Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 13, 2009

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $11.1000 (1.65%) ($10.7300 - $11.1200) on Mon. Jul. 13, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $11.1000(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(85%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(72%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $10.86(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10.99(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10.97(1.19%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2009	10.03			10.86			11.1(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	3	-6	0.03	62%	0.3	-73.8	2.2%	0	0.7	57	0
2	Jul_10_2009	10	10.97	10.99	10.82			10.92(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.12	62%	0.3	-85.5	2.19%	0	-0.3	44	0
3	Jul_9_2009	9.97	10.99	11	10.84			10.87(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-8	-15	0.01	66%	0.3	-88.5	2.21%	0	-0.6	48	0
4	Jul_8_2009	9.94	11.02	10.99	10.94			10.63(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0	65%	0.3	-73.5	2.28%	0	-1.8	45	0
5	Jul_7_2009	9.91	11.07	11.01	11.05			10.77(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.17	60%	0	-60.8	2.29%	0	-1.3	51	0

6	Jul_6_2009	9.91	11.1	11.02	11.14			10.91(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-3	18	0.04	60%	0.41	-53.3	2.35%	0	-0.8	49	0
7	Jul_2_2009	9.87	11.14	11.02	11.18			11.03(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	-10000	1	23	0.04	63%	0.3	-38.8	2.34%	0	-0.4	45	0
8	Jul_1_2009	9.84	11.17	11.05	11.17			11.37(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	9	21	0.3	67%	0.31	-30.5	2.41%	0	0.7	52	0
9	Jun_30_2009	9.81	11.18	11	11.05			11.15(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	6	-6	0	62%	0.2	-29.3	2.39%	0	-0.1	41	0
10	Jun_29_2009	9.79	11.21	10.96	10.97			11.23(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	6	-32	0.03	62%	0.2	-27.1	2.46%	0	0.1	39	0

11	Jun_26_2009	9.77	11.24	10.94	10.89			11.1(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-15	-10000	-1	-56	0	65%	0.31	-21.3	2.48%	0	-0.4	39	0
12	Jun_25_2009	9.74	11.25	10.95	10.9			11(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.01	65%	0.21	-13.4	2.54%	0	-0.7	34	0
13	Jun_24_2009	9.72	11.26	10.97	10.91			10.77(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-2	-70	0.03	65%	0.21	-11.9	2.53%	0	-1.4	28	0
14	Jun_23_2009	9.7	11.28	11.04	10.94			10.74(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-1	-72	0.01	67%	0.21	-9	2.53%	0	-1.6	26	0
15	Jun_22_2009	9.68	11.28	11.12	10.95			10.83(-3.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-21	-10000	-3	-75	0.02	67%	0.31	-3.9	2.57%	0	-1.5	24	0

16	Jun_19_2009	9.65	11.31	11.19	10.99			11.18(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-1	-76	0.02	67%	0.21	2.5	2.57%	0	-0.4	34	0
17	Jun_18_2009	9.63	11.31	11.24	11			11.02(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-3	-71	0	68%	0.21	7.6	2.57%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Jun_17_2009	9.61	11.3	11.3	11.04			10.92(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-8	-60	0.03	68%	0.21	18.6	2.6%	0	-1.1	50	0
19	Jun_16_2009	9.59	11.31	11.38	11.15			10.82(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-11	-39	0.01	68%	0.21	30.2	2.61%	0	-1.4	47	0
20	Jun_15_2009	9.57	11.32	11.49	11.32			11(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-7	-9	0.05	68%	0.21	43.5	2.6%	0	-1	46	0

21	Jun_12_2009	9.55	11.31	11.57	11.42			11.26(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-5	21	0.1	71%	0.32	40.3	2.58%	0	-0.1	63	0
22	Jun_11_2009	9.52	11.28	11.59	11.5			11.22(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-6	40	0.02	71%	0.21	35.5	2.66%	0	-0.1	61	0
23	Jun_10_2009	9.5	11.24	11.58	11.59			11.47(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-3	55	0.06	72%	0.32	27.6	2.64%	0	0.5	63	0
24	Jun_9_2009	9.47	11.21	11.55	11.63			11.64(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-3	62	0.04	72%	0.21	27	2.66%	0	1	63	0
25	Jun_8_2009	9.45	11.18	11.52	11.68			11.53(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-3	76	0.01	72%		31.9	2.66%	0	0.8	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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