Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $21.7000 (-0.96%) ($21.6500 - $22.0200) on Mon. Apr. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $21.7000(-0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $21.75
5 Day Moving Average   $21.61(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.71(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.75(-0.23%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2012	20	21.75	21.71	21.61			21.7(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.12	69%	0.2	10.3	0.86%	0	-0.3	44	0
2	Apr_13_2012	19.96	21.74	21.73	21.61			21.91(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-10	-10000	0	-39	0.01	72%	0.1	18.5	0.85%	0	0.9	55	0
3	Apr_12_2012	19.94	21.73	21.72	21.6			21.79(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	2	-34	0.04	72%	0.25	33.3	0.85%	0	0.3	54	0
4	Apr_11_2012	19.89	21.73	21.71	21.58			21.52(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-10	-41	0.02	70%	0.25	45.7	0.84%	0	-1	48	0
5	Apr_10_2012	19.84	21.72	21.75	21.67			21.13(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-19	-10000	-18	-22	0.21	68%	0.15	88.5	0.82%	0	-3.1	40	0

6	Apr_9_2012	19.81	21.73	21.75	21.83			21.65(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-5	22	0.06	77%	0.3	121.8	0.76%	0	-0.4	47	0
7	Apr_5_2012	19.75	21.71	21.85	21.87			21.91(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	38	0	82%	0.2	104.2	0.73%	0	0.8	60	0
8	Apr_4_2012	19.71	21.67	21.82	21.85			21.7(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-1	32	0.02	81%	0.15	90.2	0.73%	0	0.1	54	0
9	Apr_3_2012	19.68	21.62	21.83	21.86			21.96(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	1	43	0.01	87%	0.2	75	0.71%	0	0.9	66	0
10	Apr_2_2012	19.64	21.56	21.8	21.85			21.91(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-4	44	0.04	87%	0.15	66.7	0.71%	0	0.8	63	0

11	Mar_30_2012	19.61	21.5	21.78	21.88			21.89(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	6	77	0.03	87%	0.2	68.3	0.71%	0	0.9	73	0
12	Mar_29_2012	19.57	21.44	21.75	21.83			21.78(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	4	81	0.01	87%	0.2	65.7	0.72%	0	0.8	70	0
13	Mar_28_2012	19.53	21.39	21.74	21.8			21.76(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	94	0.03	87%	0.15	64.5	0.73%	0	0.8	72	0
14	Mar_27_2012	19.5	21.34	21.72	21.78			21.93(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	6	120	0.01	92%	0.21	66.4	0.73%	0	1.3	82	0
15	Mar_26_2012	19.46	21.28	21.68	21.73			22.02(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	6	150	0.02	92%	0.21	63.7	0.73%	0	1.5	88	0

16	Mar_23_2012	19.42	21.2	21.59	21.68			21.65(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	1	160	0.01	91%	0.15	61.8	0.71%	0	1	74	0
17	Mar_22_2012	19.39	21.15	21.55	21.68			21.62(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	0	178	0.01	91%	0.15	59.9	0.72%	0	1	75	0
18	Mar_21_2012	19.36	21.09	21.5	21.67			21.69(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	51	-10000	4	193	0.02	91%	0.21	62.8	0.72%	0	1.3	70	0
19	Mar_20_2012	19.32	21.03	21.41	21.64			21.67(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	-10000	3	195	0.03	93%	0.21	64.5	0.72%	0	1.4	72	0
20	Mar_19_2012	19.28	20.98	21.3	21.62			21.78(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	15	173	0.04	93%	0.16	68.3	0.8%	0	1.9	71	0

21	Mar_16_2012	19.25	20.92	21.19	21.49			21.59(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	-10000	9	151	0.01	92%	0.1	71.5	0.82%	0	1.7	73	0
22	Mar_15_2012	19.23	20.87	21.1	21.41			21.62(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	14	145	0.01	92%	0.21	73.3	0.82%	0	2.1	74	0
23	Mar_14_2012	19.19	20.8	21.01	21.29			21.54(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	16	136	0.03	92%	0.21	68.7	0.82%	0	2.2	73	0
24	Mar_13_2012	19.15	20.74	20.92	21.15			21.57(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	-10000	25	114	0.05	92%	0.16	69.3	0.85%	0	2.9	74	0
25	Mar_12_2012	19.12	20.69	20.84	20.93			21.13(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	9	72	0	91%		69.8	0.86%	0	2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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