Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.0600 (2.1%) ($14.7600 - $15.0800) on Mon. Jul. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $15.0600(2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-1%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.56(3.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.59(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.37(4.8%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2010	15.45	14.37	14.59	14.56			15.06(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	11	36	0.16	43%	0.06	-21.6	2.1%	0	1.7	72	0
2	Jul_23_2010	15.44	14.37	14.53	14.4			14.75(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	7	30	0.01	42%	0	-44.2	2.08%	0	1.1	67	0
3	Jul_22_2010	15.44	14.35	14.5	14.3			14.57(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	-3	27	0.02	43%	0	-62.6	2.07%	0	0.6	61	0
4	Jul_21_2010	15.44	14.36	14.48	14.35			14.08(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-11	39	0.04	41%	0	-63.1	2.05%	0	-0.7	56	0
5	Jul_20_2010	15.44	14.41	14.49	14.51			14.32(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-8	62	0.02	42%	0	-55	2.04%	0	-0.2	58	0

6	Jul_19_2010	15.44	14.46	14.43	14.63			14.26(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-3	61	0.09	42%	0	-42.2	2.05%	0	-0.4	43	0
7	Jul_16_2010	15.44	14.52	14.39	14.68			14.25(-3.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-3	48	0.06	41%	0	-33.1	2.05%	0	-0.5	42	0
8	Jul_15_2010	15.44	14.59	14.37	14.73			14.83(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	7	47	0.03	43%	0.06	-25.1	2%	0	0.4	51	0
9	Jul_14_2010	15.43	14.62	14.27	14.63			14.89(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	12	16	0.04	45%	0.06	-21.5	2%	0	0.4	45	0
10	Jul_13_2010	15.42	14.65	14.17	14.46			14.94(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	-10000	18	-21	0.05	45%	0.06	-20.3	2.01%	0	0.4	45	0

11	Jul_12_2010	15.41	14.67	14.13	14.2			14.47(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	9	-71	0.02	42%	0	-24.7	1.97%	0	-0.3	33	0
12	Jul_9_2010	15.41	14.7	14.15	14.07			14.51(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	9	-103	0.09	42%	0.06	-27.6	1.97%	0	-0.3	31	0
13	Jul_8_2010	15.4	14.73	14.16	13.95			14.33(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-29	-10000	7	-137	0.02	43%	0	-34.8	1.96%	0	-0.6	27	0
14	Jul_7_2010	15.4	14.75	14.22	13.86			14.07(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-40	-10000	1	-163	0.02	43%	0	-44.3	1.95%	0	-1	21	0
15	Jul_6_2010	15.4	14.78	14.31	13.84			13.64(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-10000	-16	-189	0.13	40%	0.06	-49.4	1.9%	0	-1.7	8	0

16	Jul_2_2010	15.39	14.83	14.49	14.05			13.78(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-53	-10000	-15	-165	0.12	42%	0	-55	1.91%	0	-1.8	21	0
17	Jul_1_2010	15.39	14.9	14.67	14.25			13.93(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-10	-136	0.11	42%	0.07	-55.8	1.92%	0	-1.8	24	0
18	Jun_30_2010	15.38	14.98	14.83	14.39			13.88(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-10000	-17	-117	0.11	42%	0	-49.7	1.9%	0	-2.2	29	0
19	Jun_29_2010	15.38	15.06	15.01	14.62			13.98(-4.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-10000	-16	-75	0.07	42%	0.07	-38.8	1.9%	0	-2.4	43	0
20	Jun_28_2010	15.37	15.12	15.19	14.84			14.68(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-11	-30	0.03	45%	0.13	-29.5	1.81%	0	-1.2	57	0

21	Jun_25_2010	15.35	15.17	15.26	14.99			14.78(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-10000	-12	4	0.02	45%	0.13	-13.6	1.81%	0	-1	62	0
22	Jun_24_2010	15.33	15.21	15.31	15.15			14.65(-2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10000	-14	32	0.05	45%	0.07	6.3	1.81%	0	-1.4	48	0
23	Jun_23_2010	15.32	15.21	15.37	15.34			15.02(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-9	52	0.02	47%	0.07	14	1.78%	0	-0.6	43	0
24	Jun_22_2010	15.31	15.21	15.35	15.46			15.07(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	7	-10000	-9	53	0.07	48%	0.13	12.8	1.79%	0	-0.4	44	0
25	Jun_21_2010	15.29	15.23	15.31	15.58			15.43(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-10000	1	63	0.13	49%		9.5	1.77%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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