Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $16.4600 (-1.32%) ($16.3800 - $16.6700) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $16.4600(-1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(85%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(72%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.51(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.37(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.99(2.94%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   26.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2010	14.19	15.99	16.37	16.51			16.46(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	3	178	0.36	73%	0.21	72.9	0.87%	0	1.1	84	0
2	Apr_15_2010	14.16	15.93	16.3	16.49			16.68(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	-10000	12	195	0.14	77%	0.28	71.7	0.85%	0	1.7	97	0
3	Apr_14_2010	14.12	15.86	16.2	16.41			16.64(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	-10000	14	188	0.1	78%	0.21	74.9	0.86%	0	1.9	97	0
4	Apr_13_2010	14.09	15.79	16.11	16.31			16.39(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	-10000	7	170	0.05	78%	0.28	78.4	0.86%	0	1.6	89	0
5	Apr_12_2010	14.05	15.74	16.04	16.26			16.37(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	8	169	0.1	75%	0.29	82.1	0.88%	0	1.7	90	0

6	Apr_9_2010	14.01	15.68	15.96	16.2			16.35(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	-10000	17	173	0.05	75%	0.21	88.8	0.89%	0	1.9	92	0
7	Apr_8_2010	13.98	15.62	15.87	16.08			16.29(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	-10000	15	154	0.36	75%	0.29	95.3	0.9%	0	2	85	0
8	Apr_7_2010	13.94	15.56	15.79	15.97			16.13(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	13	133	0.04	74%	0.22	104.7	0.9%	0	1.9	78	0
9	Apr_6_2010	13.91	15.5	15.73	15.88			16.17(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	42	-10000	14	125	0.05	74%	0.22	105.2	0.9%	0	2.2	81	0
10	Apr_5_2010	13.88	15.44	15.66	15.78			16.07(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	38	-10000	14	111	0.12	74%	0.36	112.7	0.91%	0	2.3	82	0

11	Apr_1_2010	13.83	15.37	15.57	15.68			15.76(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	7	89	0.08	72%	0.22	99.5	0.87%	0	1.2	73	0
12	Mar_31_2010	13.8	15.31	15.53	15.63			15.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	-10000	6	81	0.01	72%	0.22	92.1	0.88%	0	1.1	74	0
13	Mar_30_2010	13.77	15.25	15.49	15.59			15.7(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	4	82	0.03	68%	0.22	87.6	0.88%	0	1.2	77	0
14	Mar_29_2010	13.74	15.19	15.46	15.56			15.67(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	6	90	0.05	68%	0.22	90.3	0.9%	0	1.2	80	0
15	Mar_26_2010	13.71	15.13	15.41	15.52			15.57(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	10	95	0.04	68%	0.22	86.3	0.9%	0	1	79	0

16	Mar_25_2010	13.68	15.06	15.38	15.45			15.5(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-10000	6	98	0.03	68%	0.22	79.3	0.9%	0	1	81	0
17	Mar_24_2010	13.65	15	15.35	15.41			15.5(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	3	118	0.07	68%	0.29	76.7	0.91%	0	1.1	85	0
18	Mar_23_2010	13.61	14.93	15.31	15.39			15.56(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	7	143	0.08	68%	0.29	74	0.91%	0	1.3	89	0
19	Mar_22_2010	13.57	14.85	15.25	15.34			15.45(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	7	156	0.04	68%	0.22	72.6	0.91%	0	1.2	88	0
20	Mar_19_2010	13.54	14.78	15.2	15.29			15.23(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	41	-10000	-2	168	0.07	68%	0.3	74.8	0.9%	0	0.9	87	0

21	Mar_18_2010	13.5	14.71	15.16	15.3			15.31(-0.46%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	53	-10000	3	202	0.05	70%	0.22	79.7	0.9%	0	1.2	93	0
22	Mar_17_2010	13.47	14.64	15.09	15.28			15.38(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-10000	7	216	0.09	70%	0.22	84	0.91%	0	1.4	97	0
23	Mar_16_2010	13.44	14.57	15	15.23			15.32(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	-10000	10	223	0.05	70%	0.22	87.1	0.92%	0	1.4	97	0
24	Mar_15_2010	13.41	14.49	14.91	15.16			15.23(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	-10000	9	232	0.07	70%	0.22	95.7	0.92%	0	1.5	98	0
25	Mar_12_2010	13.38	14.4	14.83	15.1			15.27(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	73	-10000	15	245	0.06	70%		95.5	0.91%	0	1.7	95	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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