Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $22.2900 (1.04%) ($22.0500 - $22.3700) on Thu. Apr. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $22.2900(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.89(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.86(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.79(2.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2012	20.32	21.79	21.86	21.89			22.29(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	22	-10000	12	50	0.14	72%	0.2	12.3	0.91%	0	2.2	54	0
2	Apr_25_2012	20.28	21.76	21.81	21.77			22.06(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	3	28	0.03	71%	0.2	-1.1	0.91%	0	1.5	55	0
3	Apr_24_2012	20.24	21.75	21.75	21.74			21.55(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.02	68%	0.2	0	0.87%	0	-1.1	44	0
4	Apr_23_2012	20.2	21.75	21.72	21.74			21.71(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	0	-10000	0	1	0.02	68%	0.15	16.1	0.87%	0	-0.4	47	0
5	Apr_20_2012	20.17	21.78	21.72	21.81			21.86(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.07	68%	0.2	16.3	0.86%	0	0.4	49	0

6	Apr_19_2012	20.13	21.76	21.71	21.82			21.67(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.01	67%	0.2	18.5	0.86%	0	-0.4	49	0
7	Apr_18_2012	20.09	21.77	21.71	21.84			21.91(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	9	5	0.04	70%	0.2	25	0.85%	0	0.7	53	0
8	Apr_17_2012	20.05	21.77	21.72	21.76			21.9(0.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	11	-10000	16	-5	0.01	70%	0.25	18.4	0.86%	0	0.8	49	0
9	Apr_16_2012	20	21.75	21.71	21.61			21.7(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.12	69%	0.2	10.3	0.86%	0	-0.3	44	0
10	Apr_13_2012	19.96	21.74	21.73	21.61			21.91(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-10	-10000	0	-39	0.01	72%	0.1	18.5	0.85%	0	0.9	55	0

11	Apr_12_2012	19.94	21.73	21.72	21.6			21.79(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	2	-34	0.04	72%	0.25	33.3	0.85%	0	0.3	54	0
12	Apr_11_2012	19.89	21.73	21.71	21.58			21.52(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-10	-41	0.02	70%	0.25	45.7	0.84%	0	-1	48	0
13	Apr_10_2012	19.84	21.72	21.75	21.67			21.13(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-19	-10000	-18	-22	0.21	68%	0.15	88.5	0.82%	0	-3.1	40	0
14	Apr_9_2012	19.81	21.73	21.75	21.83			21.65(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-5	22	0.06	77%	0.3	121.8	0.76%	0	-0.4	47	0
15	Apr_5_2012	19.75	21.71	21.85	21.87			21.91(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	38	0	82%	0.2	104.2	0.73%	0	0.8	60	0

16	Apr_4_2012	19.71	21.67	21.82	21.85			21.7(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-1	32	0.02	81%	0.15	90.2	0.73%	0	0.1	54	0
17	Apr_3_2012	19.68	21.62	21.83	21.86			21.96(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	1	43	0.01	87%	0.2	75	0.71%	0	0.9	66	0
18	Apr_2_2012	19.64	21.56	21.8	21.85			21.91(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-4	44	0.04	87%	0.15	66.7	0.71%	0	0.8	63	0
19	Mar_30_2012	19.61	21.5	21.78	21.88			21.89(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	6	77	0.03	87%	0.2	68.3	0.71%	0	0.9	73	0
20	Mar_29_2012	19.57	21.44	21.75	21.83			21.78(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	4	81	0.01	87%	0.2	65.7	0.72%	0	0.8	70	0

21	Mar_28_2012	19.53	21.39	21.74	21.8			21.76(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	94	0.03	87%	0.15	64.5	0.73%	0	0.8	72	0
22	Mar_27_2012	19.5	21.34	21.72	21.78			21.93(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	6	120	0.01	92%	0.21	66.4	0.73%	0	1.3	82	0
23	Mar_26_2012	19.46	21.28	21.68	21.73			22.02(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	6	150	0.02	92%	0.21	63.7	0.73%	0	1.5	88	0
24	Mar_23_2012	19.42	21.2	21.59	21.68			21.65(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	1	160	0.01	91%	0.15	61.8	0.71%	0	1	74	0
25	Mar_22_2012	19.39	21.15	21.55	21.67			21.62(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	0	178	0.01	91%		59.9	0.72%	0	1	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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