Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $20.5200 (0.1%) ($20.4200 - $20.5500) on Thu. Feb. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $20.5200(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(71%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.59(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.5(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.25(1.33%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2012	18.69	20.25	20.5	20.59			20.52(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	4	51	0.01	78%	0.21	71.7	1.08%	0	0.8	69	0
2	Feb_22_2012	18.65	20.21	20.49	20.55			20.5(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	53	0.02	78%	0.27	68.5	1.14%	0	0.8	70	0
3	Feb_21_2012	18.6	20.16	20.47	20.54			20.64(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	70	0.05	78%	0.43	68.1	1.14%	0	1.3	79	0
4	Feb_17_2012	18.52	20.11	20.43	20.52			20.72(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	7	85	0.03	78%	0.22	68	1.15%	0	1.6	81	0
5	Feb_16_2012	18.48	20.05	20.39	20.44			20.57(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	3	85	0.06	78%	0.22	69.7	1.17%	0	1.4	75	0

6	Feb_15_2012	18.44	20	20.32	20.41			20.31(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-1	86	0.01	77%	0.16	77.2	1.2%	0	0.9	73	0
7	Feb_14_2012	18.41	19.97	20.29	20.42			20.48(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	3	96	0.03	77%	0.16	81.6	1.19%	0	1.3	76	0
8	Feb_13_2012	18.38	19.91	20.2	20.38			20.52(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	4	96	0.05	77%	0.22	88.2	1.2%	0	1.6	81	0
9	Feb_10_2012	18.34	19.84	20.12	20.33			20.31(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	90	0.01	79%	0.16	93.4	1.23%	0	1.3	77	0
10	Feb_9_2012	18.31	19.79	20.06	20.32			20.43(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	8	98	0.01	68%	0.16	98.9	1.23%	0	1.8	80	0

11	Feb_8_2012	18.28	19.73	19.98	20.22			20.35(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	7	79	0.01	68%	0.16	100.6	1.32%	0	1.8	71	0
12	Feb_7_2012	18.25	19.66	19.91	20.13			20.31(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	11	72	0.01	68%	0.11	98.3	1.32%	0	1.9	72	0
13	Feb_6_2012	18.23	19.59	19.83	19.99			20.25(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	9	59	0.05	68%	0.11	87	1.32%	0	1.8	77	0
14	Feb_3_2012	18.21	19.51	19.75	19.87			20.28(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	19	-10000	8	50	0.1	68%	0.17	77.8	1.32%	0	2.1	79	0
15	Feb_2_2012	18.18	19.44	19.68	19.76			19.93(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	5	42	0.02	66%	0.11	77.1	1.31%	0	1.4	74	0

16	Feb_1_2012	18.16	19.38	19.65	19.7			19.88(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	3	45	0.07	66%	0.17	69.6	1.32%	0	1.4	75	0
17	Jan_31_2012	18.13	19.32	19.62	19.66			19.62(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	51	0.01	64%	0.11	66.1	1.36%	0	0.8	75	0
18	Jan_30_2012	18.11	19.28	19.59	19.64			19.64(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	1	59	0.01	64%	0.17	67.4	1.38%	0	1	80	0
19	Jan_27_2012	18.08	19.24	19.55	19.62			19.72(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	-10000	3	67	0	69%	0.11	70.3	1.38%	0	1.3	83	0
20	Jan_26_2012	18.06	19.18	19.51	19.58			19.63(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-1	67	0.02	69%	0.11	75	1.47%	0	1.3	79	0

21	Jan_25_2012	18.04	19.14	19.46	19.6			19.7(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	2	79	0.02	69%	0.11	88.6	1.48%	0	1.5	84	0
22	Jan_24_2012	18.02	19.09	19.4	19.57			19.5(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	3	84	0.03	73%	0.06	103.3	1.51%	0	1.2	83	0
23	Jan_23_2012	18.01	19.04	19.33	19.53			19.53(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	3	81	0.03	73%	0.11	108.2	1.57%	0	1.4	82	0
24	Jan_20_2012	17.99	18.98	19.26	19.48			19.56(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	4	75	0.08	73%	0.11	117.3	1.59%	0	1.7	74	0
25	Jan_19_2012	17.97	18.92	19.19	19.42			19.69(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	24	-10000	7	75	0.04	73%		120.7	1.59%	0	2.3	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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