Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $26.3100 (0.88%) ($26.1500 - $26.3200) on Thu. Mar. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $26.3100(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.06(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.79(2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.36(3.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2013	23.67	25.36	25.79	26.06			26.31(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	-10000	10	190	0.01	76%	0.17	45.1	0.85%	0	1.8	77	0
2	Mar_13_2013	23.63	25.3	25.66	25.95			26.08(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	-10000	9	184	0.02	75%	0.17	46.9	0.85%	0	1.6	76	0
3	Mar_12_2013	23.59	25.26	25.54	25.85			25.89(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	4	169	0.03	75%	0.13	50.6	0.85%	0	1.4	68	0
4	Mar_11_2013	23.56	25.22	25.41	25.81			26.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	48	-10000	13	151	0.03	75%	0.17	57.1	0.85%	0	1.8	61	0
5	Mar_8_2013	23.52	25.18	25.25	25.67			26.01(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	-10000	18	115	0.02	75%	0.13	54.8	0.84%	0	2.1	62	0

6	Mar_7_2013	23.49	25.12	25.13	25.48			25.76(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	15	75	0.01	74%	0.09	50.4	0.84%	0	1.9	57	0
7	Mar_6_2013	23.47	25.08	25.02	25.32			25.58(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	13	36	0.04	74%	0.13	49.2	0.84%	0	1.6	54	0
8	Mar_5_2013	23.44	25.03	24.95	25.18			25.67(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-10000	22	7	0.02	74%	0.13	44	0.84%	0	2.2	54	0
9	Mar_4_2013	23.41	24.98	24.9	24.95			25.31(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	6	-10000	18	-32	0.01	69%	0.13	26	0.82%	0	1.3	50	0
10	Mar_1_2013	23.38	24.97	24.88	24.77			25.07(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-13	-10000	5	-65	0.01	67%	0.13	16	0.83%	0	0.4	47	0

11	Feb_28_2013	23.35	24.95	24.89	24.72			24.97(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-14	-10000	4	-66	0.01	67%	0.09	12.5	0.84%	0	0.1	53	0
12	Feb_27_2013	23.33	24.92	24.91	24.68			24.87(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	-10000	-1	-68	0.02	67%	0.13	7.1	0.84%	0	-0.2	49	0
13	Feb_26_2013	23.3	24.92	24.96	24.69			24.53(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-13	-59	0.05	65%	0.04	9.5	0.83%	0	-1.3	46	0
14	Feb_25_2013	23.29	24.91	25.03	24.83			24.43(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-15	-22	0.02	65%	0.09	28.4	0.83%	0	-1.7	49	0
15	Feb_22_2013	23.27	24.93	25.11	24.99			24.81(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-8	9	0.02	70%	0.09	50.9	0.8%	0	-0.4	46	0

16	Feb_21_2013	23.25	24.91	25.12	25.07			24.74(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-11	27	0.01	70%	0.09	66.4	0.81%	0	-0.6	54	0
17	Feb_20_2013	23.23	24.9	25.15	25.18			24.93(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-8	62	0.01	70%	0.09	78.2	0.8%	0	0.1	63	0
18	Feb_19_2013	23.21	24.88	25.14	25.18			25.26(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	0	91	0.02	78%	0.13	88.4	0.78%	0	1.2	68	0
19	Feb_15_2013	23.18	24.83	25.09	25.26			25.19(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	1	89	0.04	78%	0.13	88.7	0.83%	0	1.1	64	0
20	Feb_14_2013	23.15	24.79	25.07	25.25			25.25(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	7	105	0.03	70%	0.09	89.8	0.83%	0	1.4	67	0

21	Feb_13_2013	23.13	24.72	25.01	25.18			25.27(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	91	0.04	70%	0.13	77.3	0.9%	0	1.5	68	0
22	Feb_12_2013	23.1	24.66	24.93	25.12			25.33(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	10	86	0.05	70%	0.13	79.5	0.9%	0	1.9	71	0
23	Feb_11_2013	23.07	24.6	24.85	25.01			25.24(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	11	73	0.04	70%	0.09	77.5	0.9%	0	1.8	69	0
24	Feb_8_2013	23.05	24.54	24.78	24.89			25.16(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	3	62	0.01	65%	0.09	73.1	0.9%	0	1.9	72	0
25	Feb_7_2013	23.03	24.48	24.72	24.86			24.89(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	3	64	0.01	61%		79.5	0.93%	0	1.3	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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