Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $18.8500 (0.8%) ($18.7000 - $18.8900) on Mon. Dec. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $18.8500(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.64(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.74(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.57(1.51%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2010	16.62	18.57	18.74	18.64			18.85(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	4	10	0.03	73%	0.24	66	1.07%	0	0.9	70	0
2	Dec_17_2010	16.58	18.53	18.73	18.6			18.7(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-5	18	0.03	73%	0.24	64.1	1.09%	0	0.5	66	0
3	Dec_16_2010	16.54	18.49	18.73	18.65			18.69(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-2	42	0.02	73%	0.24	65.9	1.09%	0	0.6	62	0
4	Dec_15_2010	16.5	18.45	18.73	18.67			18.44(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-9	53	0.05	72%	0.18	57.9	1.09%	0	-0	56	0
5	Dec_14_2010	16.47	18.4	18.74	18.76			18.54(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-8	81	0.03	72%	0.24	52.6	1.09%	0	0.3	67	0

6	Dec_13_2010	16.43	18.37	18.71	18.84			18.63(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10000	-4	97	0.05	74%	0.24	53.3	1.08%	0	0.6	61	0
7	Dec_10_2010	16.39	18.33	18.67	18.88			18.95(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	4	113	0.02	78%	0.24	55	1.08%	0	1.4	71	0
8	Dec_9_2010	16.35	18.28	18.6	18.84			18.8(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	2	116	0.03	78%	0.31	57	1.08%	0	1.2	71	0
9	Dec_8_2010	16.3	18.24	18.55	18.82			18.86(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	10	135	0.02	78%	0.25	60.4	1.08%	0	1.5	76	0
10	Dec_7_2010	16.26	18.18	18.46	18.72			18.94(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	16	139	0.04	78%	0.31	58.1	1.08%	0	1.9	82	0

11	Dec_6_2010	16.21	18.14	18.38	18.56			18.85(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	14	120	0.02	78%	0.31	61.1	1.1%	0	2	66	0
12	Dec_3_2010	16.16	18.09	18.3	18.42			18.77(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	10	102	0.03	78%	0.25	69.3	1.11%	0	2.3	66	0
13	Dec_2_2010	16.12	18.05	18.22	18.32			18.66(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	7	84	0.04	81%	0.25	81.3	1.12%	0	2.3	59	0
14	Dec_1_2010	16.08	18	18.12	18.25			18.4(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	8	63	0.03	82%	0.19	92.2	1.2%	0	1.7	58	0
15	Nov_30_2010	16.05	17.96	18.03	18.16			18.1(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-2	36	0.03	77%	0.25	90.2	1.28%	0	0.6	58	0

16	Nov_29_2010	16.01	17.92	18	18.18			18.17(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	2	35	0.15	77%	0.19	80.7	1.31%	0	1	51	0
17	Nov_26_2010	15.98	17.89	17.97	18.16			18.26(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	5	29	0.02	78%	0.38	74.8	1.32%	0	1.4	53	0
18	Nov_24_2010	15.92	17.84	17.95	18.1			18.3(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	10	27	0.15	78%	0.32	67.9	1.31%	0	1.5	56	0
19	Nov_23_2010	15.87	17.79	17.91	17.98			17.96(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	9	17	0.01	77%	0.13	64.4	1.33%	0	0.6	56	0
20	Nov_22_2010	15.85	17.76	17.89	17.87			18.2(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	5	1	0.06	77%	0.25	65.6	1.32%	0	1.5	61	0

21	Nov_19_2010	15.81	17.72	17.89	17.81			18.06(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	3	7	0.07	73%	0.32	67.1	1.32%	0	1.2	65	0
22	Nov_18_2010	15.76	17.69	17.87	17.77			17.98(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	3	-10000	-1	15	0.01	73%	0.25	61.7	1.34%	0	0.9	63	0
23	Nov_17_2010	15.72	17.64	17.87	17.78			17.71(1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-4	31	0.03	72%	0.26	56.5	1.34%	0	0.2	62	0
24	Nov_16_2010	15.68	17.6	17.86	17.83			17.42(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	8	-10000	-5	48	0.04	71%	0.13	53.2	1.34%	0	-0.5	57	0
25	Nov_15_2010	15.66	17.58	17.89	17.89			17.86(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-4	66	0.02	76%		54.5	1.29%	0	0.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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