Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $31.8200 (-0.19%) ($31.6200 - $31.8600) on Wed. Oct. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $31.8200(-0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.65(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.5(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.2(1.99%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2013	29.58	31.2	31.5	31.65			31.82(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	9	53	0.07	66%	0.14	79.8	0.83%	0	1.1	72	0
2	Oct_1_2013	29.54	31.11	31.48	31.53			31.88(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	10	56	0.07	69%	0.14	71.5	0.83%	0	1.3	74	0
3	Sep_30_2013	29.5	31.01	31.43	31.4			31.46(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	5	51	0.04	67%	0.1	63	0.84%	0	0.8	68	0
4	Sep_27_2013	29.47	30.93	31.4	31.34			31.56(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10000	1	60	0.04	68%	0.14	49.7	0.83%	0	1	78	0
5	Sep_26_2013	29.43	30.86	31.36	31.32			31.55(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	18	-10000	-1	75	0.04	70%	0.14	46.5	0.84%	0	1.1	80	0

6	Sep_25_2013	29.39	30.78	31.29	31.34			31.2(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-7	91	0.03	70%	0.1	45.3	0.85%	0	0.7	78	0
7	Sep_24_2013	29.36	30.7	31.25	31.43			31.23(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-10000	-3	122	0.05	66%	0.1	43.4	0.85%	0	0.8	80	0
8	Sep_23_2013	29.33	30.67	31.22	31.47			31.18(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	38	-10000	1	147	0.03	66%	0.14	51.2	0.88%	0	0.8	82	0
9	Sep_20_2013	29.29	30.63	31.15	31.46			31.42(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	5	164	0.04	57%	0.14	56.3	0.89%	0	1.3	90	0
10	Sep_19_2013	29.25	30.58	31.03	31.39			31.66(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	-10000	11	151	0.24	57%	0.17	61.2	0.96%	0	1.8	80	0

11	Sep_18_2013	29.2	30.5	30.88	31.23			31.64(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	11	140	0.13	59%	0.14	56.1	0.97%	0	2.1	83	0
12	Sep_17_2013	29.16	30.42	30.72	31.06			31.43(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	8	128	0.02	59%	0.17	52.5	0.98%	0	2.1	82	0
13	Sep_16_2013	29.11	30.34	30.56	30.94			31.15(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	10	107	0.11	59%	0.14	43	0.97%	0	1.9	58	0
14	Sep_13_2013	29.07	30.28	30.42	30.79			31.07(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	12	78	0.02	61%	0.14	28.8	0.97%	0	2	56	0
15	Sep_12_2013	29.03	30.22	30.32	30.61			30.86(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	9	50	0.02	59%	0.14	7.8	0.99%	0	1.8	54	0

16	Sep_11_2013	28.99	30.19	30.21	30.47			30.8(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	10	30	0.02	57%	0.14	-0.9	1%	0	1.8	61	0
17	Sep_10_2013	28.95	30.17	30.11	30.32			30.82(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	12	5	0.04	57%	0.14	-11.7	1.01%	0	2.1	56	0
18	Sep_9_2013	28.91	30.17	30.11	30.13			30.41(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	9	-7	0.03	56%	0.14	-33.3	1%	0	0.9	58	0
19	Sep_6_2013	28.87	30.16	30.06	30.13			30.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.03	58%	0.17	-46.5	1.02%	0	0	54	0
20	Sep_5_2013	28.82	30.19	30.09	29.99			30.15(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-4	0.01	55%	0.14	-38.5	1.03%	0	-0.1	54	0

21	Sep_4_2013	28.78	30.2	30.08	29.92			30.06(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	4	-17	0.05	55%	0.1	-39.4	1.06%	0	-0.4	45	0
22	Sep_3_2013	28.75	30.21	30.08	29.86			29.86(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.07	55%	0.21	-37.6	1.06%	0	-1.1	40	0
23	Aug_30_2013	28.69	30.25	30.11	29.98			29.74(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-10	-34	0.04	55%	0.07	-12.5	1.05%	0	-1.5	38	0
24	Aug_29_2013	28.67	30.3	30.14	30.14			30.13(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-5	-28	0.02	55%	0.14	13.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	41	0
25	Aug_28_2013	28.63	30.32	30.12	30.22			29.82(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.02	56%		33	1.04%	0	-1.5	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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