Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $31.6400 (0.67%) ($31.2100 - $31.7000) on Wed. Sep. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $31.6400(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.23(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.88(2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.5(3.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2013	29.2	30.5	30.88	31.23			31.64(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	11	140	0.13	59%	0.14	56.1	0.97%	0	2.1	83	0
2	Sep_17_2013	29.16	30.42	30.72	31.06			31.43(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	8	128	0.02	59%	0.17	52.5	0.98%	0	2.1	82	0
3	Sep_16_2013	29.11	30.34	30.56	30.94			31.15(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	10	107	0.11	59%	0.14	43	0.97%	0	1.9	58	0
4	Sep_13_2013	29.07	30.28	30.42	30.79			31.07(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	12	78	0.02	61%	0.14	28.8	0.97%	0	2	56	0
5	Sep_12_2013	29.03	30.22	30.32	30.61			30.86(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	9	50	0.02	59%	0.14	7.8	0.99%	0	1.8	54	0

6	Sep_11_2013	28.99	30.19	30.21	30.47			30.8(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	10	30	0.02	57%	0.14	-0.9	1%	0	1.8	61	0
7	Sep_10_2013	28.95	30.17	30.11	30.32			30.82(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	12	5	0.04	57%	0.14	-11.7	1.01%	0	2.1	56	0
8	Sep_9_2013	28.91	30.17	30.11	30.13			30.41(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	9	-7	0.03	56%	0.14	-33.3	1%	0	0.9	58	0
9	Sep_6_2013	28.87	30.16	30.06	30.13			30.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.03	58%	0.17	-46.5	1.02%	0	0	54	0
10	Sep_5_2013	28.82	30.19	30.09	29.99			30.15(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-4	0.01	55%	0.14	-38.5	1.03%	0	-0.1	54	0

11	Sep_4_2013	28.78	30.2	30.08	29.92			30.06(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	4	-17	0.05	55%	0.1	-39.4	1.06%	0	-0.4	45	0
12	Sep_3_2013	28.75	30.21	30.08	29.86			29.86(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.07	55%	0.21	-37.6	1.06%	0	-1.1	40	0
13	Aug_30_2013	28.69	30.25	30.11	29.98			29.74(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-10	-34	0.04	55%	0.07	-12.5	1.05%	0	-1.5	38	0
14	Aug_29_2013	28.67	30.3	30.14	30.14			30.13(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-5	-28	0.02	55%	0.14	13.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	Aug_28_2013	28.63	30.32	30.12	30.22			29.82(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.02	56%	0.1	33	1.04%	0	-1.5	34	0

16	Aug_27_2013	28.6	30.33	30.18	30.27			29.73(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.07	56%	0.14	44	1.07%	0	-1.8	45	0
17	Aug_26_2013	28.56	30.34	30.26	30.38			30.49(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	8	-7	0.04	60%	0.14	56.3	1.03%	0	0.4	52	0
18	Aug_23_2013	28.52	30.3	30.26	30.25			30.54(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	8	-23	0.02	60%	0.14	41.4	1.03%	0	0.7	46	0
19	Aug_22_2013	28.48	30.26	30.27	30.13			30.51(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	7	-38	0.03	60%	0.18	27.8	1.03%	0	0.7	46	0
20	Aug_21_2013	28.43	30.21	30.29	30.02			30.06(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-5	-51	0.01	58%	0.14	10.8	1.02%	0	-0.4	44	0

21	Aug_20_2013	28.39	30.18	30.31	30.09			30.29(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	-3	-37	0.03	58%	0.14	9.6	1.01%	0	0.2	58	0
22	Aug_19_2013	28.35	30.18	30.32	30.14			29.86(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-10	-26	0.14	56%	0.04	8.9	1%	0	-0.7	54	0
23	Aug_16_2013	28.34	30.18	30.4	30.29			29.93(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-9	10	0.12	54%	0.14	17.8	1%	0	-0.5	59	0
24	Aug_15_2013	28.3	30.15	30.49	30.43			29.95(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-10	42	0.04	54%	0.11	26.7	1.02%	0	-0.5	56	0
25	Aug_14_2013	28.27	30.17	30.54	30.59			30.42(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	3	85	0.05	58%		40.4	1%	0	0.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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