Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $17.7700 (2.36%) ($17.6200 - $17.8200) on Fri. Oct. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $17.7700(2.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.57(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.54(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.05(4.22%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 3.75% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2011	18.25	17.05	17.54				17.77(2.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	0	88	0.07	37%	-0.05	9.3	2.7%	0	1.1	80	0
2	Oct_20_2011	18.26	17.01	17.42	17.57			17.36(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-2	95	0.01	37%	-0.11	2.2	2.68%	0	0.6	65	0
3	Oct_19_2011	18.28	16.97	17.36	17.62			17.45(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	-0	101	0.01	38%	-0.16	-3.4	2.68%	0	0.8	57	0
4	Oct_18_2011	18.31	16.98	17.24	17.63			17.86(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	4	98	0.01	38%	0	-2.6	2.68%	0	1.3	58	0
5	Oct_17_2011	18.31	16.97	17.05	17.53			17.42(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	2	73	0.01	38%	-0.11	-3.5	2.66%	0	0.7	48	0

6	Oct_14_2011	18.33	16.97	16.87	17.49			17.77(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	11	54	0.01	37%	-0.11	0.2	2.65%	0	1.1	53	0
7	Oct_13_2011	18.35	16.99	16.7	17.24			17.58(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	8	26	0.04	37%	-0.11	-4.9	2.65%	0	0.8	56	0
8	Oct_12_2011	18.37	16.99	16.61	17.06			17.52(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	12	13	0.02	37%	-0.11	-11.7	2.65%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Oct_11_2011	18.39	17	16.53	16.8			17.37(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	14	-16	0.06	37%	-0.16	-23.8	2.65%	0	0.5	45	0
10	Oct_10_2011	18.42	17	16.52	16.49			17.21(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	15	-44	0.04	37%	-0.11	-37.9	2.65%	0	0.3	43	0

11	Oct_7_2011	18.44	16.99	16.51	16.16			16.54(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	4	-84	0.01	34%	-0.22	-53.9	2.6%	0	-0.7	35	0
12	Oct_6_2011	18.48	17.03	16.51	16.08			16.65(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-27	-10000	-1	-105	0.03	34%	-0.16	-63.3	2.6%	0	-0.5	38	0
13	Oct_5_2011	18.51	17.08	16.54	16.1			16.22(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-7	-122	0.09	32%	-0.16	-67.1	2.57%	0	-1.2	34	0
14	Oct_4_2011	18.54	17.17	16.69	16.24			15.85(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-15	-117	0.3	32%	-0.16	-68.2	2.55%	0	-1.9	31	0
15	Oct_3_2011	18.57	17.26	16.89	16.55			15.53(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-10000	-16	-90	0.11	32%	-0.21	-66.6	2.56%	0	-2.7	32	0

16	Sep_30_2011	18.61	17.38	17.15	16.9			16.17(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-6	-53	0.04	35%	-0.21	-67	2.53%	0	-2.5	40	0
17	Sep_29_2011	18.65	17.48	17.32	16.9			16.72(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	0	-32	0.51	37%	-0.16	-56.7	2.51%	0	-1.7	47	0
18	Sep_28_2011	18.68	17.57	17.44	17.04			16.92(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-8	-34	0.01	38%	-0.16	-47.7	2.51%	0	-1.4	41	0
19	Sep_27_2011	18.71	17.65	17.44	17.21			17.43(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-24	0.01	41%	-0.11	-25.6	2.5%	0	-0.5	43	0
20	Sep_26_2011	18.73	17.69	17.44	17.29			17.27(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.03	41%	-0.11	-5.9	2.5%	0	-0.9	47	0

21	Sep_23_2011	18.75	17.71	17.52	17.45			16.87(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-10	-17	0.01	41%	-0.16	13.6	2.48%	0	-1.8	41	0
22	Sep_22_2011	18.78	17.73	17.56	17.66			16.73(-5.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0.02	41%	-0.11	31.5	2.48%	0	-2.2	33	0
23	Sep_21_2011	18.8	17.79	17.67	17.87			17.75(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	1	-3	0	46%	-0.11	49.8	2.38%	0	-0.1	38	0
24	Sep_20_2011	18.82	17.77	17.68	17.86			17.84(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-10000	4	-11	0.01	46%	-0.05	41.3	2.4%	0	0.2	37	0
25	Sep_19_2011	18.83	17.72	17.66	17.77			18.07(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	8	-25	0	46%		15	2.4%	0	0.8	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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