Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $18.4600 (-1.76%) ($18.4600 - $18.7200) on Mon. Oct. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.79% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $18.4600(-1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(71%)    QQQ(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.395% (StdDev 2.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.47(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.15(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.61(4.83%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 5.05% (three month std-dev: 2.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2011	18.24	17.61	18.15	18.47			18.46(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	0	59	0.04	43%	0	57	2.79%	0	1	63	0
2	Oct_28_2011	18.24	17.47	18.04	18.46			18.79(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	8	66	0.14	43%	0.05	47.6	2.78%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Oct_27_2011	18.23	17.34	17.94	18.26			18.94(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	13	69	0.05	42%	0	40	2.78%	0	1.9	75	0
4	Oct_26_2011	18.23	17.22	17.79	17.94			18.21(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	6	57	0.01	39%	0	33.1	2.76%	0	1.3	69	0
5	Oct_25_2011	18.23	17.15	17.72	17.79			17.95(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	1	60	0.04	39%	-0.05	23.7	2.75%	0	1.1	71	0

6	Oct_24_2011	18.24	17.12	17.66	17.77			18.41(3.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	27	-10000	8	82	0.11	39%	-0.05	21.2	2.74%	0	1.8	80	0
7	Oct_21_2011	18.25	17.05	17.54	17.77			17.77(2.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	0	88	0.07	37%	-0.05	9.3	2.7%	0	1.1	80	0
8	Oct_20_2011	18.26	17.01	17.42	17.57			17.36(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-2	95	0.01	37%	-0.11	2.2	2.68%	0	0.6	65	0
9	Oct_19_2011	18.28	16.97	17.36	17.62			17.45(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	-0	101	0.01	38%	-0.16	-3.4	2.68%	0	0.8	57	0
10	Oct_18_2011	18.31	16.98	17.24	17.63			17.86(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	4	98	0.01	38%	0	-2.6	2.68%	0	1.3	58	0

11	Oct_17_2011	18.31	16.97	17.05	17.53			17.42(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	2	73	0.01	38%	-0.11	-3.5	2.66%	0	0.7	48	0
12	Oct_14_2011	18.33	16.97	16.87	17.49			17.77(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	11	54	0.01	37%	-0.11	0.2	2.65%	0	1.1	53	0
13	Oct_13_2011	18.35	16.99	16.7	17.24			17.58(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	8	26	0.04	37%	-0.11	-4.9	2.65%	0	0.8	56	0
14	Oct_12_2011	18.37	16.99	16.61	17.06			17.52(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	12	13	0.02	37%	-0.11	-11.7	2.65%	0	0.7	57	0
15	Oct_11_2011	18.39	17	16.53	16.8			17.37(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	14	-16	0.06	37%	-0.16	-23.8	2.65%	0	0.5	45	0

16	Oct_10_2011	18.42	17	16.52	16.49			17.21(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	15	-44	0.04	37%	-0.11	-37.9	2.65%	0	0.3	43	0
17	Oct_7_2011	18.44	16.99	16.51	16.16			16.54(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	4	-84	0.01	34%	-0.22	-53.9	2.6%	0	-0.7	35	0
18	Oct_6_2011	18.48	17.03	16.51	16.08			16.65(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-27	-10000	-1	-105	0.03	34%	-0.16	-63.3	2.6%	0	-0.5	38	0
19	Oct_5_2011	18.51	17.08	16.54	16.1			16.22(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-7	-122	0.09	32%	-0.16	-67.1	2.57%	0	-1.2	34	0
20	Oct_4_2011	18.54	17.17	16.69	16.24			15.85(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-15	-117	0.3	32%	-0.16	-68.2	2.55%	0	-1.9	31	0

21	Oct_3_2011	18.57	17.26	16.89	16.55			15.53(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-10000	-16	-90	0.11	32%	-0.21	-66.6	2.56%	0	-2.7	32	0
22	Sep_30_2011	18.61	17.38	17.15	16.9			16.17(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-6	-53	0.04	35%	-0.21	-67	2.53%	0	-2.5	40	0
23	Sep_29_2011	18.65	17.48	17.32	16.9			16.72(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	0	-32	0.51	37%	-0.16	-56.7	2.51%	0	-1.7	47	0
24	Sep_28_2011	18.68	17.57	17.44	17.04			16.92(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-8	-34	0.01	38%	-0.16	-47.7	2.51%	0	-1.4	41	0
25	Sep_27_2011	18.71	17.65	17.52	17.21			17.43(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-24	0.01	41%		-25.6	2.5%	0	-0.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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