Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 16, 2008

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $9.0100 (6.88%) ($8.6800 - $9.0100) on Tue. Dec. 16, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $9.0100(6.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(85%)    SPY(80%)    XLY(79%)    QQQ(73%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $8.58(5.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8.36(7.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7.81(15.36%)
To recent high   -34.2%
To recent low   42.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 9.35% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2008	10.64	7.81	8.36	8.58			9.01(6.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	8	87	0	46%	-0.37	34.4	4.4%	0	1.6	75	0
2	Dec_15_2008	10.68	7.72	8.22	8.43			8.43(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10000	-1	80	0.01	43%	-0.37	25.1	4.3%	0	1	71	0
3	Dec_12_2008	10.72	7.68	8.12	8.44			8.38(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	3	104	0.03	43%	-0.46	21.4	4.3%	0	1.1	79	0
4	Dec_11_2008	10.77	7.65	8.07	8.39			8.52(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	8	132	0.02	43%	-0.46	15.2	4.3%	0	1.4	81	0
5	Dec_10_2008	10.82	7.6	8.01	8.25			8.55(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	9	142	0	43%	-0.46	-1.1	4.3%	0	1.6	70	0

6	Dec_9_2008	10.87	7.6	7.88	8.1			8.27(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	133	0	43%	-0.37	-19.2	4.27%	0	1.2	63	0
7	Dec_8_2008	10.91	7.56	7.77	7.97			8.48(4.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	-10000	13	119	0	44%	-0.37	-32.2	4.27%	0	1.6	60	0
8	Dec_5_2008	10.95	7.54	7.56	7.75			8.12(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	2	69	0	42%	-0.45	-49.7	4.25%	0	1	54	0
9	Dec_4_2008	11	7.55	7.39	7.71			7.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-2	39	0.02	42%	-0.45	-54.5	4.21%	0	0.5	50	0
10	Dec_3_2008	11.05	7.6	7.29	7.74			7.82(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	8	34	0	42%	-0.36	-47.9	4.22%	0	0.3	53	0

11	Dec_2_2008	11.09	7.67	7.21	7.61			7.59(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	5	2	0.01	42%	-0.45	-38.9	4.2%	0	-0.1	45	0
12	Dec_1_2008	11.14	7.74	7.19	7.53			7.39(-6.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	6	-10000	14	-18	0.01	42%	-0.45	-33.7	4.19%	0	-0.4	41	0
13	Nov_28_2008	11.19	7.84	7.21	7.32			7.92(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	21	-52	0	44%	-0.53	-31.5	4.13%	0	0.1	43	0
14	Nov_26_2008	11.25	7.89	7.19	7.01			7.97(10.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	16	-99	0	44%	-0.44	-36.2	4.11%	0	0.1	44	0
15	Nov_25_2008	11.3	7.93	7.13	6.78			7.2(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-39	-10000	2	-160	0.01	40%	-0.44	-40.8	3.86%	0	-0.8	29	0

16	Nov_24_2008	11.35	7.99	7.21	6.76			7.19(13.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-50	-10000	-4	-187	0.03	40%	-0.35	-46	3.86%	0	-0.9	26	0
17	Nov_21_2008	11.39	8.03	7.31	6.81			6.34(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-73	-10000	-22	-227	0.01	35%	-0.61	-51.2	3.44%	0	-1.9	15	0
18	Nov_20_2008	11.46	8.13	7.52	7.08			6.33(-7.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-72	-10000	-24	-215	0.01	35%	-0.52	-53.9	3.43%	0	-2.2	14	0
19	Nov_19_2008	11.52	8.25	7.74	7.38			6.82(-4.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-58	-10000	-12	-194	0.01	36%	-0.52	-56.3	3.35%	0	-2	24	0
20	Nov_18_2008	11.58	8.33	7.96	7.53			7.13(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-10000	-15	-179	0	37%	-0.52	-59	3.33%	0	-1.9	29	0

21	Nov_17_2008	11.64	8.44	8.19	7.72			7.44(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-10000	-13	-139	0.01	38%	-0.43	-58.5	3.31%	0	-1.7	43	0
22	Nov_14_2008	11.69	8.52	8.36	7.89			7.7(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-11	-101	0	40%	-0.51	-58.9	3.3%	0	-1.4	51	0
23	Nov_13_2008	11.75	8.6	8.53	8.04			7.82(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-10	-60	0.02	39%	-0.51	-54.3	3.32%	0	-1.4	49	0
24	Nov_12_2008	11.81	8.66	8.66	8.17			7.56(-6.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-10000	-20	-38	0	38%	-0.51	-52.6	3.29%	0	-2.2	44	0
25	Nov_11_2008	11.87	8.73	8.8	8.45			8.06(-2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-14	-10000	-20	3	0	40%		-50.4	3.22%	0	-1.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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