Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $7.7500 (1.44%) ($7.6500 - $7.8900) on Wed. Mar. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $7.7500(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(85%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(79%)    QQQ(73%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-1.93(-124.9%)
Resistance Level   $7.89
5 Day Moving Average   $7.47(3.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7.59(2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7.89(-1.77%)
To recent high   -23.3%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 4.94% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2009	8.42	7.89	7.59	7.47			7.75(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	2	-80	0.01	28%	-0.12	-80.6	2.77%	0	-0.4	42	0
2	Mar_10_2009	8.43	7.93	7.62	7.45			7.64(4.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	5	-84	0.01	28%	-0.24	-78.3	2.76%	0	-0.7	40	0
3	Mar_9_2009	8.45	7.99	7.67	7.4			7.33(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-5	-99	0	23%	-0.24	-69.2	2.74%	0	-1.4	29	0
4	Mar_6_2009	8.47	8.07	7.72	7.45			7.25(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-38	-10000	-13	-111	0.02	28%	-0.12	-61.3	2.79%	0	-1.7	23	0
5	Mar_5_2009	8.48	8.15	7.81	7.59			7.38(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-12	-98	0	28%	-0.24	-57	2.81%	0	-1.6	27	0

6	Mar_4_2009	8.5	8.22	7.88	7.72			7.63(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-10	-89	0.01	30%	-0.23	-60	2.82%	0	-1.3	28	0
7	Mar_3_2009	8.52	8.27	7.93	7.83			7.42(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-32	-10000	-13	-89	0.02	26%	-0.23	-59.6	2.8%	0	-2	21	0
8	Mar_2_2009	8.54	8.33	8.02	7.97			7.55(-5.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-24	-10000	-5	-82	0.01	26%	-0.23	-61.9	2.82%	0	-2.1	18	0
9	Feb_27_2009	8.56	8.39	8.12	8.03			7.97(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-85	0.01	26%	-0.12	-69.7	2.84%	0	-1.3	21	0
10	Feb_26_2009	8.57	8.43	8.16	8.06			8.05(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-1	-89	0.02	37%	-0.23	-66.8	2.86%	0	-1.2	31	0

11	Feb_25_2009	8.59	8.49	8.21	8.07			8.14(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	1	-79	0.01	37%	-0.23	-54.2	3.16%	0	-1	41	0
12	Feb_24_2009	8.61	8.53	8.26	8.06			8.14(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-2	-85	0.01	47%	-0.23	-48.6	3.16%	0	-1.1	38	0
13	Feb_23_2009	8.63	8.57	8.34	8.09			7.83(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-10	-69	0.01	45%	-0.35	-49.3	3.55%	0	-2.1	35	0
14	Feb_20_2009	8.66	8.62	8.45	8.23			8.12(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-4	-46	0.01	43%	-0.46	-45	3.51%	0	-1.6	39	0
15	Feb_19_2009	8.7	8.66	8.52	8.29			8.11(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-6	-41	0	41%	-0.46	-41.2	3.64%	0	-1.9	33	0

16	Feb_18_2009	8.74	8.69	8.57	8.38			8.12(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-6	-42	0	39%	-0.46	-43.8	3.69%	0	-2.2	28	0
17	Feb_17_2009	8.78	8.71	8.64	8.47			8.28(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-9	-38	0.01	37%	-0.79	-51.1	3.72%	0	-1.9	37	0
18	Feb_13_2009	8.85	8.74	8.67	8.62			8.5(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-6	-28	0.01	40%	-0.45	-48	3.71%	0	-1.1	44	0
19	Feb_12_2009	8.89	8.76	8.68	8.72			8.43(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0	37%	-0.45	-53.8	3.73%	0	-1.6	42	0
20	Feb_11_2009	8.93	8.78	8.72	8.72			8.57(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3	-10000	0	-12	0.01	37%	-0.56	-68	3.81%	0	-1.1	47	0

21	Feb_10_2009	8.98	8.8	8.79	8.79			8.59(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3	-10000	-2	-4	0.02	37%	-0.44	-91.2	3.83%	0	-1.1	50	0
22	Feb_9_2009	9.02	8.83	8.83	8.82			9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	6	-10000	5	10	0.01	39%	-0.55	-105.3	3.79%	0	0.9	64	0
23	Feb_6_2009	9.07	8.85	8.81	8.73			9(2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	5	-0	0	37%	-0.44	-99.3	3.79%	0	0.6	51	0
24	Feb_5_2009	9.11	8.88	8.8	8.64			8.81(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0	35%	-0.44	-84.5	3.85%	0	-0.2	48	0
25	Feb_4_2009	9.15	8.92	8.79	8.65			8.57(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-8	-12	0.01	37%		-67.9	3.89%	0	-1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.