Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $14.9500 (-0.13%) ($14.7000 - $14.9500) on Fri. Aug. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $14.9500(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-1%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.98(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.92(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.74(1.42%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2010	15.42	14.74	14.92	14.98			14.95(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	3	59	0.02	46%	0	77.2	1.96%	0	0.7	66	0
2	Aug_5_2010	15.42	14.72	14.91	14.94			14.97(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	0.02	45%	-0.06	80.9	1.98%	0	0.8	67	0
3	Aug_4_2010	15.43	14.69	14.87	14.9			15.07(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	4	57	0.02	43%	0	79.4	1.99%	0	1.2	53	0
4	Aug_3_2010	15.43	14.64	14.77	14.84			14.88(-0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-1	35	0.02	45%	0	66.4	2.01%	0	0.6	49	0
5	Aug_2_2010	15.43	14.58	14.72	14.86			15.01(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-1	26	0.02	45%	-0.06	55.5	2.03%	0	1.2	50	0

6	Jul_30_2010	15.44	14.52	14.65	14.86			14.77(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	0	24	0.02	43%	0	42.4	2.04%	0	0.6	56	0
7	Jul_29_2010	15.44	14.48	14.65	14.87			14.75(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	3	20	0.02	45%	0	32.5	2.05%	0	0.7	55	0
8	Jul_28_2010	15.44	14.44	14.65	14.83			14.81(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	10	28	0	45%	-0.06	17.2	2.08%	0	0.9	59	0
9	Jul_27_2010	15.45	14.39	14.6	14.68			14.96(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	8	26	0.07	43%	0	-4.1	2.08%	0	1.4	66	0
10	Jul_26_2010	15.45	14.37	14.59	14.56			15.06(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	11	36	0.16	43%	0.06	-21.6	2.1%	0	1.7	72	0

11	Jul_23_2010	15.44	14.37	14.53	14.4			14.75(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	7	30	0.01	42%	0	-44.2	2.08%	0	1.1	67	0
12	Jul_22_2010	15.44	14.35	14.5	14.3			14.57(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	-3	27	0.02	43%	0	-62.6	2.07%	0	0.6	61	0
13	Jul_21_2010	15.44	14.36	14.48	14.35			14.08(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-11	39	0.04	41%	0	-63.1	2.05%	0	-0.7	56	0
14	Jul_20_2010	15.44	14.41	14.49	14.51			14.32(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-8	62	0.02	42%	0	-55	2.04%	0	-0.2	58	0
15	Jul_19_2010	15.44	14.46	14.43	14.63			14.26(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-3	61	0.09	42%	0	-42.2	2.05%	0	-0.4	43	0

16	Jul_16_2010	15.44	14.52	14.39	14.68			14.25(-3.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-3	48	0.06	41%	0	-33.1	2.05%	0	-0.5	42	0
17	Jul_15_2010	15.44	14.59	14.37	14.73			14.83(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	7	47	0.03	43%	0.06	-25.1	2%	0	0.4	51	0
18	Jul_14_2010	15.43	14.62	14.27	14.63			14.89(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	12	16	0.04	45%	0.06	-21.5	2%	0	0.4	45	0
19	Jul_13_2010	15.42	14.65	14.17	14.46			14.94(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	-10000	18	-21	0.05	45%	0.06	-20.3	2.01%	0	0.4	45	0
20	Jul_12_2010	15.41	14.67	14.13	14.2			14.47(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	9	-71	0.02	42%	0	-24.7	1.97%	0	-0.3	33	0

21	Jul_9_2010	15.41	14.7	14.15	14.07			14.51(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	9	-103	0.09	42%	0.06	-27.6	1.97%	0	-0.3	31	0
22	Jul_8_2010	15.4	14.73	14.16	13.95			14.33(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-29	-10000	7	-137	0.02	43%	0	-34.8	1.96%	0	-0.6	27	0
23	Jul_7_2010	15.4	14.75	14.22	13.86			14.07(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-40	-10000	1	-163	0.02	43%	0	-44.3	1.95%	0	-1	21	0
24	Jul_6_2010	15.4	14.78	14.31	13.84			13.64(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-10000	-16	-189	0.13	40%	0.06	-49.4	1.9%	0	-1.7	8	0
25	Jul_2_2010	15.39	14.83	14.49	14.05			13.78(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-53	-10000	-15	-165	0.12	42%		-55	1.91%	0	-1.8	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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