Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $21.5700 (-0.14%) ($21.5600 - $21.7100) on Thu. Aug. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $21.5700(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.61(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.42(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.43(0.65%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2012	21.54	21.43	21.42	21.61			21.57(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	8	62	0.01	44%	0	2.5	1.31%	0	0.4	49	0
2	Aug_8_2012	21.54	21.43	21.38	21.5			21.6(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	9	34	0.01	44%	0	-15.7	1.31%	0	0.6	43	0
3	Aug_7_2012	21.54	21.41	21.31	21.37			21.86(1.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	7	-10000	9	-1	0.03	44%	0	-30.2	1.31%	0	1.3	46	0
4	Aug_6_2012	21.54	21.39	21.2	21.25			21.56(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.02	42%	0	-44	1.29%	0	0.5	44	0
5	Aug_3_2012	21.54	21.4	21.2	21.25			21.46(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	0	-55	0.01	39%	0	-45.1	1.32%	0	0.2	47	0

6	Aug_2_2012	21.54	21.42	21.15	21.21			21.01(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-2	-62	0.02	38%	0	-34.7	1.3%	0	-1.1	38	0
7	Aug_1_2012	21.54	21.47	21.24	21.24			20.98(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-10	-10000	1	-44	0.01	38%	-0.05	-25	1.31%	0	-1.4	47	0
8	Jul_31_2012	21.55	21.51	21.33	21.22			21.24(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	7	-39	0.57	38%	0	-19.6	1.31%	0	-0.8	45	0
9	Jul_30_2012	21.55	21.54	21.38	21.13			21.37(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	4	-47	0.04	38%	0	-17.3	1.31%	0	-0.5	46	0
10	Jul_27_2012	21.55	21.56	21.41	21.07			21.44(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-16	-10000	-1	-60	0.02	38%	0.05	-19.1	1.31%	0	-0.3	45	0

11	Jul_26_2012	21.54	21.55	21.43	21.09			21.19(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-12	-67	0.01	40%	0	-17.4	1.3%	0	-1	39	0
12	Jul_25_2012	21.54	21.56	21.45	21.25			20.84(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-16	-64	0.13	41%	0	-9	1.29%	0	-2	30	0
13	Jul_24_2012	21.54	21.58	21.53	21.47			20.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-21	-10000	-14	-43	0.09	41%	0	4.6	1.33%	0	-2.4	32	0
14	Jul_23_2012	21.54	21.6	21.62	21.67			21.07(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-12	-10000	-8	-22	0.02	41%	0.05	21.6	1.32%	0	-1.8	36	0
15	Jul_20_2012	21.53	21.63	21.69	21.78			21.55(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	-2	-7	0.02	45%	0.05	39.5	1.3%	0	-0.3	48	0

16	Jul_19_2012	21.52	21.61	21.69	21.81			21.98(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	9	16	0.04	46%	0.05	44	1.28%	0	1.3	68	0
17	Jul_18_2012	21.51	21.59	21.72	21.68			21.93(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	5	12	0.02	46%	0.05	47.7	1.28%	0	1.2	63	0
18	Jul_17_2012	21.5	21.57	21.72	21.61			21.83(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	4	16	0.02	47%	0.09	52	1.28%	0	1	63	0
19	Jul_16_2012	21.48	21.54	21.71	21.56			21.6(-0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-2	23	0.02	46%	0.05	56	1.28%	0	0.2	63	0
20	Jul_13_2012	21.47	21.52	21.72	21.59			21.72(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-10000	-2	32	0.01	46%	0.05	56.2	1.28%	0	0.7	56	0

21	Jul_12_2012	21.46	21.48	21.66	21.62			21.31(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-10	34	0.02	45%	0.05	58.5	1.26%	0	-0.6	55	0
22	Jul_11_2012	21.45	21.45	21.67	21.76			21.57(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-4	48	0	47%	0.05	54.6	1.26%	0	0.3	50	0
23	Jul_10_2012	21.44	21.43	21.64	21.82			21.6(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-4	49	0.03	45%	0	64.3	1.28%	0	0.5	51	0
24	Jul_9_2012	21.44	21.39	21.6	21.87			21.75(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	1	54	0.02	43%	0.05	68	1.32%	0	0.9	59	0
25	Jul_6_2012	21.43	21.36	21.57	21.86			21.88(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	10	63	0.03	43%		77.5	1.32%	0	1.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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