Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $12.7300 (-0.47%) ($12.7300 - $12.9000) on Mon. Jul. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $12.7300(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $12.77
5 Day Moving Average   $12.64(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.54(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.77(-0.31%)
To recent high   -18.2%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 3.6% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2008	14.34	12.77	12.54	12.64			12.73(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	13	7	0	32%	-0.14	-75.6	1.56%	0	-0.1	46	0
2	Jul_18_2008	14.36	12.82	12.53	12.51			12.79(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	12	-29	0.01	35%	-0.14	-79.6	1.56%	0	-0.1	43	0
3	Jul_17_2008	14.38	12.89	12.5	12.39			12.83(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	11	-70	0.01	35%	-0.21	-74.2	1.58%	0	-0.1	40	0
4	Jul_16_2008	14.41	12.94	12.46	12.28			12.62(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-31	-10000	1	-128	0.01	36%	-0.21	-74.1	1.57%	0	-0.5	30	0
5	Jul_15_2008	14.44	13.02	12.47	12.27			12.21(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-17	-162	0.01	31%	-0.21	-71.5	1.54%	0	-1.2	30	0

6	Jul_14_2008	14.47	13.13	12.53	12.43			12.08(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-12	-153	0.01	31%	-0.21	-63.3	1.53%	0	-1.5	27	0
7	Jul_11_2008	14.5	13.24	12.64	12.54			12.21(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-10000	-7	-154	0.01	31%	-0.21	-61	1.53%	0	-1.4	25	0
8	Jul_10_2008	14.53	13.34	12.75	12.61			12.29(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-10000	-4	-166	0.01	31%	-0.21	-66.9	1.54%	0	-1.5	23	0
9	Jul_9_2008	14.56	13.44	12.89	12.65			12.58(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-3	-169	0	33%	-0.21	-73.5	1.52%	0	-1.3	28	0
10	Jul_8_2008	14.59	13.53	12.98	12.68			13.01(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-46	-10000	2	-190	0.01	35%	-0.07	-74.3	1.48%	0	-0.8	29	0

11	Jul_7_2008	14.6	13.6	13.03	12.66			12.63(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	-10000	-11	-235	0.01	31%	-0.27	-77.2	1.42%	0	-1.4	19	0
12	Jul_3_2008	14.64	13.7	13.14	12.76			12.53(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-73	-10000	-17	-241	0.01	31%	-0.2	-74.3	1.4%	0	-1.6	21	0
13	Jul_2_2008	14.67	13.83	13.31	12.91			12.51(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-76	-10000	-28	-220	0.03	31%	-0.14	-71.5	1.4%	0	-1.9	26	0
14	Jul_1_2008	14.69	13.95	13.47	13.17			12.72(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-10000	-16	-178	0.06	37%	-0.2	-68.6	1.4%	0	-2	28	0
15	Jun_30_2008	14.72	14.05	13.62	13.32			12.9(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-10000	-13	-154	0.01	38%	-0.14	-68.5	1.46%	0	-2	26	0

16	Jun_27_2008	14.74	14.15	13.78	13.45			13.12(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10000	-14	-134	0.02	37%	-0.14	-65.3	1.48%	0	-1.9	30	0
17	Jun_26_2008	14.76	14.25	13.9	13.59			13.3(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-10000	-18	-119	0.01	37%	-0.07	-60.8	1.48%	0	-1.8	31	0
18	Jun_25_2008	14.77	14.34	13.99	13.77			13.8(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0	41%	-0.07	-53.4	1.43%	0	-1.1	28	0
19	Jun_24_2008	14.78	14.4	14.03	13.82			13.5(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-15	-136	0	41%	-0.14	-54.2	1.4%	0	-2	27	0
20	Jun_23_2008	14.8	14.46	14.13	13.97			13.51(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-10000	-18	-115	0.03	41%	-0.13	-54.9	1.45%	0	-2.2	33	0

21	Jun_20_2008	14.82	14.52	14.23	14.16			13.83(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-10000	-10	-94	0.02	48%	-0.07	-61.3	1.43%	0	-1.9	34	0
22	Jun_19_2008	14.83	14.57	14.3	14.26			14.2(1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	1	-88	0.01	51%	0	-69	1.45%	0	-1.1	35	0
23	Jun_18_2008	14.83	14.6	14.38	14.25			14.05(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-1	-93	0	55%	-0.07	-84	1.45%	0	-1.7	31	0
24	Jun_17_2008	14.84	14.65	14.47	14.26			14.26(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-6	-92	0.18	56%	0	-97.1	1.48%	0	-1.3	38	0
25	Jun_16_2008	14.84	14.7	14.51	14.32			14.47(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	1	-84	0	56%		-90.4	1.48%	0	-0.7	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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