Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 28, 2006

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $18.0500 (-0.39%) ($18.0200 - $18.1500) on Thu. Dec. 28, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $18.0500(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.99(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.98(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.91(0.78%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2006	16.92	17.91	17.98	17.99			18.05(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	1	13	0.01	68%	0.24	47.6	0.92%	0	0.9	59	0
2	Dec_27_2006	16.88	17.89	17.97	17.98			18.12(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	5	18	0.12	68%	0.24	38.1	0.92%	0	1.5	60	0
3	Dec_26_2006	16.84	17.86	17.97	17.94			17.99(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	1	8	0.01	68%	0.3	16.8	0.92%	0	0.8	52	0
4	Dec_22_2006	16.79	17.83	17.97	17.93			17.84(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	6	0.01	68%	0.18	0.9	0.92%	0	0.1	47	0
5	Dec_21_2006	16.76	17.83	17.95	17.94			17.94(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-4	21	0.01	68%	0.18	1.9	0.92%	0	0.5	70	0

6	Dec_20_2006	16.73	17.83	17.94	17.97			18.03(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	1	37	0.02	72%	0.24	8.9	0.92%	0	1	65	0
7	Dec_19_2006	16.69	17.84	17.94	17.97			17.92(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	0	41	0.08	72%	0.18	12.1	0.96%	0	0.4	62	0
8	Dec_18_2006	16.66	17.84	17.94	17.96			17.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	56	0.02	72%	0.18	15.9	0.96%	0	0.4	66	0
9	Dec_15_2006	16.63	17.84	17.93	17.96			17.9(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	0	77	0.03	72%	0.18	25.2	0.97%	0	0.4	68	0
10	Dec_14_2006	16.6	17.83	17.89	17.97			18.08(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	6	64	0.03	76%	0.24	34.8	0.97%	0	1.3	52	0

11	Dec_13_2006	16.56	17.82	17.84	17.92			17.98(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	42	0.03	76%	0.18	35.5	0.97%	0	0.8	47	0
12	Dec_12_2006	16.53	17.81	17.81	17.92			17.92(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	0	27	0.08	80%	0.12	43.6	0.97%	0	0.6	48	0
13	Dec_11_2006	16.51	17.8	17.77	17.9			17.99(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	2	15	0.03	80%	0.24	48.5	1.02%	0	1.1	52	0
14	Dec_8_2006	16.47	17.78	17.77	17.88			17.86(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	9	1	0.01	81%	0.18	58.4	1.02%	0	0.4	49	0
15	Dec_7_2006	16.44	17.77	17.71	17.8			17.84(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	4	-17	0.01	81%	0.12	48.6	1.03%	0	0.4	45	0

16	Dec_6_2006	16.42	17.76	17.71	17.76			17.87(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	5	-22	0.01	81%	0.18	46	1.04%	0	0.5	49	0
17	Dec_5_2006	16.39	17.74	17.73	17.71			17.93(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	-10000	10	-23	0.02	81%	0.18	39.8	1.05%	0	1	53	0
18	Dec_4_2006	16.36	17.72	17.73	17.62			17.91(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	-10000	11	-36	0.03	81%	0.18	25.7	1.05%	0	1	55	0
19	Dec_1_2006	16.33	17.68	17.72	17.52			17.46(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-10	-56	0.03	79%	0.18	3.1	1.01%	0	-1	48	0
20	Nov_30_2006	16.3	17.67	17.77	17.61			17.61(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-10	-24	0.04	79%	0.12	6.4	1%	0	-0.2	57	0

21	Nov_29_2006	16.28	17.67	17.8	17.7			17.64(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10000	-7	0	0.03	80%	0.12	12	1%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Nov_28_2006	16.26	17.66	17.82	17.76			17.46(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-10	22	0.03	81%	0.12	17.7	1.01%	0	-0.8	53	0
23	Nov_27_2006	16.24	17.66	17.85	17.85			17.42(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	3	-10000	-10	42	0.03	81%	0.06	29.8	1.02%	0	-1	50	0
24	Nov_24_2006	16.23	17.67	17.87	17.94			17.94(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10000	-1	85	0.02	93%	0.19	44.7	0.95%	0	1.1	75	0
25	Nov_22_2006	16.2	17.66	17.83	17.95			18.03(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	4	96	0.02	93%		54.4	0.96%	0	1.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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