Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $17.5200 (0.86%) ($17.4900 - $17.7200) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.65% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $17.5200(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(76%)    XAR(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.325% (StdDev 2.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.06(2.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.61(5.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17(3.06%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 4.12% (three month std-dev: 2.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2011	18.37		16.61	17.06			17.52(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	12	13	0.02	37%	-0.11	-11.7	2.65%	0	0.7	57	0
2	Oct_11_2011	18.39	17	16.53	16.8			17.37(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	14	-16	0.06	37%	-0.16	-23.8	2.65%	0	0.5	45	0
3	Oct_10_2011	18.42	17	16.52	16.49			17.21(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	15	-44	0.04	37%	-0.11	-37.9	2.65%	0	0.3	43	0
4	Oct_7_2011	18.44	16.99	16.51	16.16			16.54(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	4	-84	0.01	34%	-0.22	-53.9	2.6%	0	-0.7	35	0
5	Oct_6_2011	18.48	17.03	16.51	16.08			16.65(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-27	-10000	-1	-105	0.03	34%	-0.16	-63.3	2.6%	0	-0.5	38	0

6	Oct_5_2011	18.51	17.08	16.54	16.1			16.22(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-7	-122	0.09	32%	-0.16	-67.1	2.57%	0	-1.2	34	0
7	Oct_4_2011	18.54	17.17	16.69	16.24			15.85(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-15	-117	0.3	32%	-0.16	-68.2	2.55%	0	-1.9	31	0
8	Oct_3_2011	18.57	17.26	16.89	16.55			15.53(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-10000	-16	-90	0.11	32%	-0.21	-66.6	2.56%	0	-2.7	32	0
9	Sep_30_2011	18.61	17.38	17.15	16.9			16.17(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-6	-53	0.04	35%	-0.21	-67	2.53%	0	-2.5	40	0
10	Sep_29_2011	18.65	17.48	17.32	16.9			16.72(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	0	-32	0.51	37%	-0.16	-56.7	2.51%	0	-1.7	47	0

11	Sep_28_2011	18.68	17.57	17.44	17.04			16.92(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-8	-34	0.01	38%	-0.16	-47.7	2.51%	0	-1.4	41	0
12	Sep_27_2011	18.71	17.65	17.44	17.21			17.43(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-24	0.01	41%	-0.11	-25.6	2.5%	0	-0.5	43	0
13	Sep_26_2011	18.73	17.69	17.44	17.29			17.27(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.03	41%	-0.11	-5.9	2.5%	0	-0.9	47	0
14	Sep_23_2011	18.75	17.71	17.52	17.45			16.87(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-10	-17	0.01	41%	-0.16	13.6	2.48%	0	-1.8	41	0
15	Sep_22_2011	18.78	17.73	17.56	17.66			16.73(-5.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0.02	41%	-0.11	31.5	2.48%	0	-2.2	33	0

16	Sep_21_2011	18.8	17.79	17.67	17.87			17.75(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	1	-3	0	46%	-0.11	49.8	2.38%	0	-0.1	38	0
17	Sep_20_2011	18.82	17.77	17.68	17.86			17.84(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-10000	4	-11	0.01	46%	-0.05	41.3	2.4%	0	0.2	37	0
18	Sep_19_2011	18.83	17.72	17.66	17.77			18.07(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	8	-25	0	46%	-0.05	15	2.4%	0	0.8	46	0
19	Sep_16_2011	18.84	17.65	17.61	17.6			17.89(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	7	-39	0.02	46%	-0.11	-6.8	2.39%	0	0.5	54	0
20	Sep_15_2011	18.86	17.65	17.63	17.45			17.82(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.01	46%	-0.05	-22.7	2.39%	0	0.4	59	0

21	Sep_14_2011	18.87	17.59	17.69	17.43			17.69(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.1	47%	-0.05	-16	2.39%	0	0.2	51	0
22	Sep_13_2011	18.88	17.61	17.77	17.48			17.37(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.37	47%	-0.11	-9.7	2.39%	0	-0.4	51	0
23	Sep_12_2011	18.9	17.65	17.86	17.53			17.24(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.01	47%	-0.11	6.5	2.39%	0	-0.7	59	0
24	Sep_9_2011	18.92	17.68	17.91	17.62			17.14(-3.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-10	25	0.02	46%	-0.11	12	2.4%	0	-1	59	0
25	Sep_8_2011	18.94	17.72	17.93	17.83			17.72(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-8	50	0.01	47%		22.6	2.36%	0	0	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.