Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $21.2900 (0.85%) ($21.0000 - $21.3000) on Mon. Jun. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $21.2900(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.01(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.97(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.08(1%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2012	21.24	21.08	20.97	21.01			21.29(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	8	-6	0.02	46%	0.05	-19.7	1.25%	0	0.7	43	0
2	Jun_15_2012	21.23	21.06	20.9	20.91			21.11(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-2	-41	0.03	46%	0.09	-43.3	1.25%	0	0.2	45	0
3	Jun_14_2012	21.21	21.05	20.84	20.93			21.02(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	1	-56	0.03	46%	0.05	-54.1	1.25%	0	-0.1	44	0
4	Jun_13_2012	21.2	21.08	20.88	20.92			20.62(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-7	-62	0.01	47%	0.05	-50.9	1.22%	0	-1.3	39	0
5	Jun_12_2012	21.19	21.12	20.96	21.01			21.03(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	7	-41	0.01	49%	0.09	-47.1	1.23%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	Jun_11_2012	21.17	21.15	21.01	20.92			20.79(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-10000	4	-43	0.02	49%	0.05	-57.7	1.22%	0	-1	45	0
7	Jun_8_2012	21.16	21.2	21.08	20.87			21.19(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	10	-34	0.02	52%	0.09	-61.5	1.2%	0	-0	60	0
8	Jun_7_2012	21.14	21.23	21.09	20.75			20.98(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	-10000	-7	-47	0.05	54%	0.05	-74.5	1.2%	0	-0.6	53	0
9	Jun_6_2012	21.13	21.26	21.13	20.84			21.05(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0.01	53%	0.09	-76.7	1.21%	0	-0.5	41	0
10	Jun_5_2012	21.11	21.3	21.14	20.91			20.59(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-17	-47	0.04	50%	-0.05	-76.1	1.19%	0	-1.7	35	0

11	Jun_4_2012	21.12	21.36	21.21	21.13			20.55(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10000	-13	-25	0.25	50%	0.09	-67.2	1.19%	0	-2	37	0
12	Jun_1_2012	21.1	21.43	21.24	21.3			20.56(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-17	-10000	-14	-27	0.06	50%	0.05	-66.7	1.2%	0	-2.3	33	0
13	May_31_2012	21.09	21.53	21.28	21.48			21.43(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	2	-18	0.03	55%	0.09	-53.4	1.09%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	May_30_2012	21.07	21.58	21.3	21.46			21.42(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-10000	4	-21	0.11	55%	0.14	-42.2	1.1%	0	-0.4	45	0
15	May_29_2012	21.04	21.62	21.31	21.41			21.69(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	10	-30	0.07	57%	0.24	-37.1	1.09%	0	0.2	47	0

16	May_25_2012	20.99	21.64	21.29	21.3			21.42(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	12	-57	0.01	57%	0.14	-36.7	1.07%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	May_24_2012	20.96	21.69	21.32	21.16			21.42(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	9	-81	0.04	57%	0.1	-39.4	1.08%	0	-0.5	40	0
18	May_23_2012	20.94	21.73	21.36	21.06			21.36(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0.22	57%	0.14	-40	1.08%	0	-0.7	31	0
19	May_22_2012	20.91	21.77	21.39	21.12			21.18(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-8	-132	0.52	57%	0	-36.4	1.08%	0	-1.2	26	0
20	May_21_2012	20.91	21.79	21.44	21.21			21.13(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-6	-132	0.03	57%	0.14	-35.9	1.08%	0	-1.4	33	0

21	May_18_2012	20.88	21.83	21.53	21.28			20.71(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-50	-10000	-20	-139	0.05	55%	0.1	-33.5	1.05%	0	-2.5	25	0
22	May_17_2012	20.86	21.89	21.65	21.51			20.92(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-42	-10000	-16	-119	0.18	55%	0.1	-25.4	1.05%	0	-2.6	25	0
23	May_16_2012	20.84	21.93	21.81	21.51			21.66(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	0	-94	0.05	62%	0.14	-16.3	0.96%	0	-0.9	36	0
24	May_15_2012	20.81	21.95	21.89	21.69			21.61(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-3	-82	0.04	62%	0.05	-10.9	0.97%	0	-1.1	42	0
25	May_14_2012	20.8	21.97	21.96	21.72			21.52(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-8	-62	0.04	62%		3.6	0.98%	0	-1.5	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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