Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $32.9100 (-0.3%) ($32.7800 - $33.1900) on Wed. Oct. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $32.9100(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.88(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.69(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.08(2.59%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2013	30.34	32.08	32.69	32.88			32.91(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	5	132	0.07	63%	0.17	47.2	0.9%	0	1.2	76	0
2	Oct_29_2013	30.29	32.02	32.59	32.8			33.01(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	3	146	0.32	63%	0.17	50.7	0.9%	0	1.5	82	0
3	Oct_28_2013	30.24	31.96	32.43	32.75			32.78(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	3	155	0.05	63%	0.13	56.9	0.9%	0	1.3	79	0
4	Oct_25_2013	30.2	31.89	32.33	32.7			32.88(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	5	162	0.03	63%	0.17	59.7	0.91%	0	1.6	69	0
5	Oct_24_2013	30.15	31.82	32.21	32.63			32.81(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	11	160	0.07	63%	0.17	63.1	0.91%	0	1.8	62	0

6	Oct_23_2013	30.1	31.75	32.06	32.47			32.5(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	9	141	0.15	59%	0.13	57.5	0.91%	0	1.4	62	0
7	Oct_22_2013	30.06	31.68	31.89	32.33			32.76(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	18	111	0.05	59%	0.17	50	0.91%	0	2.2	59	0
8	Oct_21_2013	30.01	31.6	31.7	32.07			32.57(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	12	60	0.05	59%	0.13	37.3	0.91%	0	2.2	56	0
9	Oct_18_2013	29.97	31.53	31.57	31.9			32.53(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	12	38	0.06	59%	0.13	31.5	0.92%	0	2.6	61	0
10	Oct_17_2013	29.93	31.47	31.47	31.73			31.97(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	9	20	0.05	57%	0.13	29.3	0.9%	0	1.6	54	0

11	Oct_16_2013	29.89	31.45	31.41	31.6			31.84(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	16	6	0.09	57%	0.1	31.6	0.9%	0	1.3	53	0
12	Oct_15_2013	29.86	31.45	31.4	31.38			31.42(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	8	-12	0.02	55%	0.07	25.8	0.89%	0	-0.1	54	0
13	Oct_14_2013	29.84	31.44	31.44	31.27			31.75(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	7	-14	0.03	57%	0.1	22.8	0.88%	0	1.1	58	0
14	Oct_11_2013	29.81	31.41	31.41	31.18			31.66(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-5	-10000	1	-22	0.03	59%	0.13	26.1	0.88%	0	0.9	58	0
15	Oct_10_2013	29.77	31.38	31.39	31.17			31.35(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.08	57%	0.13	37.4	0.88%	0	-0.1	49	0

16	Oct_9_2013	29.73	31.36	31.41	31.2			30.74(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-10000	-16	-28	0.23	54%	0.07	47.6	0.85%	0	-1.9	35	0
17	Oct_8_2013	29.71	31.36	31.47	31.41			30.83(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-10000	-16	-9	0.08	54%	0.1	79.4	0.85%	0	-1.7	37	0
18	Oct_7_2013	29.68	31.37	31.52	31.62			31.31(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-2	19	0.07	57%	0.1	100	0.83%	0	-0.2	49	0
19	Oct_4_2013	29.65	31.33	31.51	31.65			31.64(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	25	0.05	63%	0.14	92.1	0.84%	0	0.7	61	0
20	Oct_3_2013	29.61	31.26	31.49	31.64			31.47(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-1	30	0.03	63%	0.1	82.8	0.84%	0	0.4	60	0

21	Oct_2_2013	29.58	31.2	31.5	31.65			31.82(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	9	53	0.07	66%	0.14	79.8	0.83%	0	1.1	72	0
22	Oct_1_2013	29.54	31.11	31.48	31.53			31.88(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	10	56	0.07	69%	0.14	71.5	0.83%	0	1.3	74	0
23	Sep_30_2013	29.5	31.01	31.43	31.4			31.46(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	5	51	0.04	67%	0.1	63	0.84%	0	0.8	68	0
24	Sep_27_2013	29.47	30.93	31.4	31.34			31.56(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10000	1	60	0.04	68%	0.14	49.7	0.83%	0	1	78	0
25	Sep_26_2013	29.43	30.86	31.36	31.32			31.55(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	18	-10000	-1	75	0.04	70%		46.5	0.84%	0	1.1	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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