Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $21.9800 (0.41%) ($21.7700 - $22.0700) on Thu. Jul. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $21.9800(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.71(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.49(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.31(3.14%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2012	21.42	21.31	21.49	21.71			21.98(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	10	50	0.08	45%	0.14	63.3	1.33%	0	1.9	67	0
2	Jul_3_2012	21.39	21.27	21.45	21.57			21.89(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	9	52	0.03	44%	0.05	49.7	1.34%	0	1.8	71	0
3	Jul_2_2012	21.38	21.2	21.41	21.44			21.85(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	10	47	0.08	44%	0.09	25.6	1.34%	0	1.9	61	0
4	Jun_29_2012	21.36	21.13	21.35	21.29			21.68(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	4	38	0.01	44%	0.05	2	1.32%	0	1.7	63	0
5	Jun_28_2012	21.35	21.08	21.29	21.29			21.15(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	31	0.04	40%	0.05	-14.3	1.29%	0	0.2	50	0

6	Jun_27_2012	21.34	21.08	21.28	21.24			21.29(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-4	31	0.01	40%	0.05	-12.9	1.29%	0	0.6	55	0
7	Jun_26_2012	21.33	21.09	21.22	21.3			21.22(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-5	31	0.03	42%	0.05	-4.3	1.29%	0	0.4	53	0
8	Jun_25_2012	21.32	21.11	21.2	21.37			21.1(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-3	49	0.01	42%	0.05	8.7	1.3%	0	-0	58	0
9	Jun_22_2012	21.31	21.13	21.18	21.41			21.44(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	5	63	0.01	43%	0.05	20.5	1.29%	0	0.9	64	0
10	Jun_21_2012	21.3	21.12	21.15	21.34			21.17(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	-10000	2	69	0.03	43%	0.09	21.7	1.28%	0	0.1	61	0

11	Jun_20_2012	21.28	21.13	21.13	21.31			21.59(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	14	63	0.02	45%	0.09	15.7	1.25%	0	1.3	50	0
12	Jun_19_2012	21.26	21.11	21.07	21.12			21.55(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	8	29	0.01	46%	0.09	-5	1.26%	0	1.3	50	0
13	Jun_18_2012	21.24	21.08	20.97	21.01			21.29(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	8	-6	0.02	46%	0.05	-19.7	1.25%	0	0.7	43	0
14	Jun_15_2012	21.23	21.06	20.9	20.91			21.11(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-2	-41	0.03	46%	0.09	-43.3	1.25%	0	0.2	45	0
15	Jun_14_2012	21.21	21.05	20.84	20.93			21.02(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	1	-56	0.03	46%	0.05	-54.1	1.25%	0	-0.1	44	0

16	Jun_13_2012	21.2	21.08	20.88	20.92			20.62(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-7	-62	0.01	47%	0.05	-50.9	1.22%	0	-1.3	39	0
17	Jun_12_2012	21.19	21.12	20.96	21.01			21.03(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	7	-41	0.01	49%	0.09	-47.1	1.23%	0	-0.3	48	0
18	Jun_11_2012	21.17	21.15	21.01	20.92			20.79(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-10000	4	-43	0.02	49%	0.05	-57.7	1.22%	0	-1	45	0
19	Jun_8_2012	21.16	21.2	21.08	20.87			21.19(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	10	-34	0.02	52%	0.09	-61.5	1.2%	0	-0	60	0
20	Jun_7_2012	21.14	21.23	21.09	20.75			20.98(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	-10000	-7	-47	0.05	54%	0.05	-74.5	1.2%	0	-0.6	53	0

21	Jun_6_2012	21.13	21.26	21.13	20.84			21.05(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0.01	53%	0.09	-76.7	1.21%	0	-0.5	41	0
22	Jun_5_2012	21.11	21.3	21.14	20.91			20.59(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-17	-47	0.04	50%	-0.05	-76.1	1.19%	0	-1.7	35	0
23	Jun_4_2012	21.12	21.36	21.21	21.13			20.55(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10000	-13	-25	0.25	50%	0.09	-67.2	1.19%	0	-2	37	0
24	Jun_1_2012	21.1	21.43	21.24	21.3			20.56(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-17	-10000	-14	-27	0.06	50%	0.05	-66.7	1.2%	0	-2.3	33	0
25	May_31_2012	21.09	21.53	21.28	21.48			21.43(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	2	-18	0.03	55%		-53.4	1.09%	0	-0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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