45	28.15	28.19			27.71(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-8	5	4.89	47%	0.04	-57.3	1.12%	0	-1	41	0
10	Nov_27_2015	27.94	28.56	28.15	28.32			27.98(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-3	3	1.61	52%	0.14	-50.4	1.11%	0	-0.8	37	0

11	Nov_25_2015	27.9	28.66	28.13	28.37			28.14(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-1	-11	2.19	56%	0.07	-40.7	1.21%	0	-0.6	34	0
12	Nov_24_2015	27.88	28.76	28.15	28.39			28.54(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	11	-28	2.38	52%	0.11	-35.5	1.2%	0	-0.2	30	0
13	Nov_23_2015	27.85	28.82	28.12	28.21			28.56(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	8	-68	2.72	52%	0.04	-39.5	1.31%	0	-0.3	29	0
14	Nov_20_2015	27.84	28.89	28.08	28.07			28.4(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	8	-106	2.79	46%	0.11	-41.6	1.36%	0	-0.5	25	0
15	Nov_19_2015	27.81	28.95	28.11	27.91			28.23(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10000	3	-134	2.34	46%	0.07	-44.2	1.38%	0	-0.8	31	0

16	Nov_18_2015	27.79	29.03	28.19	27.85			28.23(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-41	-10000	-2	-159	4.41	46%	0.14	-42	1.38%	0	-0.9	28	0
17	Nov_17_2015	27.75	29.09	28.33	27.88			27.65(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-10000	-6	-170	3.11	43%	0.07	-37.5	1.35%	0	-1.6	19	0
18	Nov_16_2015	27.73	29.19	28.56	28			27.81(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-5	-158	3.3	43%	0.11	-32.3	1.36%	0	-1.6	28	0
19	Nov_13_2015	27.7	29.28	28.79	28.1			27.62(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-10000	-12	-151	3.24	43%	0.07	-30	1.35%	0	-2.2	25	0
20	Nov_12_2015	27.68	29.37	29.02	28.33			27.91(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-12	-133	3.15	43%	0.11	-21.8	1.35%	0	-2.1	30	0

21	Nov_11_2015	27.65	29.42	29.25	28.57			28.4(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-15	-111	2.61	45%	0.07	-15.2	1.33%	0	-1.5	33	0
22	Nov_10_2015	27.63	29.43	29.44	28.86			28.28(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-10000	-17	-79	5.51	47%	0.11	-3.7	1.33%	0	-1.8	39	0
23	Nov_9_2015	27.6	29.47	29.6	29.2			28.3(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-10000	-20	-49	5.09	47%	0.11	18	1.34%	0	-2	36	0
24	Nov_6_2015	27.57	29.51	29.77	29.59			28.78(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-9	-10000	-10	-7	7.69	49%	0.15	45.7	1.32%	0	-1.3	45	0
25	Nov_5_2015	27.53	29.52	29.88	29.79			29.12(-2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-12	16	7.34	49%		65.6	1.32%	0	-0.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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