Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $11.8700 (-2.22%) ($11.8700 - $12.1600) on Thu. Aug. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $11.8700(-2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(85%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(72%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $12.05(-1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11.99(-1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.77(0.85%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 3.23% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2009	10.75	11.77	11.99	12.05			11.87(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-1	37	0.01	53%	0.28	78.9	1.75%	0	0.3	60	0
2	Aug_5_2009	10.72	11.73	12	12.06			12.14(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	55	0.01	58%	0.37	64.8	1.73%	0	0.9	69	0
3	Aug_4_2009	10.68	11.66	11.97	12			12.23(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	5	55	0.01	65%	0.38	53.4	1.73%	0	1.2	75	0
4	Aug_3_2009	10.64	11.58	11.92	11.95			12.1(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	16	-10000	3	54	0.01	65%	0.38	46.1	1.85%	0	1.1	78	0
5	Jul_31_2009	10.6	11.52	11.88	11.95			11.9(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10000	0	66	0.02	65%	0.38	42.6	1.86%	0	0.8	78	0

6	Jul_30_2009	10.56	11.48	11.86	11.92			11.95(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-10000	-1	86	0.01	65%	0.38	43.6	1.86%	0	1	83	0
7	Jul_29_2009	10.52	11.45	11.82	11.92			11.83(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	0	109	0.04	65%	0.38	53.1	1.86%	0	0.9	82	0
8	Jul_28_2009	10.48	11.42	11.79	11.93			11.97(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	-10000	5	136	0.01	65%	0.48	58.2	1.88%	0	1.3	90	0
9	Jul_27_2009	10.43	11.38	11.72	11.87			11.93(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	-10000	2	142	0	60%	0.48	62.1	1.88%	0	1.3	82	0
10	Jul_24_2009	10.38	11.33	11.64	11.85			11.92(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	6	146	0.01	60%	0.39	62.9	1.92%	0	1.5	75	0

11	Jul_23_2009	10.34	11.28	11.55	11.78			12(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	-10000	7	136	0.1	60%	0.49	61.7	1.94%	0	1.9	72	0
12	Jul_22_2009	10.29	11.22	11.44	11.7			11.84(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	6	114	0.02	64%	0.39	59.3	1.93%	0	1.8	58	0
13	Jul_21_2009	10.25	11.16	11.32	11.63			11.68(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	7	91	0.05	64%	0.39	56.1	1.97%	0	1.6	60	0
14	Jul_20_2009	10.21	11.12	11.23	11.55			11.79(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	12	70	0.02	57%	0.39	48.3	1.99%	0	2.1	60	0
15	Jul_17_2009	10.17	11.09	11.13	11.41			11.61(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	12	43	0.03	57%	0.39	40.9	2.07%	0	1.9	60	0

16	Jul_16_2009	10.13	11.05	11.07	11.27			11.59(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	12	24	0.01	62%	0.4	26.5	2.07%	0	2.2	62	0
17	Jul_15_2009	10.09	11.02	11.04	11.13			11.49(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	-10000	14	18	0.02	62%	0.3	1	2.19%	0	2.1	65	0
18	Jul_14_2009	10.06	10.98	11	10.96			11.26(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	8	1	0.01	62%	0.3	-43.4	2.19%	0	1.5	63	0
19	Jul_13_2009	10.03	10.98	11	10.86			11.1(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	3	-6	0.03	62%	0.3	-73.8	2.2%	0	0.7	57	0
20	Jul_10_2009	10	10.97	10.99	10.82			10.92(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.12	62%	0.3	-85.5	2.19%	0	-0.3	44	0

21	Jul_9_2009	9.97	10.99	11	10.84			10.87(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-8	-15	0.01	66%	0.3	-88.5	2.21%	0	-0.6	48	0
22	Jul_8_2009	9.94	11.02	10.99	10.94			10.63(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0	65%	0.3	-73.5	2.28%	0	-1.8	45	0
23	Jul_7_2009	9.91	11.07	11.01	11.05			10.77(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.17	60%	0	-60.8	2.29%	0	-1.3	51	0
24	Jul_6_2009	9.91	11.1	11.02	11.14			10.91(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-3	18	0.04	60%	0.41	-53.3	2.35%	0	-0.8	49	0
25	Jul_2_2009	9.87	11.14	11.05	11.18			11.03(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	-10000	1	23	0.04	63%		-38.8	2.34%	0	-0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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