Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $29.2200 (0.55%) ($29.1600 - $29.3500) on Mon. Jul. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $29.2200(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.77(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.21(3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.18(3.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2013	27.06	28.18	28.21	28.77			29.22(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	16	80	0.07	61%	0.19	31.7	1.08%	0	1.8	57	0
2	Jul_5_2013	27.01	28.14	28.03	28.52			29.06(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	14	37	0.02	61%	0.19	22.2	1.08%	0	1.8	57	0
3	Jul_3_2013	26.96	28.08	27.88	28.3			28.6(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	13	2	0.01	57%	0.15	7.8	1.06%	0	1.1	52	0
4	Jul_2_2013	26.92	28.03	27.88	28.11			28.54(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	-10000	17	-5	0.02	57%	0.11	-9.8	1.08%	0	1.1	57	0
5	Jul_1_2013	26.89	28.01	27.86	27.86			28.43(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	9	-10000	19	-22	0.01	56%	0.11	-30.4	1.08%	0	0.9	52	0

6	Jun_28_2013	26.86	28	27.85	27.57			27.96(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	8	-61	0.03	55%	0.11	-46	1.06%	0	-0.1	44	0
7	Jun_27_2013	26.83	28.02	27.87	27.46			27.99(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-17	-10000	4	-81	0.04	55%	0.15	-50.9	1.07%	0	-0.1	44	0
8	Jun_26_2013	26.79	28.04	27.89	27.4			27.64(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-31	-10000	-12	-89	0.11	53%	0.07	-49.4	1.06%	0	-0.9	48	0
9	Jun_25_2013	26.77	28.08	27.92	27.58			27.28(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-21	-72	0.09	52%	0.11	-37.8	1.05%	0	-1.7	48	0
10	Jun_24_2013	26.74	28.15	28.01	27.88			26.99(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-24	-10000	-19	-40	0.1	50%	0.07	-15.4	1.04%	0	-2.6	39	0

11	Jun_21_2013	26.72	28.21	28.17	28.16			27.38(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-10	-10000	-12	-4	0.16	51%	0.11	2.5	1.03%	0	-2.4	40	0
12	Jun_20_2013	26.69	28.25	28.28	28.33			27.71(-2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-1	-10000	-8	19	0.12	54%	0.11	21.4	1.02%	0	-1.9	43	0
13	Jun_19_2013	26.66	28.27	28.32	28.44			28.54(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	10	33	0.03	58%	0.15	28.1	0.96%	0	1	51	0
14	Jun_18_2013	26.62	28.25	28.23	28.3			28.77(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	8	-10000	9	3	0.04	58%	0.19	13	0.95%	0	2	56	0
15	Jun_17_2013	26.57	28.22	28.23	28.18			28.38(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-7	-10000	-1	-26	0.04	57%	0.15	2.4	0.94%	0	0.7	44	0

16	Jun_14_2013	26.53	28.2	28.17	28.2			28.23(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-4	-21	0.02	58%	0.11	4.9	0.94%	0	0.1	52	0
17	Jun_13_2013	26.5	28.2	28.18	28.25			28.29(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	6	-6	0.03	58%	0.15	11.8	0.95%	0	0.4	53	0
18	Jun_12_2013	26.46	28.19	28.19	28.17			27.85(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.3	-1	-10000	2	-8	0.17	56%	0.15	10.6	0.93%	0	-1.4	51	0
19	Jun_11_2013	26.42	28.22	28.24	28.14			28.17(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-11	0.21	58%	0.04	14.1	0.92%	0	-0.2	51	0
20	Jun_10_2013	26.41	28.21	28.28	28.15			28.46(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	3	-10000	2	4	0.04	60%	0.19	18.3	0.91%	0	1.1	56	0

21	Jun_7_2013	26.36	28.19	28.25	28.13			28.46(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	2	-10000	2	1	0.04	61%	0.15	25.6	0.92%	0	1.2	54	0
22	Jun_6_2013	26.32	28.16	28.25	28.11			27.92(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-8	-2	0.03	58%	0.15	33.3	0.89%	0	-1.1	51	0
23	Jun_5_2013	26.28	28.17	28.22	28.21			27.69(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-7	-10000	-10	1	0.1	60%	0.15	62.8	0.89%	0	-2.2	40	0
24	Jun_4_2013	26.24	28.19	28.28	28.34			28.22(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-7	18	0.03	65%	0.15	104.2	0.87%	0	0.1	49	0
25	Jun_3_2013	26.2	28.17	28.27	28.43			28.38(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	3	38	0.02	65%		132	0.87%	0	1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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