Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 6, 2007

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $16.9700 (2.85%) ($16.5500 - $16.9900) on Thu. Dec. 6, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $16.9700(2.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-1%)    JNK(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.63(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.52(2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.6(2.23%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2007	17.5		16.52	16.63			16.97(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	8	35	0	44%	-0.11	-57.1	1.25%	0	1.3	57	0
2	Dec_5_2007	17.52	16.6	16.44	16.55			16.5(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-2	2	0.13	38%	-0.17	-76.8	1.2%	0	-0.3	41	0
3	Dec_4_2007	17.55	16.65	16.42	16.57			16.48(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	5	-17	0.06	38%	-0.17	-70	1.21%	0	-0.5	35	0
4	Dec_3_2007	17.58	16.69	16.41	16.52			16.52(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-10000	8	-35	0.01	38%	-0.11	-72.4	1.21%	0	-0.4	46	0
5	Nov_30_2007	17.6	16.73	16.43	16.44			16.66(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	4	-58	0	40%	-0.11	-76.7	1.23%	0	-0.2	43	0

6	Nov_29_2007	17.62	16.77	16.41	16.4			16.61(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	8	-78	0.05	43%	-0.17	-76.3	1.23%	0	-0.4	43	0
7	Nov_28_2007	17.65	16.84	16.43	16.32			16.59(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	6	-96	0.01	41%	-0.11	-68	1.25%	0	-0.5	42	0
8	Nov_27_2007	17.67	16.89	16.49	16.26			16.23(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-3	-117	0.01	37%	-0.17	-67.5	1.25%	0	-1.2	31	0
9	Nov_26_2007	17.7	16.97	16.54	16.29			16.13(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-12	-133	0	37%	-0.23	-67	1.25%	0	-1.5	29	0
10	Nov_23_2007	17.74	17.05	16.63	16.41			16.44(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-2	-122	0.21	41%	-0.17	-62.8	1.25%	0	-1.1	31	0

11	Nov_21_2007	17.77	17.11	16.69	16.43			16.2(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-13	-137	0.01	42%	-0.11	-68.1	1.26%	0	-1.7	25	0
12	Nov_20_2007	17.79	17.19	16.78	16.57			16.28(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-49	-10000	-17	-143	0.01	42%	-0.17	-71.6	1.27%	0	-1.9	21	0
13	Nov_19_2007	17.82	17.27	16.89	16.75			16.4(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0.12	42%	-0.11	-68.4	1.27%	0	-1.9	28	0
14	Nov_16_2007	17.84	17.35	17	16.83			16.74(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-6	-120	0.08	46%	-0.17	-71.8	1.27%	0	-1.4	31	0
15	Nov_15_2007	17.87	17.4	17.07	16.89			16.54(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-9	-123	0.02	45%	-0.11	-75.7	1.26%	0	-2	27	0

16	Nov_14_2007	17.89	17.48	17.17	16.99			16.87(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-3	-112	0.02	45%	-0.11	-78.2	1.25%	0	-1.5	35	0
17	Nov_13_2007	17.91	17.55	17.28	17.02			17.21(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-4	-101	0.02	47%	-0.06	-81.6	1.25%	0	-0.9	39	0
18	Nov_12_2007	17.92	17.59	17.33	17.06			16.79(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-13	-102	0.07	44%	-0.11	-86.8	1.21%	0	-2	25	0
19	Nov_9_2007	17.94	17.66	17.43	17.19			17.04(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-8	-88	0.01	42%	-0.11	-87.8	1.2%	0	-1.6	24	0
20	Nov_8_2007	17.96	17.73	17.51	17.27			17.03(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-9	-74	0.02	42%	-0.11	-86.9	1.25%	0	-1.8	34	0

21	Nov_7_2007	17.98	17.8	17.57	17.37			17.04(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-17	-76	0.19	44%	-0.11	-77.6	1.25%	0	-1.9	28	0
22	Nov_6_2007	18	17.88	17.64	17.56			17.42(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-7	-57	0.06	46%	-0.11	-61.9	1.23%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Nov_5_2007	18.02	17.95	17.67	17.64			17.43(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-58	0.02	46%	-0.11	-52.9	1.23%	0	-1.3	33	0
24	Nov_2_2007	18.04	18.01	17.73	17.7			17.44(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-6	-49	0.1	43%	-0.11	-45	1.28%	0	-1.4	35	0
25	Nov_1_2007	18.06	18.07	17.76	17.77			17.51(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-2	-54	0.04	43%		-39.5	1.28%	0	-1.5	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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