Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.3300 (0.33%) ($15.3200 - $15.5700) on Mon. Jun. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $15.3300(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $9.76(-36.33%)
5 Day Moving Average   $14.99(2.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.03(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.2(0.86%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2010	15.18	15.2	15.03	14.99			15.33(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-10000	14	-24	0.06	48%	0.13	-65.9	1.75%	0	0.3	55	0
2	Jun_11_2010	15.16	15.22	15.05	14.81			15.28(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	5	-41	0.03	48%	0.07	-68.2	1.75%	0	0.1	52	0
3	Jun_10_2010	15.15	15.26	15.08	14.74			15.12(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0.1	49%	0.13	-61.3	1.75%	0	-0.3	53	0
4	Jun_9_2010	15.13	15.32	15.07	14.81			14.67(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-12	-49	0.12	46%	0.07	-49.4	1.71%	0	-1.2	38	0
5	Jun_8_2010	15.12	15.39	15.11	14.96			14.55(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-46	0.38	46%	-0.07	-44.2	1.71%	0	-1.6	34	0

6	Jun_7_2010	15.13	15.47	15.16	15.07			14.45(-3.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-28	-10000	-18	-57	0.11	46%	0.07	-47.9	1.71%	0	-2	31	0
7	Jun_4_2010	15.12	15.52	15.24	15.3			14.91(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-11	-42	0.04	50%	0.07	-53	1.69%	0	-1.3	37	0
8	Jun_3_2010	15.11	15.56	15.25	15.45			15.47(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	6	-45	0.05	53%	0.13	-59	1.62%	0	-0.2	38	0
9	Jun_2_2010	15.09	15.59	15.26	15.37			15.42(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	7	-73	0.07	53%	0.13	-66.1	1.62%	0	-0.4	35	0
10	Jun_1_2010	15.07	15.64	15.29	15.28			15.1(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-23	-10000	2	-96	0.12	53%	0.2	-72	1.6%	0	-1.1	36	0

11	May_28_2010	15.04	15.72	15.38	15.26			15.61(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	8	-101	0.03	56%	0.13	-66.3	1.55%	0	-0.2	43	0
12	May_27_2010	15.02	15.77	15.4	15.17			15.65(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	12	-100	0.07	56%	0.13	-69.7	1.56%	0	-0.2	56	0
13	May_26_2010	15	15.83	15.45	15.03			15.06(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-10	-123	0.04	53%	0.13	-75	1.5%	0	-1.2	43	0
14	May_25_2010	14.98	15.9	15.58	15.14			14.97(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-16	-104	0.15	53%	0.13	-72.9	1.5%	0	-1.5	37	0
15	May_24_2010	14.96	15.99	15.7	15.32			15(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-17	-88	0.06	54%	0	-65.9	1.5%	0	-1.6	35	0

16	May_21_2010	14.96	16.1	15.81	15.52			15.16(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-13	-79	0.14	54%	0.07	-53.6	1.48%	0	-1.6	32	0
17	May_20_2010	14.95	16.2	15.83	15.67			14.96(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-10000	-21	-92	0.11	54%	0.13	-43.4	1.48%	0	-2.1	35	0
18	May_19_2010	14.93	16.31	15.92	15.92			15.63(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-13	-88	0.15	59%	0.13	-33.2	1.38%	0	-1.3	36	0
19	May_18_2010	14.91	16.36	15.97	16.07			15.83(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-5	-74	0.02	59%	0.13	-25.8	1.37%	0	-1.1	43	0
20	May_17_2010	14.89	16.4	16.02	16.13			16.01(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-74	0.07	59%	0.13	-21.5	1.36%	0	-0.8	43	0

21	May_14_2010	14.87	16.43	16.1	16.14			15.9(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-11	-10000	11	-75	0.12	60%	0.13	-21.3	1.36%	0	-1.1	38	0
22	May_13_2010	14.85	16.46	16.16	16.02			16.21(-1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	9	-111	0.11	63%	0.2	-28.3	1.34%	0	-0.5	40	0
23	May_12_2010	14.82	16.48	16.23	15.92			16.42(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-29	-10000	6	-132	0.09	63%	0.2	-31.9	1.34%	0	-0.1	42	0
24	May_11_2010	14.79	16.49	16.24	15.86			16.13(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-41	-10000	-4	-153	0.09	62%	0.14	-30.8	1.32%	0	-0.8	45	0
25	May_10_2010	14.77	16.51	16.29	15.9			16.05(5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-50	-10000	-16	-151	0.12	62%		-26	1.33%	0	-1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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