Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $12.4500 (-0.08%) ($12.4100 - $12.4800) on Fri. Sep. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $12.4500(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(85%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(72%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $12.3(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.1(2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.03(3.49%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20091011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2009	11.45	12.03	12.1	12.3			12.45(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	15	44	0	43%	0.26	21.5	1.35%	0	1.8	57	0
2	Sep_10_2009	11.42	12.02	12.07	12.18			12.46(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	18	25	0.04	43%	0.18	13.7	1.38%	0	2	64	0
3	Sep_9_2009	11.4	12	12.03	12.03			12.35(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	13	5	0.02	43%	0.18	-5.7	1.39%	0	1.8	67	0
4	Sep_8_2009	11.38	12	12	11.92			12.16(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	5	-7	0.01	40%	0.35	-27.3	1.39%	0	1	65	0
5	Sep_4_2009	11.34	12	11.99	11.92			12.06(1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	0	0	0.01	40%	0.18	-29.3	1.38%	0	0.4	67	0

6	Sep_3_2009	11.32	11.98	12	11.88			11.86(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.06	35%	0.27	-24	1.37%	0	-0.7	51	0
7	Sep_2_2009	11.29	11.99	12.01	11.94			11.72(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-10000	-10	14	0.02	35%	0.18	-18	1.37%	0	-1.5	40	0
8	Sep_1_2009	11.27	12.01	12.01	12.02			11.78(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-8	19	0.08	43%	0.18	2	1.38%	0	-1.3	41	0
9	Aug_31_2009	11.25	12.01	12.03	12.09			12(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-2	25	0.03	47%	0.09	21.3	1.41%	0	-0.2	47	0
10	Aug_28_2009	11.24	12.01	11.99	12.11			12.06(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	8	0.09	47%	0.18	28.4	1.45%	0	0.2	44	0

11	Aug_27_2009	11.22	12.03	11.99	12.13			12.13(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	3	7	0.01	47%	0.27	32.6	1.45%	0	0.6	49	0
12	Aug_26_2009	11.19	12.02	11.97	12.1			12.12(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	7	10	0.01	56%	0.27	27	1.47%	0	0.6	57	0
13	Aug_25_2009	11.16	12	11.96	12.04			12.15(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	9	-2	0.01	56%	0.27	15.5	1.58%	0	0.9	50	0
14	Aug_24_2009	11.13	12	11.95	11.95			12.08(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	11	-21	0.01	56%	0.27	8.5	1.59%	0	0.5	46	0
15	Aug_21_2009	11.1	11.99	11.97	11.85			12.19(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.05	56%	0.27	-3.5	1.59%	0	1.2	51	0

16	Aug_20_2009	11.07	11.99	11.95	11.79			11.98(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-14	-10000	-3	-46	0.02	53%	0.27	-6	1.58%	0	0.1	53	0
17	Aug_19_2009	11.04	11.97	11.94	11.82			11.78(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-7	-45	0.07	50%	0.27	9.9	1.58%	0	-1.1	47	0
18	Aug_18_2009	11.01	11.97	11.98	11.89			11.71(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-7	-25	0.01	57%	0.27	31	1.58%	0	-1.6	49	0
19	Aug_17_2009	10.98	11.98	12.03	11.96			11.6(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-12	-10000	-13	-7	0.01	57%	0.27	54.9	1.65%	0	-2.2	43	0
20	Aug_14_2009	10.95	11.99	12.09	12.09			11.87(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-10000	-5	22	0.01	62%	0.18	95.1	1.62%	0	-0.7	50	0

21	Aug_13_2009	10.93	11.98	12.1	12.14			12.12(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	5	36	0.01	56%	0.37	117.3	1.61%	0	0.8	57	0
22	Aug_12_2009	10.89	11.96	12.08	12.14			12.13(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	0	23	0.01	56%	0.28	116.2	1.72%	0	0.9	54	0
23	Aug_11_2009	10.86	11.93	12.05	12.09			12.09(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-3	22	0.01	56%	0.28	114.9	1.75%	0	0.7	58	0
24	Aug_10_2009	10.83	11.89	12.04	12.12			12.23(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	3	37	0.01	56%	0.37	107	1.75%	0	1.2	66	0
25	Aug_7_2009	10.79	11.83	12.01	12.09			12.13(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	38	0.02	56%		93	1.75%	0	0.9	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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