Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $17.7700 (1.78%) ($17.5000 - $17.7700) on Fri. Aug. 24, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $17.7700(1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.37(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.07(4.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.15(3.62%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2007	18.46	17.15	17.07	17.37			17.77(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	20	49	0.05	36%	0	-44.6	1.16%	0	1.8	57	0
2	Aug_23_2007	18.46	17.15	16.98	17.17			17.46(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	21	15	0.01	33%	-0.05	-79.8	1.14%	0	0.9	56	0
3	Aug_22_2007	18.47	17.14	16.92	16.97			17.52(2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	21	-37	0.04	33%	-0.05	-96.6	1.14%	0	0.9	48	0
4	Aug_21_2007	18.48	17.17	16.89	16.77			17.13(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	8	-81	0.04	29%	-0.11	-103	1.1%	0	-0.1	45	0
5	Aug_20_2007	18.5	17.22	16.91	16.7			16.96(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-3	-99	0.15	29%	-0.05	-91.1	1.09%	0	-0.4	43	0

6	Aug_17_2007	18.51	17.31	16.93	16.73			16.78(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-4	-105	0.04	31%	-0.05	-80.8	1.1%	0	-0.8	37	0
7	Aug_16_2007	18.52	17.41	16.96	16.77			16.47(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-9	-117	0.24	28%	-0.11	-74.6	1.07%	0	-1.3	30	0
8	Aug_15_2007	18.54	17.54	17.06	16.85			16.53(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-18	-113	0.04	28%	-0.05	-69.4	1.07%	0	-1.3	29	0
9	Aug_14_2007	18.55	17.66	17.15	17.01			16.77(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-14	-108	0	29%	-0.11	-63.5	1.06%	0	-1.2	24	0
10	Aug_13_2007	18.57	17.77	17.21	17.14			17.08(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-3	-113	0.03	31%	-0.05	-58.7	1.04%	0	-0.9	26	0

11	Aug_10_2007	18.58	17.86	17.26	17.17			16.98(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-1	-148	0.05	31%	-0.11	-58.4	1.05%	0	-1.1	19	0
12	Aug_9_2007	18.6	17.96	17.31	17.18			16.87(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-58	-10000	-14	-188	0.11	31%	-0.05	-60.8	1.06%	0	-1.4	18	0
13	Aug_8_2007	18.61	18.07	17.39	17.31			17.37(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-54	-10000	-1	-212	0.02	34%	-0.05	-60.8	1.01%	0	-0.9	19	0
14	Aug_7_2007	18.62	18.15	17.47	17.32			17.4(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-57	-10000	2	-235	0.01	34%	-0.05	-61.6	1.01%	0	-1	21	0
15	Aug_6_2007	18.63	18.23	17.55	17.3			17.22(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-72	-10000	-7	-267	0.04	32%	0	-62.6	1%	0	-1.3	16	0

16	Aug_3_2007	18.63	18.33	17.71	17.36			17.06(-2.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-10000	-11	-265	0.09	34%	-0.05	-58.9	1%	0	-1.7	12	0
17	Aug_2_2007	18.64	18.45	17.89	17.46			17.51(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-68	-10000	-2	-267	0.01	41%	0	-56.4	0.95%	0	-1.3	14	0
18	Aug_1_2007	18.64	18.55	18.03	17.48			17.39(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-80	-10000	-19	-261	0.04	41%	0	-53.8	0.99%	0	-1.7	12	0
19	Jul_31_2007	18.64	18.63	18.19	17.65			17.34(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-75	-10000	-22	-234	0.09	41%	-0.05	-49.1	1%	0	-2	12	0
20	Jul_30_2007	18.65	18.72	18.36	17.85			17.52(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-74	-10000	-30	-207	0.02	41%	-0.05	-45.1	0.99%	0	-2.1	13	0

21	Jul_27_2007	18.66	18.79	18.52	18.12			17.52(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-63	-10000	-29	-166	0.47	41%	0	-37.2	1%	0	-2.6	11	0
22	Jul_26_2007	18.66	18.86	18.68	18.39			17.65(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-55	-10000	-29	-132	0.27	41%	0	-29	1%	0	-3.1	11	0
23	Jul_25_2007	18.66	18.92	18.82	18.66			18.23(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-38	-10000	-17	-99	0.57	48%	0	-16.8	0.92%	0	-2.6	15	0
24	Jul_24_2007	18.66	18.95	18.9	18.81			18.31(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-31	-10000	-16	-74	0.31	48%	0.05	-13.2	0.93%	0	-2.8	33	0
25	Jul_23_2007	18.65	18.98	18.97	18.95			18.9(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-4	-46	0.03	53%		-8	0.85%	0	-0.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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