Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.4100 (-0.19%) ($15.3100 - $15.5000) on Thu. Sep. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $15.4100(-0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.43(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.92(3.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.63(5.33%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2010	15.09	14.63	14.92	15.43			15.41(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	-10000	10	155	0.02	57%	-0.07	34.1	1.75%	0	1.5	67	0
2	Sep_8_2010	15.1	14.58	14.8	15.3			15.44(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	20	135	0.01	57%	-0.07	23.6	1.75%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Sep_7_2010	15.11	14.54	14.65	15.04			15.38(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	18	91	0.01	54%	-0.2	9.2	1.75%	0	1.9	62	0
4	Sep_3_2010	15.14	14.52	14.54	14.81			15.6(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	-10000	17	58	0.03	50%	-0.07	-5	1.83%	0	2.6	69	0
5	Sep_2_2010	15.15	14.48	14.4	14.58			15.33(3.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	22	-10000	18	33	0.01	52%	-0.07	-20.9	1.82%	0	2.4	67	0

6	Sep_1_2010	15.16	14.46	14.29	14.35			14.76(4.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	9	-2	0.08	46%	-0.13	-39.9	1.78%	0	0.9	55	0
7	Aug_31_2010	15.18	14.47	14.27	14.23			14.15(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	2	-17	0.01	41%	-0.13	-45.1	1.74%	0	-0.9	42	0
8	Aug_30_2010	15.2	14.5	14.3	14.2			14.19(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-10000	-1	-32	0.02	41%	-0.13	-49.1	1.75%	0	-0.9	34	0
9	Aug_27_2010	15.22	14.54	14.31	14.21			14.47(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	2	-48	0.03	47%	-0.13	-49.1	1.74%	0	-0.2	35	0
10	Aug_26_2010	15.24	14.56	14.29	14.19			14.16(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-3	-68	0.01	45%	-0.13	-51.3	1.78%	0	-1.2	32	0

11	Aug_25_2010	15.26	14.59	14.32	14.23			14.17(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-7	-76	0.02	45%	-0.13	-47.8	1.79%	0	-1.3	32	0
12	Aug_24_2010	15.28	14.62	14.35	14.32			14.01(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-8	-79	0.03	45%	-0.13	-32	1.78%	0	-1.9	26	0
13	Aug_23_2010	15.3	14.67	14.44	14.32			14.26(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	0	-64	0	45%	-0.07	-16.2	1.77%	0	-1.4	36	0
14	Aug_20_2010	15.31	14.71	14.52	14.42			14.35(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-14	-10000	2	-62	0.02	42%	-0.13	-4.7	1.78%	0	-1.3	35	0
15	Aug_19_2010	15.33	14.73	14.57	14.4			14.36(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.02	42%	-0.07	1.6	1.85%	0	-1.4	43	0

16	Aug_18_2010	15.34	14.75	14.63	14.41			14.63(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	2	-55	0.02	43%	-0.07	-1	1.85%	0	-0.4	48	0
17	Aug_17_2010	15.35	14.75	14.67	14.38			14.49(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-7	-58	0.01	43%	-0.07	-16.2	1.85%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Aug_16_2010	15.36	14.75	14.71	14.47			14.26(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-13	-53	0.03	43%	-0.13	-16.1	1.84%	0	-1.4	33	0
19	Aug_13_2010	15.38	14.72	14.79	14.64			14.24(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-10	-33	0.02	41%	-0.06	-4.6	1.85%	0	-1.5	31	0
20	Aug_12_2010	15.39	14.73	14.85	14.78			14.44(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-7	-14	0.03	43%	-0.06	4.4	1.85%	0	-1	45	0

21	Aug_11_2010	15.4	14.75	14.89	14.88			14.47(-3.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-7	-10000	-9	1	0.03	43%	-0.06	21.7	1.86%	0	-0.9	51	0
22	Aug_10_2010	15.41	14.75	14.89	15			14.93(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	1	35	0	50%	-0.06	47.4	1.83%	0	0.6	71	0
23	Aug_9_2010	15.42	14.77	14.93	14.99			15.1(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	1	45	0.02	50%	0	65	1.93%	0	1.1	67	0
24	Aug_6_2010	15.42	14.74	14.92	14.98			14.95(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	3	59	0.02	46%	0	77.2	1.96%	0	0.7	66	0
25	Aug_5_2010	15.42	14.72	14.91	14.94			14.97(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	0.02	45%		80.9	1.98%	0	0.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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