Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $17.8200 (0.73%) ($17.6800 - $17.9000) on Thu. Sep. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $17.8200(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(76%)    QQQ(70%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.45(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.63(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.59(1.31%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2011	18.86		17.63	17.45			17.82(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.01	46%	-0.05	-22.7	2.39%	0	0.4	59	0
2	Sep_14_2011	18.87	17.59	17.69	17.43			17.69(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.1	47%	-0.05	-16	2.39%	0	0.2	51	0
3	Sep_13_2011	18.88	17.61	17.77	17.48			17.37(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.37	47%	-0.11	-9.7	2.39%	0	-0.4	51	0
4	Sep_12_2011	18.9	17.65	17.86	17.53			17.24(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.01	47%	-0.11	6.5	2.39%	0	-0.7	59	0
5	Sep_9_2011	18.92	17.68	17.91	17.62			17.14(-3.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-10	25	0.02	46%	-0.11	12	2.4%	0	-1	59	0

6	Sep_8_2011	18.94	17.72	17.91	17.83			17.72(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-8	50	0.01	47%	-0.05	22.6	2.36%	0	0	63	0
7	Sep_7_2011	18.95	17.68	17.93	17.99			17.95(1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-6	62	0.01	47%	-0.05	13.4	2.36%	0	0.5	51	0
8	Sep_6_2011	18.96	17.66	17.88	18.11			17.62(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-6	67	0.02	46%	-0.05	12.8	2.35%	0	-0.1	46	0
9	Sep_2_2011	18.97	17.61	17.8	18.24			17.67(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	-10000	0	61	0.01	46%	0	-2.6	2.34%	0	0.1	45	0
10	Sep_1_2011	18.97	17.62	17.71	18.23			18.21(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-10000	10	48	0.02	46%	-0.05	-12.8	2.32%	0	1	52	0

11	Aug_31_2011	18.98	17.62	17.56	18.03			18.5(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	8	17	0.19	46%	0	-29.1	2.33%	0	1.3	56	0
12	Aug_30_2011	18.98	17.6	17.48	17.86			18.57(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	11	17	0.08	46%	0	-40	2.33%	0	1.5	65	0
13	Aug_29_2011	18.98	17.59	17.41	17.63			18.26(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	16	6	0.02	46%	0	-54	2.33%	0	0.9	55	0
14	Aug_26_2011	18.98	17.63	17.39	17.3			17.63(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	-10000	10	-0	0.01	44%	-0.05	-64.1	2.29%	0	0	60	0
15	Aug_25_2011	18.99	17.7	17.41	17.1			17.18(-2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	5	-18	0.02	43%	-0.11	-71	2.27%	0	-0.6	47	0

16	Aug_24_2011	19.01	17.79	17.47	17.01			17.64(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-10	-10000	-3	-31	0.01	43%	-0.11	-75	2.25%	0	-0.2	49	0
17	Aug_23_2011	19.03	17.87	17.4	17.06			17.42(4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-55	0.02	43%	-0.1	-71.2	2.25%	0	-0.5	41	0
18	Aug_22_2011	19.05	17.99	17.41	17.18			16.65(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-16	-64	0.02	40%	-0.1	-65.6	2.16%	0	-1.3	40	0
19	Aug_19_2011	19.07	18.15	17.42	17.49			16.6(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-14	-76	0.04	40%	-0.16	-57	2.16%	0	-1.4	36	0
20	Aug_18_2011	19.1	18.32	17.54	17.76			16.75(-6.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-11	-72	0.02	41%	-0.1	-51.4	2.17%	0	-1.5	36	0

21	Aug_17_2011	19.12	18.49	17.67	17.97			17.87(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	11	-69	0.03	45%	-0.05	-46.8	2.04%	0	-0.6	41	0
22	Aug_16_2011	19.13	18.6	17.75	17.77			18.04(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	5	-96	0.02	44%	-0.05	-50.6	2.04%	0	-0.5	42	0
23	Aug_15_2011	19.14	18.7	17.78	17.68			18.21(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	20	-119	0.06	44%	0	-51.3	2.05%	0	-0.4	39	0
24	Aug_12_2011	19.14	18.78	17.87	17.33			17.94(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-41	-10000	1	-167	0.01	44%	-0.05	-59.5	2.04%	0	-0.7	37	0
25	Aug_11_2011	19.15	18.89	17.98	17.31			17.79(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-47	-10000	-1	-183	0.02	44%		-61.9	2.04%	0	-1	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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