Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 31, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $22.9500 (2.27%) ($22.3800 - $22.9500) on Mon. Dec. 31, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $22.9500(2.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.68(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.79(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.61(1.5%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2012	22.38	22.61	22.79	22.68			22.95(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	2	28	0.01	41%	0.04	11.7	0.92%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Dec_28_2012	22.37	22.59	22.74	22.66			22.44(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-10	24	0.01	35%	0.04	14.2	0.87%	0	-0.6	55	0
3	Dec_27_2012	22.36	22.61	22.75	22.76			22.65(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-6	47	0.02	40%	0.04	35.8	0.86%	0	0.2	63	0
4	Dec_26_2012	22.35	22.61	22.75	22.82			22.56(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	8	-10000	-10	63	0.02	40%	0.09	49.1	0.88%	0	-0.2	63	0
5	Dec_24_2012	22.33	22.6	22.74	22.82			22.8(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	0	93	0.01	40%	0.04	68.9	0.88%	0	0.8	72	0

6	Dec_21_2012	22.32	22.58	22.7	22.92			22.85(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	9	95	0.03	40%	0.09	85.8	0.88%	0	1.1	60	0
7	Dec_20_2012	22.3	22.55	22.65	22.83			22.94(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	76	0.12	40%	0.09	100	0.88%	0	1.7	58	0
8	Dec_19_2012	22.28	22.52	22.59	22.73			22.93(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	8	46	0.01	40%	0.09	111.2	0.88%	0	1.9	51	0
9	Dec_18_2012	22.26	22.49	22.52	22.65			23.09(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	15	-10000	12	25	0.1	40%	0.09	114	0.88%	0	2.9	60	0
10	Dec_17_2012	22.24	22.43	22.43	22.53			22.78(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	6	-10000	8	-2	0.01	37%	0.04	126.3	0.87%	0	2.1	60	0

11	Dec_14_2012	22.23	22.37	22.4	22.45			22.41(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	1	-15	0	31%	0.05	68.8	0.84%	0	0.2	52	0
12	Dec_13_2012	22.22	22.33	22.42	22.44			22.45(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	2	-11	0	36%	0.09	43.9	0.84%	0	0.4	51	0
13	Dec_12_2012	22.2	22.28	22.42	22.42			22.51(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	6	0	0.01	36%	0.09	24.6	0.86%	0	0.6	59	0
14	Dec_11_2012	22.18	22.25	22.45	22.36			22.51(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	5	1	0.02	36%	0.05	12	0.86%	0	0.7	60	0
15	Dec_10_2012	22.17	22.22	22.44	22.31			22.39(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-3	-3	0.01	36%	0.05	1.1	0.86%	0	0.4	62	0

16	Dec_7_2012	22.16	22.2	22.44	22.34			22.36(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-5	26	0.05	36%	0	-1.1	0.86%	0	0.4	74	0
17	Dec_6_2012	22.16	22.2	22.44	22.39			22.32(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-9	63	0.02	41%	0.05	-4.5	0.87%	0	0.4	76	0
18	Dec_5_2012	22.15	22.18	22.45	22.48			22.24(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	-10000	-8	103	0.02	41%	0	3.4	0.9%	0	0.2	75	0
19	Dec_4_2012	22.15	22.2	22.46	22.56			22.25(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	30	-10000	-3	129	0	41%	0.05	13.3	0.9%	0	0.1	57	0
20	Dec_3_2012	22.14	22.2	22.45	22.59			22.51(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10000	2	146	0.01	44%	0.05	18.9	0.89%	0	0.7	62	0

21	Nov_30_2012	22.13	22.21	22.36	22.57			22.62(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	4	132	0.06	44%	0.05	18.9	0.89%	0	1	61	0
22	Nov_29_2012	22.12	22.2	22.24	22.53			22.79(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	10	115	0.05	44%	0.05	17.8	0.89%	0	1.5	66	0
23	Nov_28_2012	22.11	22.17	22.1	22.43			22.61(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	8	71	0.01	44%	0.05	5.8	0.89%	0	1.2	51	0
24	Nov_27_2012	22.1	22.15	22.03	22.35			22.42(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	6	38	0	44%	0.05	-5.2	0.88%	0	0.7	43	0
25	Nov_26_2012	22.09	22.14	21.97	22.29			22.39(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	18	15	0.05	44%		-22.1	0.88%	0	0.7	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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