Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $30.8200 (1.35%) ($30.5100 - $30.8300) on Tue. Sep. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $30.8200(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.32(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.11(2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.17(2.15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2013	28.95	30.17	30.11	30.32			30.82(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	12	5	0.04	57%	0.14	-11.7	1.01%	0	2.1	56	0
2	Sep_9_2013	28.91	30.17	30.11	30.13			30.41(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	9	-7	0.03	56%	0.14	-33.3	1%	0	0.9	58	0
3	Sep_6_2013	28.87	30.16	30.06	30.13			30.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.03	58%	0.17	-46.5	1.02%	0	0	54	0
4	Sep_5_2013	28.82	30.19	30.09	29.99			30.15(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-4	0.01	55%	0.14	-38.5	1.03%	0	-0.1	54	0
5	Sep_4_2013	28.78	30.2	30.08	29.92			30.06(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	4	-17	0.05	55%	0.1	-39.4	1.06%	0	-0.4	45	0

6	Sep_3_2013	28.75	30.21	30.08	29.86			29.86(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.07	55%	0.21	-37.6	1.06%	0	-1.1	40	0
7	Aug_30_2013	28.69	30.25	30.11	29.98			29.74(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-10	-34	0.04	55%	0.07	-12.5	1.05%	0	-1.5	38	0
8	Aug_29_2013	28.67	30.3	30.14	30.14			30.13(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-5	-28	0.02	55%	0.14	13.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	41	0
9	Aug_28_2013	28.63	30.32	30.12	30.22			29.82(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.02	56%	0.1	33	1.04%	0	-1.5	34	0
10	Aug_27_2013	28.6	30.33	30.18	30.27			29.73(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.07	56%	0.14	44	1.07%	0	-1.8	45	0

11	Aug_26_2013	28.56	30.34	30.26	30.38			30.49(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	8	-7	0.04	60%	0.14	56.3	1.03%	0	0.4	52	0
12	Aug_23_2013	28.52	30.3	30.26	30.25			30.54(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	8	-23	0.02	60%	0.14	41.4	1.03%	0	0.7	46	0
13	Aug_22_2013	28.48	30.26	30.27	30.13			30.51(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	7	-38	0.03	60%	0.18	27.8	1.03%	0	0.7	46	0
14	Aug_21_2013	28.43	30.21	30.29	30.02			30.06(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-5	-51	0.01	58%	0.14	10.8	1.02%	0	-0.4	44	0
15	Aug_20_2013	28.39	30.18	30.31	30.09			30.29(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	-3	-37	0.03	58%	0.14	9.6	1.01%	0	0.2	58	0

16	Aug_19_2013	28.35	30.18	30.32	30.14			29.86(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-10	-26	0.14	56%	0.04	8.9	1%	0	-0.7	54	0
17	Aug_16_2013	28.34	30.18	30.4	30.29			29.93(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-9	10	0.12	54%	0.14	17.8	1%	0	-0.5	59	0
18	Aug_15_2013	28.3	30.15	30.49	30.43			29.95(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-10	42	0.04	54%	0.11	26.7	1.02%	0	-0.5	56	0
19	Aug_14_2013	28.27	30.17	30.54	30.59			30.42(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	3	85	0.05	58%	0.14	40.4	1%	0	0.6	68	0
20	Aug_13_2013	28.23	30.14	30.5	30.55			30.55(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	2	91	0.03	58%	0.18	44.1	1%	0	1	72	0

21	Aug_12_2013	28.18	30.11	30.43	30.52			30.59(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	23	-10000	-1	93	0.02	58%	0.14	48.9	1%	0	1.1	68	0
22	Aug_9_2013	28.14	30.07	30.34	30.54			30.64(-0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-1	92	0.05	59%	0.18	60.3	1.01%	0	1.4	61	0
23	Aug_8_2013	28.09	30.04	30.25	30.56			30.77(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	4	95	0.08	59%	0.18	75.4	1.01%	0	1.9	62	0
24	Aug_7_2013	28.04	29.99	30.13	30.5			30.22(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	24	-10000	5	80	0.03	57%	0.14	91.9	0.99%	0	0.6	50	0
25	Aug_6_2013	28	29.95	30.05	30.42			30.38(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	7	65	0.03	57%		95.3	0.98%	0	1.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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