Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $22.1100 (2.03%) ($21.7700 - $22.1400) on Thu. Sep. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $22.1100(2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.78(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.73(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.67(2.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2012	21.52	21.67	21.73	21.78			22.11(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	6	-10000	4	12	0.01	58%	0.05	47.8	1.06%	0	2.9	61	0
2	Sep_5_2012	21.51	21.64	21.73	21.73			21.67(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	5	0	54%	-0.05	76.5	1.07%	0	0.3	56	0
3	Sep_4_2012	21.52	21.65	21.73	21.74			21.68(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	1	13	0.01	54%	0	98.2	1.07%	0	0.3	61	0
4	Aug_31_2012	21.52	21.64	21.68	21.73			21.74(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	17	0.01	47%	0	96.7	1.17%	0	0.8	63	0
5	Aug_30_2012	21.52	21.63	21.68	21.7			21.7(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	3	22	0.03	45%	0	66.3	1.17%	0	0.4	58	0

6	Aug_29_2012	21.52	21.6	21.69	21.66			21.85(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	3	20	0.04	47%	0.05	46.1	1.18%	0	1.1	60	0
7	Aug_28_2012	21.51	21.56	21.66	21.62			21.71(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	1	13	0.02	47%	0	44.1	1.19%	0	0.7	54	0
8	Aug_27_2012	21.51	21.53	21.63	21.61			21.65(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-1	1	0	47%	0	52	1.2%	0	0.5	41	0
9	Aug_24_2012	21.51	21.52	21.61	21.62			21.6(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-4	-1	0	47%	0	60.8	1.2%	0	0.4	52	0
10	Aug_23_2012	21.51	21.51	21.6	21.67			21.51(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-3	6	0.01	47%	0	61.7	1.2%	0	0	53	0

11	Aug_22_2012	21.51	21.5	21.61	21.71			21.62(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	1	25	0.03	47%	-0.05	44.4	1.2%	0	0.4	68	0
12	Aug_21_2012	21.52	21.46	21.6	21.7			21.66(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	4	39	0.01	50%	0	22.9	1.2%	0	0.7	69	0
13	Aug_20_2012	21.52	21.42	21.62	21.65			21.71(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	5	45	0.01	50%	0	2.9	1.22%	0	1	61	0
14	Aug_17_2012	21.52	21.39	21.61	21.59			21.84(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	5	43	0.01	46%	0	-10	1.23%	0	1.5	60	0
15	Aug_16_2012	21.52	21.37	21.57	21.52			21.72(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	2	33	0.05	46%	0	-18.6	1.3%	0	1.1	56	0

16	Aug_15_2012	21.52	21.38	21.5	21.49			21.55(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-1	25	0.02	46%	-0.05	-11.3	1.3%	0	0.5	59	0
17	Aug_14_2012	21.53	21.39	21.45	21.5			21.41(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-6	28	0.02	44%	0	-5.2	1.3%	0	0.1	64	0
18	Aug_13_2012	21.53	21.41	21.45	21.59			21.43(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-2	50	0	44%	0	5	1.31%	0	0.1	65	0
19	Aug_10_2012	21.53	21.42	21.43	21.62			21.51(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	1	61	0.01	44%	-0.05	5	1.31%	0	0.3	59	0
20	Aug_9_2012	21.54	21.43	21.42	21.61			21.57(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	8	62	0.01	44%	0	2.5	1.31%	0	0.4	49	0

21	Aug_8_2012	21.54	21.43	21.38	21.5			21.6(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	9	34	0.01	44%	0	-15.7	1.31%	0	0.6	43	0
22	Aug_7_2012	21.54	21.41	21.31	21.37			21.86(1.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	7	-10000	9	-1	0.03	44%	0	-30.2	1.31%	0	1.3	46	0
23	Aug_6_2012	21.54	21.39	21.2	21.25			21.56(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.02	42%	0	-44	1.29%	0	0.5	44	0
24	Aug_3_2012	21.54	21.4	21.2	21.25			21.46(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	0	-55	0.01	39%	0	-45.1	1.32%	0	0.2	47	0
25	Aug_2_2012	21.54	21.42	21.15	21.21			21.01(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-2	-62	0.02	38%		-34.7	1.3%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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