Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 17, 2009

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $13.1100 (-0.83%) ($13.1100 - $13.1900) on Thu. Dec. 17, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $13.1100(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(85%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(72%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(0%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.16(-0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.07(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.01(0.77%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2009	12.57		13.07	13.16			13.11(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	4	49	0.01	45%	0.16	49.4	1.15%	0	0.9	59	0
2	Dec_16_2009	12.55	13.01	13.05	13.13			13.22(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	9	38	0.01	48%	0.08	49.4	1.15%	0	1.9	55	0
3	Dec_15_2009	12.54	13.01	13.03	13.06			13.2(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	10	-10000	6	22	0.01	48%	0.08	44.2	1.17%	0	2	58	0
4	Dec_14_2009	12.53	13	13.01	13.01			13.21(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	5	-10000	4	9	0.01	48%	0.16	45.5	1.18%	0	2.1	55	0
5	Dec_11_2009	12.51	12.98	12.97	12.98			13.08(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1	-10000	1	2	0	48%	0.08	53.6	1.18%	0	1.1	58	0

6	Dec_10_2009	12.5	12.98	12.95	12.97			12.93(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	-10000	1	2	0	48%	0.08	49.4	1.17%	0	-0.3	54	0
7	Dec_9_2009	12.49	12.98	12.97	12.96			12.87(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-4	-3	0	50%	0.08	72.9	1.17%	0	-0.8	42	0
8	Dec_8_2009	12.48	12.96	12.98	12.99			12.95(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-1	0.01	50%	0.08	112.9	1.19%	0	-0.1	43	0
9	Dec_7_2009	12.47	12.95	12.99	13			13.08(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	5	1	0	50%	0.16	151.8	1.18%	0	1.2	49	0
10	Dec_4_2009	12.45	12.93	12.97	12.96			13.03(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	3	-6	0	53%	0.08	143.6	1.19%	0	0.8	58	0

11	Dec_3_2009	12.44	12.91	12.95	12.94			12.89(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-8	0.02	53%	0.16	122.6	1.2%	0	-0.1	59	0
12	Dec_2_2009	12.42	12.88	12.97	12.94			13(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	0	9	0	53%	0.08	105.5	1.2%	0	0.6	55	0
13	Dec_1_2009	12.41	12.84	12.98	12.94			12.99(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	15	0	50%	0.16	83.2	1.2%	0	0.6	53	0
14	Nov_30_2009	12.39	12.79	12.99	12.94			12.89(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	0	28	0.04	50%	0.16	58.8	1.22%	0	0.3	55	0
15	Nov_27_2009	12.37	12.74	12.98	12.97			12.91(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	1	35	0	50%	0.32	41.7	1.22%	0	0.5	60	0

16	Nov_25_2009	12.33	12.71	12.97	12.96			13.07(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	-1	41	0.01	52%	0.16	31.1	1.2%	0	0.9	68	0
17	Nov_24_2009	12.31	12.66	12.95	12.97			12.97(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-4	63	0	52%	0.16	21.8	1.2%	0	0.8	72	0
18	Nov_23_2009	12.29	12.62	12.94	13			13.03(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-1	102	0.01	52%	0.08	17.8	1.2%	0	1.1	76	0
19	Nov_20_2009	12.28	12.6	12.92	13.01			12.88(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.3	35	-10000	1	137	0.01	56%	0.16	13.6	1.21%	0	0.7	78	0
20	Nov_19_2009	12.26	12.6	12.89	13			12.87(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	44	-10000	5	161	0.01	56%	0.08	10.3	1.23%	0	0.7	75	0

21	Nov_18_2009	12.25	12.59	12.86	12.96			13.09(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	5	170	0.01	58%	0.16	6.6	1.21%	0	1.3	71	0
22	Nov_17_2009	12.23	12.57	12.78	12.92			13.12(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	5	175	0.01	55%	0.16	1.7	1.21%	0	1.5	75	0
23	Nov_16_2009	12.21	12.56	12.68	12.88			13.08(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	-10000	8	161	0.02	55%	0.16	-1.7	1.25%	0	1.4	65	0
24	Nov_13_2009	12.19	12.56	12.57	12.82			12.83(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	6	125	0.01	50%	0.16	-4.9	1.26%	0	0.8	52	0
25	Nov_12_2009	12.17	12.55	12.49	12.77			12.69(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	4	91	0.02	50%		-7.3	1.25%	0	0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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