Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $13.0900 (-0.23%) ($12.9900 - $13.0900) on Wed. Nov. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $13.0900(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(85%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(72%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(0%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $12.96(1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.86(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.59(3.97%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2009	12.25	12.59	12.86	12.96			13.09(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	5	170	0.01	58%	0.16	6.6	1.21%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Nov_17_2009	12.23	12.57	12.78	12.92			13.12(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	5	175	0.01	55%	0.16	1.7	1.21%	0	1.5	75	0
3	Nov_16_2009	12.21	12.56	12.68	12.88			13.08(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	-10000	8	161	0.02	55%	0.16	-1.7	1.25%	0	1.4	65	0
4	Nov_13_2009	12.19	12.56	12.57	12.82			12.83(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	6	125	0.01	50%	0.16	-4.9	1.26%	0	0.8	52	0
5	Nov_12_2009	12.17	12.55	12.49	12.77			12.69(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	4	91	0.02	50%	0.16	-7.3	1.25%	0	0.4	48	0

6	Nov_11_2009	12.15	12.56	12.44	12.74			12.87(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	17	68	0.04	52%	0.16	-8.8	1.24%	0	0.8	47	0
7	Nov_10_2009	12.13	12.57	12.35	12.61			12.92(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	19	11	0	52%	0.17	-14.3	1.25%	0	0.9	48	0
8	Nov_9_2009	12.11	12.56	12.28	12.46			12.77(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	22	-43	0.01	52%	0.17	-24.1	1.24%	0	0.6	45	0
9	Nov_6_2009	12.09	12.57	12.25	12.29			12.62(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	17	-97	0	52%	0.17	-31.5	1.26%	0	0.1	38	0
10	Nov_5_2009	12.07	12.58	12.26	12.16			12.51(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-28	-10000	8	-134	0.01	52%	0.08	-34.8	1.29%	0	-0.2	39	0

11	Nov_4_2009	12.06	12.6	12.28	12.1			12.25(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-34	-10000	6	-154	0.05	49%	0.17	-34.4	1.27%	0	-0.9	32	0
12	Nov_3_2009	12.04	12.62	12.34	12.05			12.13(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-47	-10000	-4	-176	0.02	49%	0.08	-41	1.27%	0	-1.3	28	0
13	Nov_2_2009	12.03	12.65	12.41	12.08			11.92(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-10000	-18	-179	0.08	47%	0	-41.4	1.27%	0	-2	26	0
14	Oct_30_2009	12.03	12.69	12.53	12.22			11.98(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-10000	-19	-149	0.04	47%	0.08	-38.9	1.27%	0	-2.2	26	0
15	Oct_29_2009	12.02	12.71	12.63	12.37			12.22(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-17	-120	0.08	50%	0.08	-32.5	1.25%	0	-1.7	32	0

16	Oct_28_2009	12.01	12.73	12.71	12.5			11.99(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-40	-10000	-22	-94	0.02	47%	0	-24.5	1.24%	0	-2.7	24	0
17	Oct_27_2009	12.01	12.77	12.82	12.67			12.28(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-24	-10000	-16	-48	0.1	50%	0.08	-9.1	1.2%	0	-2.3	39	0
18	Oct_26_2009	12	12.8	12.88	12.79			12.62(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-14	-16	0.03	55%	0.08	2.8	1.15%	0	-1	49	0
19	Oct_23_2009	11.99	12.8	12.92	12.89			12.74(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-5	23	0	55%	0.08	14.9	1.15%	0	-0.4	63	0
20	Oct_22_2009	11.98	12.81	12.93	12.93			12.87(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-3	54	0.01	55%	0.08	9.2	1.15%	0	0.3	75	0

21	Oct_21_2009	11.97	12.8	12.94	12.95			12.86(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-4	74	0	55%	0.08	3.5	1.16%	0	0.3	67	0
22	Oct_20_2009	11.96	12.79	12.92	12.95			12.88(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	0	81	0.01	55%	0.08	3.4	1.17%	0	0.5	53	0
23	Oct_19_2009	11.95	12.8	12.91	12.98			13.08(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	4	81	0.01	57%	0.17	10.1	1.16%	0	1.5	57	0
24	Oct_16_2009	11.93	12.8	12.86	12.95			12.96(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	1	65	0.08	57%	0.17	13.4	1.16%	0	0.9	54	0
25	Oct_15_2009	11.91	12.79	12.8	12.94			12.97(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	3	56	0.03	57%		26.2	1.16%	0	0.9	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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