Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $19.3600 (1.68%) ($19.1800 - $19.5300) on Thu. Jul. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $19.3600(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.99(1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.88(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.93(2.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2007	18.58	18.93	18.88	18.99			19.36(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	7	-10000	15	-18	0.19	55%	0.05	-18.9	0.86%	0	2	58	0
2	Jul_3_2007	18.57	18.91	18.83	18.87			19.04(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	9	-47	0.03	52%	0.05	-34.9	0.83%	0	0.6	53	0
3	Jul_2_2007	18.56	18.92	18.85	18.8			18.93(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	5	-44	0.01	52%	0.05	-32.8	0.84%	0	0	58	0
4	Jun_29_2007	18.55	18.94	18.88	18.76			18.75(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.02	51%	0	-27.3	0.83%	0	-0.8	48	0
5	Jun_28_2007	18.55	18.96	18.93	18.75			18.85(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-1	-34	0.06	51%	0.05	-21.6	0.82%	0	-0.5	50	0

6	Jun_27_2007	18.54	18.97	18.94	18.76			18.76(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-5	-20	0.01	51%	0	-19.8	0.83%	0	-1	56	0
7	Jun_26_2007	18.54	18.98	18.94	18.8			18.71(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-14	-19	0.02	51%	0.05	-18.1	0.83%	0	-1.2	43	0
8	Jun_25_2007	18.53	18.99	18.97	18.91			18.72(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-14	-14	0.01	51%	0	-6.3	0.83%	0	-1.3	38	0
9	Jun_22_2007	18.53	19	18.99	19.02			18.7(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-14	-6	0.02	51%	0.05	6.3	0.83%	0	-1.4	37	0
10	Jun_21_2007	18.52	19	19.01	19.13			18.9(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-2	10	0.01	55%	0.05	24.8	0.82%	0	-0.6	43	0

11	Jun_20_2007	18.51	19.01	18.99	19.13			18.95(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	1	-10000	0	3	0.01	58%	0.05	34.3	0.84%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	Jun_19_2007	18.5	19.02	19	19.15			19.28(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	14	11	0.01	62%	0.05	42.9	0.83%	0	1.3	58	0
13	Jun_18_2007	18.49	19	19	19.04			19.26(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	-10000	10	-1	0	62%	0.11	34	0.83%	0	1.4	59	0
14	Jun_15_2007	18.47	18.98	19	18.96			19.25(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	7	-10000	9	-1	0.01	62%	0.05	25.3	0.84%	0	1.5	59	0
15	Jun_14_2007	18.46	18.96	18.99	18.89			19.03(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	10	-3	0.03	60%	0.05	15.8	0.83%	0	0.4	56	0

16	Jun_13_2007	18.45	18.95	18.99	18.81			18.95(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-1	-24	0.01	56%	0.05	-1.1	0.83%	0	0	49	0
17	Jun_12_2007	18.44	18.93	18.98	18.82			18.71(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-15	-31	0.02	54%	0	-5	0.85%	0	-1.2	41	0
18	Jun_11_2007	18.44	18.93	19	18.94			18.87(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-11	-10	0.01	56%	0.05	7	0.84%	0	-0.4	47	0
19	Jun_8_2007	18.43	18.94	19.01	19.03			18.89(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10000	-9	8	0.01	56%	0.05	21	0.84%	0	-0.3	50	0
20	Jun_7_2007	18.42	18.93	19	19.1			18.63(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-1	-10000	-10	27	0.02	53%	0	28.3	0.83%	0	-1.5	52	0

21	Jun_6_2007	18.42	18.95	19	19.18			19.02(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	17	-10000	3	60	0.23	61%	0.05	49.5	0.79%	0	0.4	59	0
22	Jun_5_2007	18.41	18.94	19.05	19.16			19.27(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	11	74	0.04	61%	0.05	61.1	0.79%	0	1.8	70	0
23	Jun_4_2007	18.4	18.92	19.02	19.08			19.34(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	13	66	0.04	61%	0.05	67.8	0.81%	0	2.5	70	0
24	Jun_1_2007	18.39	18.9	18.98	18.98			19.23(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	19	-10000	10	46	0.03	58%	0.05	73	0.82%	0	2.4	62	0
25	May_31_2007	18.38	18.87	18.92	18.9			19.02(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	0	28	0.03	59%		68.8	0.81%	0	1.2	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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