Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 31, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $34.1100 (-0.18%) ($34.0500 - $34.2900) on Tue. Dec. 31, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $34.1100(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.13(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.83(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.29(2.46%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2013	32	33.29	33.83	34.13			34.11(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	3	138	0.09	62%	0.13	46.9	0.91%	0	1.3	72	0
2	Dec_30_2013	31.96	33.23	33.73	34.08			34.17(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	6	139	0.06	62%	0.13	44.6	0.93%	0	1.5	71	0
3	Dec_27_2013	31.92	33.17	33.58	33.99			34.06(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	9	129	0.02	62%	0.09	44.8	0.93%	0	1.6	69	0
4	Dec_26_2013	31.89	33.12	33.44	33.85			34.22(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	9	116	0.03	63%	0.19	46.6	0.92%	0	2	76	0
5	Dec_24_2013	31.83	33.06	33.27	33.71			34.07(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	-10000	14	106	0.03	63%	0.09	51.1	0.93%	0	2.2	76	0

6	Dec_23_2013	31.8	33	33.14	33.49			33.88(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	30	-10000	10	90	0.05	63%	0.09	47.5	0.92%	0	2.3	76	0
7	Dec_20_2013	31.77	32.95	33.03	33.33			33.71(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	14	76	0.07	63%	0.09	41.7	0.93%	0	2.2	62	0
8	Dec_19_2013	31.74	32.92	32.95	33.12			33.36(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	11	48	0.02	62%	0.13	30.7	0.93%	0	1.5	50	0
9	Dec_18_2013	31.7	32.87	32.87	32.95			33.53(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	14	-10000	12	21	0.03	62%	0.13	4.5	0.92%	0	2.3	53	0
10	Dec_17_2013	31.66	32.82	32.76	32.77			32.96(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.04	59%	0.09	-19	0.9%	0	0.5	48	0

11	Dec_16_2013	31.63	32.82	32.71	32.74			33.09(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-5	-10000	3	-27	0.02	59%	0.09	-20.3	0.91%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Dec_13_2013	31.6	32.81	32.68	32.7			32.66(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-3	-41	0.02	57%	0.13	-15.2	0.9%	0	-0.6	38	0
13	Dec_12_2013	31.56	32.83	32.73	32.75			32.53(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-1	-33	0.04	57%	0.1	7.6	0.9%	0	-1.2	37	0
14	Dec_11_2013	31.53	32.86	32.79	32.76			32.6(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-4	-10000	1	-18	0.05	57%	0.1	10.1	0.9%	0	-1	55	0
15	Dec_10_2013	31.5	32.87	32.83	32.74			32.8(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-11	0.26	59%	0.1	-2.6	0.89%	0	-0.3	57	0

16	Dec_9_2013	31.47	32.86	32.85	32.66			32.9(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	1	-18	0.04	59%	0.1	-20.3	0.9%	0	0.2	52	0
17	Dec_6_2013	31.44	32.85	32.87	32.65			32.91(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-8	-10000	-4	-21	0.03	59%	0.1	-29.1	0.91%	0	0.2	46	0
18	Dec_5_2013	31.41	32.81	32.89	32.71			32.61(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-8	-15	0.06	58%	0.06	-33.7	0.9%	0	-0.6	43	0
19	Dec_4_2013	31.39	32.83	32.88	32.83			32.5(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-7	-14	0.05	58%	0.1	-21.6	0.9%	0	-1	40	0
20	Dec_3_2013	31.36	32.88	32.89	32.93			32.4(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-8	-10000	-8	-7	0.03	58%	0.06	-8	0.91%	0	-1.5	47	0

21	Dec_2_2013	31.34	32.88	32.94	33.05			32.85(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-10000	-4	11	0.03	61%	0.1	8.2	0.89%	0	-0.2	55	0
22	Nov_29_2013	31.31	32.88	32.97	33.11			33.2(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	30	0.02	62%	0.19	15.5	0.89%	0	0.9	63	0
23	Nov_27_2013	31.25	32.92	32.95	33.09			33.18(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	9	51	0.06	57%	0.1	19.1	0.89%	0	0.8	70	0
24	Nov_26_2013	31.22	32.92	32.94	32.95			33.01(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	6	33	0.06	57%	0.13	12.1	0.95%	0	0.4	49	0
25	Nov_25_2013	31.18	32.9	32.91	32.85			32.99(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	3	11	0.04	57%		7.7	0.95%	0	0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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