Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 2, 2008

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $13.4900 (2.04%) ($13.4900 - $13.8000) on Tue. Sep. 2, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $13.4900(2.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.2(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.21(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.43(0.45%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2008	13.94	13.43	13.21	13.2			13.49(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	5	-57	0.02	48%	-0.07	21.8	2.13%	0	0.2	42	0
2	Aug_29_2008	13.95	13.4	13.22	13.13			13.22(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-76	0.02	48%	-0.14	15.2	2.1%	0	-0.5	35	0
3	Aug_28_2008	13.97	13.38	13.29	13.15			13.32(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	4	-68	0.01	48%	-0.07	16.2	2.11%	0	-0.2	43	0
4	Aug_27_2008	13.98	13.38	13.34	13.1			12.99(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-4	-64	0.01	46%	-0.14	13.4	2.09%	0	-0.9	51	0
5	Aug_26_2008	14	13.38	13.4	13.15			12.97(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-5	-58	0.01	46%	-0.14	8	2.1%	0	-1	45	0

6	Aug_25_2008	14.02	13.36	13.49	13.22			13.16(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-6	-43	0	46%	-0.14	10.2	2.11%	0	-0.5	48	0
7	Aug_22_2008	14.04	13.34	13.58	13.31			13.29(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-11	-9	0	45%	-0.14	15.5	2.11%	0	-0.1	60	0
8	Aug_21_2008	14.06	13.32	13.62	13.46			13.11(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-10	25	0.02	44%	-0.14	24.3	2.11%	0	-0.5	56	0
9	Aug_20_2008	14.08	13.31	13.63	13.61			13.21(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-5	51	0.01	43%	-0.14	34.9	2.11%	0	-0.2	57	0
10	Aug_19_2008	14.1	13.33	13.66	13.68			13.31(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-8	71	0.01	43%	-0.07	49.4	2.12%	0	-0	59	0

11	Aug_18_2008	14.11	13.32	13.68	13.8			13.65(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-5	98	0.01	45%	-0.07	63.7	2.11%	0	0.7	61	0
12	Aug_15_2008	14.12	13.27	13.6	13.87			14(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	3	117	0.02	46%	0	75.7	2.09%	0	1.6	70	0
13	Aug_14_2008	14.12	13.21	13.49	13.82			13.9(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	11	118	0.01	46%	-0.07	84.4	2.09%	0	1.6	65	0
14	Aug_13_2008	14.13	13.15	13.39	13.66			13.55(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	1	99	0.01	44%	-0.14	82.3	2.06%	0	0.9	61	0
15	Aug_12_2008	14.15	13.11	13.32	13.64			13.88(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	6	86	0.04	47%	-0.07	76.9	2.04%	0	1.7	52	0

16	Aug_11_2008	14.16	13.02	13.22	13.55			14.04(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	-10000	19	78	0.01	47%	0	64.3	2.05%	0	2.2	60	0
17	Aug_8_2008	14.16	12.92	13.07	13.29			13.73(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	13	41	0.01	45%	-0.07	46.8	2.03%	0	1.9	62	0
18	Aug_7_2008	14.17	12.85	12.97	13.11			13.1(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	3	16	0	42%	-0.07	33.9	1.93%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Aug_6_2008	14.18	12.81	12.97	13.07			13.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	11	-10000	10	15	0.01	43%	-0.07	28.9	1.91%	0	1.6	59	0
20	Aug_5_2008	14.19	12.76	12.95	12.94			13.45(5.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	8	18	0	43%	0	19.9	1.91%	0	1.9	62	0

21	Aug_4_2008	14.19	12.76	12.95	12.84			12.7(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	2	23	0.01	38%	-0.14	14.7	1.75%	0	-0.1	61	0
22	Aug_1_2008	14.21	12.73	12.95	12.82			12.85(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	1	37	0	40%	-0.07	6.4	1.75%	0	0.4	65	0
23	Jul_31_2008	14.22	12.72	12.95	12.82			12.89(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	0	50	0	40%	-0.14	-4.5	1.76%	0	0.5	62	0
24	Jul_30_2008	14.24	12.7	12.91	12.81			12.82(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-13	57	0	40%	-0.07	-21.6	1.79%	0	0.4	60	0
25	Jul_29_2008	14.25	12.69	12.89	12.96			12.93(2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-3	87	0	40%		-19.8	1.79%	0	0.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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